NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	96		Excitement	3.3 [1153]		MVP	J.R. Smith (NOH): +19.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	85		Comeback	1.5 [401]		LVP	Jamaal Magloire (NOH): -10.7%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.20	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.27	0.01	0.08	18	87%	0.21	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Brown	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.00	-0.02	12	68%	0.11	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Casey Jacobsen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Andersen	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dan Dickau	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.07	0.00	-0.07	7	20%	0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	0.00
Bostjan Nachbar	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	8	50%	0.02	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Speedy Claxton	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.06	0.01	-0.04	6	57%	0.01	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
David West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	2	0%	-0.00	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Lee Nailon	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	12	33%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.15	-0.00	-0.04	8	38%	-0.05	3	-0.06	10	40%	-0.04

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	9	57%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
James Posey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.01
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	75%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	83%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.00	1	-0.01	5	100%	0.01
Mike Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	12	48%	-0.01	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	3	37%	-0.03	2	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Brian Cardinal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	13	53%	-0.02	4	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	11	44%	-0.04	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	6	21%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.5	33.2	16.8	24.2	1.7	30.2	132.6
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOH +40.1%

MEM -4.7%

NOH +10.2%

NOH +6.6%

MEM -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	MEM	NBA	NOH	MEM	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.5	107.9	97.7	104.0
season	16.5	16.4		97.7	103.7
opponent	15.5	15.7		101.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOH	19.9	14.9	16.4	16.3	16.8
MEM	16.1	18.0	14.9	15.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
J.R. Smith	63	63	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-2	15	17.6	14.8	2.83	15.9	16.1	-0.25
P.J. Brown	70	67	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	1	9	17.7	13.5	4.13	15.8	16.5	-0.72
Dan Dickau	52	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	3	5	17.2	16.2	1.00	16.1	15.8	0.32
Lee Nailon	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.09	13	-2	15	17.5	16.1	1.46	16.3	15.6	0.67
Chris Andersen	31	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.06	7	4	3	16.7	16.8	-0.10	16.4	15.7	0.74
Jamaal Magloire	58	56	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.12	4	7	-3	16.8	16.7	0.10	15.7	16.4	-0.74
Bostjan Nachbar	47	44	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.27	-2	13	-15	16.1	17.5	-1.46	15.6	16.3	-0.67
Speedy Claxton	37	37	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.12	3	8	-5	16.2	17.2	-1.00	15.8	16.1	-0.32
David West	19	20	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.08	1	10	-9	13.5	17.7	-4.13	16.5	15.8	0.72
Casey Jacobsen	26	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	13	-15	14.8	17.6	-2.83	16.1	15.9	0.25

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bonzi Wells	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.10	0	-11	11	15.6	16.1	-0.48	15.1	17.6	-2.53
Earl Watson	34	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.09	-1	-10	9	15.3	16.4	-1.06	15.3	17.7	-2.35
Stromile Swift	14	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.02	-5	-6	1	18.7	15.4	3.30	13.9	17.4	-3.50
Pau Gasol	33	34	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.08	-3	-8	5	15.8	16.0	-0.15	15.4	17.6	-2.16
Shane Battier	53	53	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.16	-4	-7	3	15.9	16.0	-0.14	17.8	15.3	2.51
Mike Miller	50	53	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.11	-6	-5	-1	16.1	15.7	0.42	16.9	16.6	0.32
Brian Cardinal	54	55	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.10	-8	-3	-5	16.0	15.8	0.15	17.6	15.4	2.16
James Posey	42	43	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.01	-12	1	-13	16.0	15.9	0.16	16.5	17.0	-0.51
Lorenzen Wright	73	74	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.20	-6	-5	-1	15.4	18.7	-3.30	17.4	13.9	3.50
Jason Williams	53	55	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	-1	-9	16.4	15.3	1.06	17.7	15.3	2.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.43,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.18,0.15,0.14,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 113, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.31,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
UTA 111, SEA 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.12,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.9%
CLE 125, MIN 99	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.56,0.55,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.32,0.27,0.24,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.8%