NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	96		Excitement	3.2 [1120]		MVP	Vladimir Radmanovic (SEA): +9.8%
Memphis Grizzlies	71		Comeback	1.4 [1019]		LVP	Grant Long (MEM): -13.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Vladimir Radmanovic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.07	0.03	-0.00	7	72%	0.10	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Predrag Drobnjak	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	7	71%	0.07	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.01	-0.01	10	55%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.02	14	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	13	61%	0.04	2	-0.02	7	86%	0.01
Earl Watson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.02	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olumide Oyedeji	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	62%	0.00	1	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Desmond Mason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	10	55%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Art Long	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jerome James	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	-0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.01	-0.06	9	57%	0.06	2	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	-0.00	-0.03	8	61%	0.06	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	16	46%	0.01	1	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Brevin Knight	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.00	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	3	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ike Fontaine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.10	-0.00	-0.08	5	0%	-0.03	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	6	28%	-0.08	2	-0.03	6	83%	0.01
Shane Battier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.01	0.02	12	38%	-0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.15	-0.00	-0.01	8	0%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	24.4	15.6	24.4	2.3	25.5	118.1
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +47.0%

MEM -2.3%

MEM -4.0%

SEA +5.9%

SEA +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	MEM	NBA	SEA	MEM	NBA
this game	15.1	17.0	15.6	109.1	78.0	102.3
season	16.0	15.7		106.3	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.8		103.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.4	15.5	15.3	16.3	15.1
MEM	16.4	16.4	19.7	15.7	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	60	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.30	25	0	25	14.4	16.7	-2.30	18.1	14.5	3.58
Vladimir Radmanovic	62	65	0.39	0.11	0.28	-0.11	17	8	9	15.4	14.6	0.81	17.0	17.0	0.05
Rashard Lewis	58	61	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.14	18	7	11	14.6	16.2	-1.60	18.0	15.1	2.88
Brent Barry	57	59	0.32	0.18	0.15	-0.12	15	10	5	14.7	15.9	-1.22	17.1	16.8	0.34
Earl Watson	52	52	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	13	-1	16.0	13.9	2.13	15.7	18.7	-2.96
Jerome James	33	36	0.21	0.29	-0.07	-0.11	11	14	-3	14.4	15.6	-1.16	19.1	15.6	3.49
Desmond Mason	48	48	0.21	0.29	-0.08	-0.05	9	16	-7	15.8	14.3	1.51	16.2	17.9	-1.72
Predrag Drobnjak	40	39	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.18	12	13	-1	15.3	15.0	0.32	15.7	18.0	-2.33
Art Long	16	18	0.13	0.37	-0.25	-0.05	6	19	-13	14.8	15.2	-0.41	16.1	17.2	-1.11
Olumide Oyedeji	14	13	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.00	0	25	-25	17.2	14.8	2.46	14.2	17.5	-3.32

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brevin Knight	5	3	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.02	2	-27	29	15.2	17.1	-1.90	18.0	15.0	2.95
Will Solomon	31	32	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	0.08	-5	-20	15	15.9	17.5	-1.61	15.6	14.9	0.65
Ike Fontaine	38	39	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-22	19	15.3	18.2	-2.94	16.2	14.3	1.90
Tony Massenburg	14	14	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.05	-7	-18	11	17.7	16.9	0.84	13.6	15.4	-1.79
Stromile Swift	41	42	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.22	-13	-12	-1	15.6	18.2	-2.62	15.5	14.8	0.67
Grant Long	34	30	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.02	-8	-17	9	17.7	16.6	1.17	15.0	15.2	-0.17
Lorenzen Wright	47	43	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-15	5	18.5	15.4	3.04	15.3	15.0	0.30
Pau Gasol	54	51	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	0.06	-13	-12	-1	18.1	15.4	2.69	14.6	15.9	-1.33
Rodney Buford	60	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.29	-22	-3	-19	16.4	18.1	-1.61	14.5	16.6	-2.14
Shane Battier	67	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.20	-21	-4	-17	17.0	17.1	-0.17	15.5	14.1	1.46
Eddie Gill	64	62	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	0.26	-25	0	-25	17.6	15.6	2.05	14.9	15.8	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 113, NJN 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
SAC 101, LAC 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.29,0.26,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%
ORL 104, CHA 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.32,0.29,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.5%