NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	2.5 [1272]		MVP	Dirk Nowitzki (DAL): +13.8%
Houston Rockets	76		Comeback	1.0 [632]		LVP	David Wesley (HOU): -7.0%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dirk Nowitzki	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.26	0.00	0.12	14	88%	0.15	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.11	0.01	0.08	8	80%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	50%	0.01
Josh Howard	0.03	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	9	64%	0.07	3	-0.04	10	80%	0.00
DeSagana Diop	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Darrell Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	6	56%	0.00	3	0.00	4	100%	-0.00
DJ Mbenga	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Powell	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	4	75%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Dampier	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jason Terry	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerry Stackhouse	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	9	40%	-0.01	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dikembe Mutombo	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	1	33%	0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.05	0.00	0.06	7	64%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	9	41%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Moochie Norris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lonny Baxter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	10	40%	-0.02	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	15	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.00
Rafer Alston	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	15	52%	-0.00	5	-0.04	3	33%	-0.03
David Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	43%	-0.02	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.5	31.5	16.4	27.0	1.8	27.0	132.3
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +18.2%

DAL +11.5%

DAL +18.6%

DAL +3.1%

HOU -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	HOU	NBA	DAL	HOU	NBA
this game	17.9	16.6	15.6	124.1	90.5	104.4
season	16.4	16.1		109.0	99.9
opponent	16.1	15.6		101.4	102.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	17.6	16.0	19.4	18.9	17.9
HOU	17.6	15.3	16.6	17.1	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Howard	56	56	0.43	0.07	0.37	-0.36	27	0	27	17.5	18.7	-1.15	17.0	15.8	1.23
Dirk Nowitzki	46	47	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.49	30	-3	33	17.2	18.7	-1.51	17.4	15.6	1.86
DeSagana Diop	36	35	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.29	23	4	19	17.7	18.1	-0.40	17.0	16.3	0.72
Jason Terry	46	47	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.33	23	4	19	16.8	19.3	-2.49	16.4	16.9	-0.56
Devin Harris	53	54	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.00	10	17	-7	18.2	17.3	0.93	16.1	17.4	-1.29
Jerry Stackhouse	34	34	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.12	14	13	1	17.7	18.0	-0.31	15.9	17.1	-1.27
Adrian Griffin	55	55	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.10	12	15	-3	18.7	16.3	2.42	16.7	16.4	0.30
Erick Dampier	29	32	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.12	8	19	-11	17.8	17.9	-0.15	15.7	17.2	-1.49
Josh Powell	22	23	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.09	-3	30	-33	19.1	17.5	1.63	16.0	16.9	-0.90
Darrell Armstrong	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	32	-37	18.9	17.6	1.33	17.1	16.5	0.65
DJ Mbenga	18	17	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	31	-35	18.5	17.7	0.78	17.5	16.4	1.08

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charles Hayes	24	24	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-34	41	15.8	16.9	-1.08	19.7	17.2	2.50
Moochie Norris	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.13	3	-30	33	16.8	16.5	0.26	18.6	17.6	0.93
Lonny Baxter	36	35	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.03	-2	-25	23	16.1	17.0	-0.87	18.3	17.6	0.63
John Lucas III	24	23	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.02	-3	-24	21	15.7	17.0	-1.26	17.5	18.0	-0.57
Ryan Bowen	16	17	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.10	-9	-18	9	16.8	16.6	0.25	17.4	18.0	-0.60
Dikembe Mutombo	41	40	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.21	-18	-9	-9	16.6	16.7	-0.09	17.1	18.6	-1.43
Rafer Alston	60	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.31	-24	-3	-21	17.0	15.7	1.26	18.0	17.5	0.57
Juwan Howard	55	53	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.49	-31	4	-35	16.8	16.2	0.66	17.6	18.4	-0.74
Luther Head	80	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	0.28	-25	-2	-23	16.7	15.2	1.43	17.9	16.3	1.62
David Wesley	60	60	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.46	-33	6	-39	16.8	16.1	0.73	17.5	18.9	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 92, CHA 74	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
GSW 101, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.34,0.3,0.32,0.29,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.19,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
IND 115, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%