NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	100		Excitement	2.8 [1213]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +9.0%
New Orleans Hornets	80		Comeback	1.1 [504]		LVP	Tyson Chandler (NOH): -7.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.13	0.01	0.05	26	60%	0.11	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
Yao Ming	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.02	21	60%	0.09	2	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
Carl Landry	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.00	1	100%	0.01
Luther Head	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	62%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luis Scola	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steve Novak	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.12	0.00	-0.08	14	32%	-0.02	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Peja Stojakovic	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	10	38%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.05	6	71%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	0.00
Hilton Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Ely	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	40%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.04	13	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	17	49%	0.03	2	-0.04	7	86%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	0.00	0.02	2	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Rasual Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.03	5	20%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.11	-0.00	-0.05	9	11%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	6	56%	-0.02	4	-0.05	4	25%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.6	28.5	15.5	24.4	2.5	27.6	126.4
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +35.2%

HOU +2.6%

HOU +7.8%

HOU +3.1%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NOH	NBA	HOU	NOH	NBA
this game	17.4	14.8	15.4	111.1	89.9	105.7
season	16.2	15.9		104.6	109.6
opponent	15.7	15.2		104.0	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.5	18.9	15.3	19.0	17.4
NOH	14.8	15.4	16.0	12.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yao Ming	67	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.32	30	-10	40	16.4	20.2	-3.73	15.4	13.1	2.30
Rafer Alston	81	79	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.04	17	3	14	17.2	19.2	-2.02	14.8	14.4	0.41
Shane Battier	79	78	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.05	17	3	14	17.1	19.7	-2.65	14.9	14.1	0.77
Tracy McGrady	78	77	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.02	12	8	4	17.1	19.5	-2.42	14.8	14.5	0.31
Carl Landry	53	50	0.29	0.21	0.07	-0.01	10	10	0	18.3	16.1	2.19	14.4	15.2	-0.74
Luther Head	18	18	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	10	0	19.6	16.9	2.69	15.1	14.7	0.44
Luis Scola	45	47	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.15	2	18	-16	16.5	18.3	-1.78	15.2	14.3	0.86
Aaron Brooks	9	10	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.04	3	17	-14	19.2	17.2	2.02	14.4	14.8	-0.41
Steve Novak	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	19	-18	19.8	17.3	2.54	11.4	15.0	-3.56
Charles Hayes	15	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.00	-2	22	-24	21.1	16.7	4.48	12.1	15.4	-3.29

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julian Wright	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-27	34	13.7	14.9	-1.26	18.9	17.1	1.78
Melvin Ely	26	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.12	1	-21	22	14.8	14.7	0.06	19.0	16.7	2.23
Ryan Bowen	30	30	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-21	22	14.6	14.8	-0.25	19.0	16.6	2.45
Rasual Butler	38	38	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	0.20	-11	-9	-2	14.1	15.3	-1.20	17.1	17.6	-0.46
Hilton Armstrong	30	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-21	22	14.0	15.1	-1.10	18.2	17.0	1.24
Jannero Pargo	29	29	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-18	16	15.0	14.6	0.35	19.2	16.5	2.72
Peja Stojakovic	60	60	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.20	-18	-2	-16	14.6	15.0	-0.35	16.6	19.0	-2.45
Chris Paul	60	61	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.19	-18	-2	-16	14.6	15.0	-0.35	16.5	19.2	-2.72
Tyson Chandler	59	61	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.27	-21	1	-22	15.1	14.0	1.10	17.0	18.2	-1.24
Morris Peterson	38	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.09	-16	-4	-12	15.8	14.0	1.84	17.2	17.6	-0.43
David West	62	63	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.24	-24	4	-28	14.9	14.4	0.57	16.7	19.0	-2.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.33,0.35,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 101, DAL 74	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%
GSW 101, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.1%
DAL 103, HOU 76	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.0%