NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	116		Excitement	3.3 [1108]		MVP	Anthony Tolliver (GSW): +21.2%
Minnesota Timberwolves	107		Comeback	1.5 [515]		LVP	Darko Milicic (MIN): -6.2%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Tolliver	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.19	0.04	0.02	22	67%	0.24	1	-0.02	7	71%	0.01
Chris Hunter	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.02	8	87%	0.12	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Williams	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.05	0.00	-0.03	7	71%	0.09	2	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Stephen Curry	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.01	22	61%	0.10	4	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devean George	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.01	0.04	4	100%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.00	1	-0.00	8	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.08	-0.00	-0.07	2	50%	0.02	4	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	12	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.02	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jonny Flynn	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	14	63%	0.08	6	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.07	-0.01	0.06	9	71%	0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	6	53%	0.04	4	-0.05	5	60%	0.01
Ryan Gomes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.11	-0.01	0.13	13	66%	0.00	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.03	17	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.0	25.2	15.7	27.0	1.8	37.6	131.5
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.6%

GSW +3.5%

GSW +1.8%

GSW +9.7%

MIN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	MIN	NBA	GSW	MIN	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	15.3	114.9	107.0	106.0
season	13.4	14.7		106.5	100.1
opponent	14.8	14.8		109.8	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.3	14.0	15.1	15.4	14.4
MIN	12.9	16.0	15.6	12.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Tolliver	95	94	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.17	11	-2	13	14.2	17.3	-3.09	14.3	13.5	0.78
Reggie Williams	88	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.28	6	3	3	14.7	12.3	2.43	14.1	15.1	-0.97
Stephen Curry	93	92	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.25	5	4	1	14.6	12.5	2.09	14.0	16.9	-2.87
Ronny Turiaf	46	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.03	13	-4	17	15.1	13.8	1.29	13.9	14.5	-0.59
Corey Maggette	37	38	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.13	15	-6	21	13.1	15.2	-2.08	14.5	14.1	0.44
Anthony Morrow	63	62	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.42	-7	16	-23	14.7	14.0	0.72	14.4	14.0	0.33
Chris Hunter	51	51	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.24	-3	12	-15	14.9	14.0	0.88	14.7	13.7	0.97
Devean George	32	30	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.02	5	4	1	12.9	15.1	-2.22	14.2	14.2	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sasha Pavlovic	23	24	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.08	-5	-4	-1	14.0	14.3	-0.36	14.1	14.5	-0.45
Ryan Hollins	18	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.04	-4	-5	1	14.2	14.2	-0.08	14.4	14.4	0.02
Ramon Sessions	28	29	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.01	-5	-4	-1	14.7	14.1	0.62	14.4	14.4	-0.07
Damien Wilkins	57	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.19	0	-9	9	14.7	13.6	1.06	15.2	13.3	1.91
Jonny Flynn	72	72	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.23	-4	-5	1	14.1	14.7	-0.62	14.4	14.4	0.07
Darko Milicic	81	80	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.19	-6	-3	-3	14.5	13.1	1.39	13.8	16.6	-2.77
Corey Brewer	77	77	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-5	1	14.3	14.0	0.36	14.5	14.1	0.45
Ryan Gomes	69	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.20	-8	-1	-7	13.1	16.6	-3.50	14.6	14.0	0.55
Kevin Love	75	73	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.17	-9	0	-9	14.6	13.1	1.53	14.3	14.9	-0.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.42,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.26,0.25,0.29,0.18,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 105, MIN 88	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.24,0.2,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%
ATL 104, BOS 92	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
NOH 96, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.5%