NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	115		Excitement	2.6 [1244]		MVP	D.J. Augustin (IND): +10.3%
Orlando Magic	86		Comeback	1.2 [1234]		LVP	Maurice Harkless (ORL): -9.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
D.J. Augustin	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.00	9	78%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	10	69%	0.08	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.00
Paul George	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.19	0.01	0.12	12	86%	0.09	2	-0.01	5	100%	0.00
George Hill	0.03	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	61%	0.04	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Hibbert	0.03	0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	5	71%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Lance Stephenson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	62%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02
Orlando Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.09	0.00	-0.09	5	20%	0.01	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	0.00	0.05	5	70%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Ayres	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Miles Plumlee	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.00	0.00	0.02	6	42%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
David West	-0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.11	0.00	-0.05	13	32%	-0.05	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeQuan Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	6	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E'Twaun Moore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nicholson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle O'Quinn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Doron Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.07	0.01	0.11	13	61%	0.00	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.01
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.09	-0.00	0.12	7	75%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.07	-0.00	-0.02	11	55%	0.03	5	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.10	0.00	-0.04	8	39%	-0.02	4	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	10	45%	-0.04	3	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maurice Harkless	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.19	0.00	-0.09	8	15%	-0.06	4	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.5	32.4	15.4	25.5	2.5	27.5	132.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +43.0%

ORL -5.7%

IND +2.1%

IND +11.6%

ORL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	ORL	NBA	IND	ORL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.3	15.4	121.1	91.5	104.1
season	16.1	15.5		102.4	100.3
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.7	99.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	15.2	12.4	17.5	15.2
ORL	17.2	14.2	14.8	15.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	59	59	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.21	20	9	11	13.2	18.5	-5.29	15.3	15.3	0.00
Roy Hibbert	56	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.18	18	11	7	14.1	16.7	-2.64	15.5	15.0	0.45
Paul George	55	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.22	17	12	5	14.0	16.8	-2.78	15.7	14.7	0.97
D.J. Augustin	49	49	0.27	0.23	0.03	-0.14	14	15	-1	16.4	13.9	2.47	14.3	16.3	-1.96
Tyler Hansbrough	39	40	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	20	-11	16.5	14.3	2.20	13.7	16.5	-2.76
David West	53	53	0.26	0.24	0.01	-0.21	16	13	3	14.1	16.6	-2.48	16.0	14.3	1.72
George Hill	46	45	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.21	15	14	1	13.9	16.4	-2.47	16.3	14.3	1.96
Sam Young	30	30	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.02	7	22	-15	17.1	14.3	2.74	14.0	15.9	-1.94
Orlando Johnson	36	35	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.14	9	20	-11	18.5	13.2	5.29	15.3	15.3	-0.00
Ian Mahinmi	25	25	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.09	7	22	-15	17.4	14.4	2.95	15.4	15.2	0.21
Jeff Ayres	11	9	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.13	5	24	-19	14.5	15.3	-0.73	17.2	15.1	2.14
Gerald Green	10	9	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.15	5	24	-19	16.0	15.1	0.91	17.2	15.1	2.14
Miles Plumlee	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	26	-23	18.7	15.0	3.71	14.0	15.4	-1.38

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doron Lamb	22	22	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.11	-4	-25	21	15.2	15.3	-0.14	17.5	14.5	3.07
Andrew Nicholson	35	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.11	-4	-25	21	14.5	15.8	-1.28	15.1	15.3	-0.17
Kyle O'Quinn	30	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.11	-5	-24	19	15.0	15.4	-0.47	17.9	13.9	4.01
DeQuan Jones	29	30	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.10	-5	-24	19	15.4	15.2	0.23	17.9	13.9	4.01
Al Harrington	12	12	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.02	-3	-26	23	14.0	15.5	-1.48	18.5	14.7	3.79
Beno Udrih	32	32	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.13	-7	-22	15	14.9	15.5	-0.58	18.0	13.8	4.19
Maurice Harkless	54	55	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.14	-14	-15	1	15.4	15.2	0.20	14.1	16.6	-2.52
E'Twaun Moore	22	21	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	-14	-1	14.7	15.5	-0.79	16.3	14.9	1.47
Arron Afflalo	61	62	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.21	-20	-9	-11	15.4	15.1	0.30	13.6	18.2	-4.63
Tobias Harris	45	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	-6	-17	16.0	14.6	1.45	13.7	16.5	-2.85
Jameer Nelson	62	63	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.22	-22	-7	-15	15.5	14.9	0.58	13.8	18.0	-4.19
Nikola Vucevic	66	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.43	0.21	-23	-6	-17	15.6	14.6	0.97	14.4	17.1	-2.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 120, CHI 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
MIN 91, DET 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.29,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0	97.3%
DAL 103, HOU 76	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.24,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%