inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 98 Excitement3.2 [1171] MVPSebastian Telfair (TOR): +9.8%
Phoenix Suns 71 Comeback1.2 [824] LVPGoran Dragic (PHX): -11.5%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Sebastian Telfair0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.010.01-0.081254%0.102-0.0000%0.00
Alan Anderson0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05-0.010.02-0.03677%0.074-0.021100%0.01
Amir Johnson0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.070.010.04870%0.042-0.004100%0.00
Kyle Lowry0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrea Bargnani0.020,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.00-0.021045%0.0200.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan0.020,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.060.00-0.071354%0.075-0.05250%-0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.02567%0.0120.00580%-0.00
John Lucas III0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.040.000.041150%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terrence Ross-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.01-0.02762%0.014-0.022100%0.01
Landry Fields-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.01-0.000.02540%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rudy Gay-0.060,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.080.00-0.01733%-0.042-0.031100%0.00

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Marcin Gortat0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.000.00662%0.051-0.0210%-0.01
Michael Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.04-0.00-0.05939%0.021-0.0100%0.00
PJ Tucker0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.00-0.03667%0.053-0.0300%0.00
Hamed Haddadi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Kendall Marshall00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jared Dudley0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.02-0.000.02756%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Diante Garrett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.090.00-0.08442%0.014-0.01450%-0.02
Marcus Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.000.02960%0.013-0.0220%-0.01
Wesley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.09-0.01-0.05928%-0.002-0.0500%0.00
Luis Scola0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.08-0.01-0.00737%-0.033-0.062100%0.00
Markieff Morris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.14-0.01-0.05721%-0.034-0.0700%0.00
Goran Dragic0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.12-0.01-0.01936%-0.044-0.07450%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game21.82.729.214.625.02.729.3125.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +19.7%
TOR +4.8%
PHX -5.3%
TOR +27.4%
TOR +3.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORPHXNBATORPHXNBA
this game15.214.615.4101.074.0104.1
season16.115.2104.499.7
opponent15.115.3106.3105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR15.216.216.213.615.2
PHX13.115.817.313.114.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Amir Johnson57580.370.130.25-0.362522315.315.10.2413.716.1-2.45
Rudy Gay45430.350.150.190.021116-516.214.41.8315.314.01.31
Sebastian Telfair55550.330.170.17-0.312251714.715.9-1.2614.115.3-1.25
Landry Fields29290.280.220.06-0.101314-115.715.00.7214.814.50.29
Terrence Ross44420.270.230.04-0.231710714.915.5-0.5214.714.60.12
DeMar DeRozan62620.240.26-0.03-0.261710715.315.10.1614.315.2-0.90
Andrea Bargnani47470.210.29-0.070.01720-1315.714.80.8615.014.30.69
Kyle Lowry42410.170.33-0.170.02522-1715.914.71.2615.314.11.25
Alan Anderson52530.150.35-0.19-0.311611514.416.2-1.8314.015.3-1.31
Jonas Valanciunas40380.130.37-0.250.07225-2315.115.3-0.2416.113.72.45
John Lucas III12120.000.50-0.500.00027-2713.015.5-2.5314.214.7-0.52

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kendall Marshall1111-0.05-0.450.400.04-3-242117.214.32.8915.515.20.27
Diante Garrett3636-0.06-0.440.390.27-11-16513.315.4-2.0714.215.8-1.67
Marcin Gortat2524-0.06-0.440.390.03-3-242113.615.0-1.4415.115.2-0.12
Hamed Haddadi1920-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-262513.914.8-0.9113.915.5-1.60
Jared Dudley3738-0.18-0.320.14-0.06-4-231915.114.30.8316.014.71.24
Luis Scola4647-0.21-0.290.08-0.06-5-221714.914.30.5916.014.51.44
PJ Tucker4949-0.21-0.290.07-0.07-5-221714.914.40.5215.814.61.25
Michael Beasley3635-0.23-0.270.050.36-20-7-1314.814.50.2414.115.8-1.72
Marcus Morris4748-0.29-0.21-0.070.36-22-5-1714.414.9-0.5214.615.8-1.25
Markieff Morris4950-0.34-0.16-0.180.01-12-15316.113.12.9316.214.12.11
Wesley Johnson6162-0.41-0.09-0.320.35-26-1-2514.115.5-1.4414.716.1-1.40
Goran Dragic6465-0.42-0.08-0.330.26-23-4-1914.315.2-0.8415.514.70.84


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.33,0.4,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 107, TOR 850.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.8%
PHX 99, DET 710.5,0.51,0.48,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%
PHI 112, WAS 910.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.35,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.6%