NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	105		Excitement	3.1 [1170]		MVP	Joe Johnson (ATL): +22.3%
Minnesota Timberwolves	88		Comeback	1.4 [219]		LVP	Kevin Garnett (MIN): -7.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0.22	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.19	0.02	-0.02	19	76%	0.26	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Smith	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	0.00	0.04	18	52%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.06	2	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	3	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Salim Stoudamire	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	50%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Childress	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	1	100%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dijon Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	1	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	8	32%	-0.02	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Craig Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	7	53%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Ricky Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	14	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Troy Hudson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Justin Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trenton Hassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mark Blount	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	13	57%	0.04	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Randy Foye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.04	9	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	0.03	13	46%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Bracey Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.03	15	41%	-0.07	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	26.0	15.8	23.2	2.4	24.4	118.7
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +47.2%

ATL +1.3%

MIN -6.1%

ATL +7.1%

ATL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIN	NBA	ATL	MIN	NBA
this game	17.5	16.6	15.4	122.1	106.0	104.5
season	16.1	15.4		101.1	101.9
opponent	15.6	15.3		105.8	106.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	17.0	15.0	17.4	20.9	17.5
MIN	16.5	17.0	17.8	15.2	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Smith	68	65	0.59	-0.09	0.68	-0.08	23	-6	29	17.3	18.1	-0.76	16.9	15.7	1.21
Joe Johnson	62	60	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.24	23	-6	29	16.8	19.0	-2.20	17.4	14.4	3.02
Lorenzen Wright	46	46	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	0	17	17.4	17.5	-0.18	16.9	16.3	0.62
Marvin Williams	55	53	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.01	8	9	-1	17.5	17.3	0.26	16.7	16.5	0.23
Salim Stoudamire	31	30	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	15	-13	16.6	17.9	-1.26	15.8	17.1	-1.33
Zaza Pachulia	33	32	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	8	1	18.5	16.8	1.72	17.2	16.2	1.03
Josh Childress	56	54	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.14	12	5	7	17.3	17.7	-0.33	17.1	15.6	1.53
Shelden Williams	44	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	-0.11	10	7	3	17.6	17.3	0.28	16.9	16.3	0.56
Royal Ivey	19	17	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	13	-9	20.4	16.6	3.74	15.4	16.9	-1.51
Slava Medvedenko	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	17.4	17.5	-0.06	10.0	17.0	-7.04
Dijon Thompson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.21	-7	24	-31	17.4	17.5	-0.06	10.0	17.0	-7.04
Solomon Jones	6	5	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.26	-9	26	-35	14.7	17.7	-3.00	10.0	17.0	-7.04

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-22	27	14.3	16.8	-2.46	17.2	17.5	-0.31
Justin Reed	16	16	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-22	27	14.4	17.1	-2.70	20.6	16.7	3.90
Troy Hudson	20	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-18	19	15.1	17.1	-1.93	20.8	16.4	4.43
Bracey Wright	17	16	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.12	-1	-16	15	17.2	16.5	0.71	15.3	17.9	-2.63
Mike James	48	50	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-9	1	17.3	15.7	1.56	16.2	19.2	-3.04
Craig Smith	29	30	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.24	-17	0	-17	16.5	16.7	-0.20	17.5	17.4	0.02
Randy Foye	48	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.12	-5	-12	7	15.9	17.6	-1.70	18.0	16.6	1.44
Mark Blount	63	67	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-11	5	16.5	16.8	-0.31	17.5	17.4	0.11
Trenton Hassell	51	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	0.07	-14	-3	-11	16.7	16.5	0.24	16.6	18.8	-2.21
Kevin Garnett	62	63	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.19	-21	4	-25	17.2	14.9	2.29	17.5	17.4	0.08
Ricky Davis	55	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.22	-24	7	-31	17.3	15.2	2.11	17.3	17.7	-0.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 98, MIA 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%
UTA 111, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
GSW 116, MIN 107	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0	96.8%