NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	2.8 [1155]		MVP	Jeff Hornacek (UTA): +12.0%
Seattle SuperSonics	91		Comeback	1.2 [463]		LVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): -9.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	13	76%	0.12	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.00	-0.04	23	63%	0.12	4	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.00	0.02	5	92%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Howard Eisley	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.01	4	67%	0.04	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.01
John Stockton	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.04	0.00	-0.05	7	59%	0.04	3	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
Shandon Anderson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Chris Morris	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
William Cunningham	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Adam Keefe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hersey Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	-0.00	-0.03	10	67%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	75%	0.01
David Wingate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	2	50%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.01	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	3	71%	0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Stephen Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	75%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Vin Baker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	4	75%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	7	37%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Dale Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	9	22%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.02	14	59%	-0.02	4	-0.06	11	82%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.00	0.01	6	53%	-0.04	3	-0.05	7	57%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	41.5	1.7	27.3	16.6	28.7	2.0	28.3	146.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +39.1%

SEA -1.1%

UTA +4.0%

UTA +4.9%

UTA +3.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SEA	NBA	UTA	SEA	NBA
this game	18.4	14.5	15.6	126.1	104.6	102.5
season	15.9	15.3		108.1	109.3
opponent	16.2	15.9		102.3	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.0	17.4	19.6	21.7	18.4
SEA	17.1	16.9	11.7	12.6	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bryon Russell	67	67	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.16	22	-2	24	17.9	19.8	-1.90	14.9	13.2	1.66
Karl Malone	69	67	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	5	10	18.0	19.6	-1.55	14.2	15.5	-1.26
John Stockton	64	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.07	14	6	8	19.1	16.4	2.68	14.7	14.2	0.48
Jeff Hornacek	69	67	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.14	16	4	12	17.6	21.2	-3.63	13.3	18.7	-5.42
Shandon Anderson	29	30	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.03	9	11	-2	19.4	17.8	1.57	16.7	13.4	3.31
Greg Foster	50	51	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.07	11	9	2	18.8	17.7	1.10	14.9	14.1	0.81
Howard Eisley	24	25	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.02	6	14	-8	16.9	18.9	-1.99	17.4	13.4	4.03
Antoine Carr	24	24	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.07	3	17	-14	20.7	17.5	3.22	16.6	13.7	2.89
Adam Keefe	30	29	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	21	-22	18.8	18.1	0.66	12.4	15.6	-3.22
Chris Morris	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	16.8	18.5	-1.66	7.2	14.9	-7.63
William Cunningham	4	3	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	17	-14	15.2	18.5	-3.26	9.7	14.7	-5.04
Jacque Vaughn	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	16.8	18.5	-1.66	7.2	14.9	-7.63

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Howard	8	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-21	22	6.7	15.3	-8.57	19.4	18.3	1.11
Greg Anthony	27	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-20	20	12.6	15.4	-2.81	19.4	17.9	1.45
Aaron Williams	13	13	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.05	-4	-16	12	10.9	15.2	-4.24	18.3	18.4	-0.07
Jim McIlvaine	25	27	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-18	16	14.9	14.4	0.55	18.6	18.2	0.38
David Wingate	17	19	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	0.09	-8	-12	4	13.6	14.8	-1.17	18.0	18.5	-0.46
Sam Perkins	41	40	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	-10	0	15.0	14.1	0.89	17.6	19.0	-1.31
Vin Baker	56	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-9	-2	15.9	12.0	3.93	19.2	16.7	2.52
Hersey Hawkins	63	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.22	-19	-1	-18	14.1	15.7	-1.57	17.8	19.8	-2.02
Dale Ellis	51	50	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	0.17	-18	-2	-16	15.5	13.1	2.37	18.1	18.8	-0.70
Detlef Schrempf	60	60	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	0.03	-14	-6	-8	15.0	13.5	1.52	18.2	18.7	-0.57
Gary Payton	74	75	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.02	-15	-5	-10	14.8	13.1	1.71	18.4	17.9	0.52

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 112, WAS 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
NJN 106, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
HOU 100, NOH 80	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%