NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	112		Excitement	3.5 [1057]		MVP	Scott Williams (PHI): +6.5%
Washington Wizards	91		Comeback	1.1 [220]		LVP	Chris Webber (WAS): -13.4%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scott Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.02	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	7	68%	0.06	1	-0.00	8	87%	0.01
Derrick Coleman	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.01	21	62%	0.11	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
Allen Iverson	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.01	21	58%	0.06	1	-0.01	10	70%	-0.01
Theo Ratliff	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	6	67%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	7	47%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Anthony Parker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	2	125%	0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	8	53%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Mark Davis	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Tim Thomas	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.17	-0.00	-0.10	9	11%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.00	0.00	11	65%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	16	51%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
God Shammgod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.06	4	58%	0.01	3	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Terry Davis	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	2	40%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ben Wallace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Harvey Grant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ledell Eackles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	10	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Whitney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Calbert Cheaney	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	7	33%	-0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Rod Strickland	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.02	12	46%	-0.02	5	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Chris Webber	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.14	-0.00	-0.01	15	37%	-0.07	3	-0.06	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.0	25.3	15.4	26.7	1.6	28.5	120.6
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +37.5%

WAS -0.8%

PHI +8.8%

PHI +1.3%

PHI +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	WAS	NBA	PHI	WAS	NBA
this game	15.6	12.9	15.6	112.0	89.2	102.5
season	15.4	15.1		99.7	102.8
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.2	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.9	16.2	13.7	17.9	15.6
WAS	13.9	14.5	12.5	10.9	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Theo Ratliff	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.22	23	-2	25	14.7	17.7	-2.98	13.9	10.8	3.04
Allen Iverson	86	86	0.41	0.09	0.32	-0.06	16	5	11	15.6	15.8	-0.20	13.4	10.4	3.03
Joe Smith	55	55	0.36	0.14	0.22	-0.08	15	6	9	15.0	16.4	-1.36	12.9	13.0	-0.09
Aaron McKie	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.21	-0.14	17	4	13	15.1	16.9	-1.80	13.8	11.0	2.77
Derrick Coleman	74	75	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.04	10	11	-1	15.2	16.8	-1.57	13.8	10.5	3.33
Eric Snow	52	53	0.27	0.23	0.04	-0.14	14	7	7	16.3	14.9	1.37	12.2	13.8	-1.59
Scott Williams	22	25	0.15	0.35	-0.19	-0.05	7	14	-7	18.4	14.8	3.53	11.7	13.3	-1.66
Tim Thomas	40	42	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.10	-1	22	-23	17.6	14.3	3.32	12.3	13.3	-1.02
Mark Davis	14	16	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.11	6	15	-9	14.1	15.9	-1.79	9.9	13.5	-3.63
Anthony Parker	16	18	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	23	-25	16.4	15.5	0.91	8.1	14.0	-5.85

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Darvin Ham	17	18	0.01	-0.51	0.52	0.19	-6	-15	9	12.0	13.1	-1.12	14.2	15.9	-1.76
God Shammgod	24	25	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.18	-8	-13	5	9.1	14.1	-4.98	17.0	15.2	1.80
Ledell Eackles	44	44	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.11	-7	-14	7	10.9	14.5	-3.60	16.2	15.2	1.02
Chris Whitney	17	16	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.04	-5	-16	11	11.5	13.2	-1.68	17.4	15.3	2.18
Ben Wallace	28	27	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	-14	7	10.5	13.8	-3.30	16.8	15.2	1.60
Terry Davis	25	25	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	0.02	-7	-14	7	14.3	12.5	1.84	15.7	15.6	0.15
Tracy Murray	52	49	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.15	-1	-20	19	12.0	13.9	-1.86	15.6	15.7	-0.12
Harvey Grant	29	27	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-12	3	13.7	12.6	1.06	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Calbert Cheaney	48	48	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.09	-15	-6	-9	14.0	12.0	1.98	15.6	15.6	0.03
Rod Strickland	74	71	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.09	-9	-12	3	13.8	10.7	3.06	15.0	17.0	-1.96
Juwan Howard	70	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.00	-14	-7	-7	14.0	10.7	3.32	15.1	16.8	-1.73
Chris Webber	82	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.08	-17	-4	-13	14.1	8.2	5.82	15.6	15.8	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
TOR 98, PHX 71	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.6%
VAN 101, DAL 74	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%