NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	120		Excitement	2.1 [1293]		MVP	Jeremy Lin (HOU): +8.3%
Chicago Bulls	97		Comeback	1.1 [461]		LVP	Kirk Hinrich (CHI): -6.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeremy Lin	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.01	0.01	12	71%	0.09	2	-0.01	4	100%	-0.00
James Harden	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.14	0.00	0.08	13	67%	0.08	1	-0.01	13	85%	0.01
Marcus Morris	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.04	9	50%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Carlos Delfino	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.03	6	58%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.13	0.00	0.09	13	69%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Greg Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daequan Cook	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donatas Motiejunas	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Machado	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	2	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cole Aldrich	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chandler Parsons	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.17	0.00	0.17	15	72%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Toney Douglas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.02	4	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	5	64%	0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marco Belinelli	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.10	-0.00	0.09	10	65%	0.00	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marquis Teague	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.03	10	40%	-0.00	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	100%	0.04	5	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.15	-0.00	0.19	16	69%	-0.03	2	-0.02	7	71%	0.00
Luol Deng	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	0.01	14	44%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	11	27%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	8	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.7	31.2	16.7	27.5	2.0	30.0	132.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +40.1%

HOU +0.4%

HOU +4.5%

HOU +4.9%

HOU +0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	CHI	NBA	HOU	CHI	NBA
this game	13.5	16.9	15.4	126.3	103.2	104.1
season	14.2	16.6		107.9	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.4		102.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	12.8	12.4	13.7	15.5	13.5
CHI	19.0	17.1	14.6	17.2	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Omer Asik	70	68	0.55	-0.05	0.61	-0.65	41	-18	59	13.1	14.7	-1.59	17.3	16.0	1.36
Jeremy Lin	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.42	33	-10	43	13.2	14.5	-1.26	17.2	16.2	1.10
Marcus Morris	57	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.33	27	-4	31	13.3	13.9	-0.58	16.9	17.0	-0.13
James Harden	70	69	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.37	26	-3	29	13.1	14.8	-1.65	17.4	15.8	1.62
Carlos Delfino	51	51	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	19	-15	13.2	14.0	-0.84	16.6	17.3	-0.74
Chandler Parsons	72	72	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.20	15	8	7	13.4	14.1	-0.77	17.3	15.8	1.53
Toney Douglas	45	45	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.44	-13	36	-49	14.3	12.9	1.45	15.8	18.0	-2.11
Daequan Cook	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	16.8	13.3	3.51	16.8	17.0	-0.12
Donatas Motiejunas	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	18.2	13.3	4.91	16.2	17.0	-0.73
Scott Machado	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	18.2	13.3	4.91	16.2	17.0	-0.73
Cole Aldrich	5	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	23	-23	18.2	13.3	4.91	16.2	17.0	-0.73
Greg Smith	20	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.47	-18	41	-59	13.8	13.5	0.38	15.9	17.3	-1.35

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nazr Mohammed	4	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-23	23	16.2	17.0	-0.73	18.2	13.3	4.91
Vladimir Radmanovic	6	6	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-23	23	16.8	17.0	-0.12	16.8	13.3	3.51
Marquis Teague	33	34	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.24	8	-31	39	15.6	17.7	-2.02	15.6	12.4	3.13
Jimmy Butler	44	45	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.04	-8	-15	7	17.3	16.7	0.61	14.3	12.9	1.41
Kirk Hinrich	41	41	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.22	-16	-7	-9	18.3	15.9	2.34	12.0	14.7	-2.64
Taj Gibson	38	38	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	-15	7	17.0	16.9	0.09	13.6	13.5	0.14
Nate Robinson	54	55	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.06	-7	-16	9	15.9	18.3	-2.36	14.4	12.3	2.07
Joakim Noah	65	65	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.22	-20	-3	-17	16.8	17.3	-0.48	12.8	15.2	-2.37
Carlos Boozer	43	43	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.39	-26	3	-29	18.2	15.9	2.28	12.3	14.6	-2.36
Luol Deng	73	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	0.10	-16	-7	-9	16.9	17.2	-0.31	13.1	15.1	-2.03
Marco Belinelli	69	71	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.22	-22	-1	-21	16.8	17.3	-0.45	13.6	13.3	0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.39,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.23,0.27,0.26,0.19,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 115, ORL 86	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.15,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.7%
CHI 110, TOR 93	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.15,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.3%
DAL 118, ORL 88	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	97.2%