NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	92		Excitement	2.6 [1224]		MVP	Patrick Patterson (TOR): +6.3%
Charlotte Hornets	74		Comeback	1.1 [859]		LVP	Marvin Williams (CHA): -9.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Patrick Patterson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	15	47%	0.08	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	16	46%	0.07	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.02
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	7	61%	0.02	3	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Greivis Vasquez	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.00	0.06	13	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruno Caboclo	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	-0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	9	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.00	0.05	7	64%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Hairston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.05	-0.00	-0.06	8	31%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.07	7	71%	-0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	0.06	13	50%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Noah Vonleh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	7	21%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	13	31%	-0.07	2	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Mo Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	0.05	13	38%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.00	-0.03	5	8%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.7	2.6	27.0	15.7	26.2	2.4	25.3	121.8
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +35.9%

TOR +10.2%

TOR +4.7%

CHA -0.7%

CHA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	17.7	17.0	15.1	110.8	89.2	104.2
season	15.6	15.6		109.1	98.9
opponent	15.1	15.0		102.6	106.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	16.8	16.9	16.9	20.5	17.7
CHA	18.3	19.1	13.7	17.4	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	59	61	0.45	0.05	0.39	-0.40	29	-11	40	17.1	19.1	-1.99	16.6	18.0	-1.44
Tyler Hansbrough	62	64	0.38	0.12	0.27	-0.14	18	0	18	17.9	17.1	0.76	17.8	14.2	3.60
Greivis Vasquez	61	60	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.04	12	6	6	18.0	17.0	0.97	17.6	15.4	2.15
James Johnson	41	40	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.02	8	10	-2	18.6	16.8	1.78	16.8	17.1	-0.27
Charles Hayes	17	16	0.25	0.25	-0.00	-0.01	9	9	0	16.9	17.9	-0.97	16.6	17.1	-0.53
Terrence Ross	40	42	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.17	14	4	10	16.7	18.7	-2.00	17.2	16.7	0.51
Lou Williams	44	44	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.27	-1	19	-20	18.0	17.4	0.66	16.8	17.2	-0.36
Patrick Patterson	54	54	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.17	2	16	-14	17.4	18.2	-0.76	17.1	16.8	0.30
Jonas Valanciunas	31	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.18	11	7	4	18.1	17.5	0.56	15.5	17.9	-2.40
Greg Stiemsma	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	20.0	17.7	2.35	12.0	17.0	-5.05
Landry Fields	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	20.0	17.7	2.35	12.0	17.0	-5.05
Bruno Caboclo	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	22	-26	20.0	17.7	2.35	12.0	17.0	-5.05

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Troy Daniels	9	10	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-23	28	15.1	17.2	-2.11	19.4	17.5	1.92
Brian Roberts	28	28	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.15	1	-19	20	17.7	16.6	1.15	18.7	17.2	1.57
Jason Maxiell	30	30	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.12	0	-18	18	17.6	16.6	0.96	18.8	17.1	1.65
PJ Hairston	40	42	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-22	26	15.2	18.6	-3.40	19.5	15.8	3.72
Noah Vonleh	40	38	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.19	0	-18	18	16.6	17.3	-0.75	18.7	16.9	1.80
Mo Williams	36	33	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.01	-7	-11	4	17.7	16.4	1.35	17.7	17.7	0.03
Jeff Taylor	33	32	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.25	-16	-2	-14	17.4	16.7	0.67	16.1	18.7	-2.68
Marvin Williams	43	45	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.22	-18	0	-18	17.3	16.6	0.75	16.9	18.7	-1.80
Bismack Biyombo	53	53	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.15	-18	0	-18	16.6	17.6	-0.96	17.1	18.8	-1.65
Kemba Walker	55	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.17	-19	1	-20	16.6	17.7	-1.15	17.2	18.7	-1.57
Gerald Henderson	48	49	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.25	-22	4	-26	18.0	15.7	2.30	16.9	18.9	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.3,0.18,0.22,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 128, NYK 78	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.17,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.8%
DAL 103, HOU 76	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.4%
LAL 114, NYK 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.31,0.25,0.35,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.12,0.07,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0	97.1%