inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Detroit Pistons 113 Excitement3.1 [1171] MVPRichard Hamilton (DET): +17.9%
New Jersey Nets 89 Comeback1.4 [672] LVPVince Carter (NJN): -13.7%


Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Richard Hamilton0.180,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.020.021375%0.1800.006100%0.02
Chris Webber0.120,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.140.010.03785%0.1200.00683%0.01
Chauncey Billups0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.07-0.000.00769%0.092-0.0212100%0.05
Jason Maxiell0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.090.010.04873%0.0610.006100%0.01
Lindsey Hunter0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.060.010.044100%0.051-0.0200%0.00
Carlos Delfino0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.000.00-0.02383%0.032-0.0000%0.00
Antonio McDyess0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.020.01-0.03567%0.053-0.042100%0.01
Ronald Murray0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.05425%0.0010.0000%0.00
Nazr Mohammed0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.04133%0.0010.0040%0.00
Tayshaun Prince-0.010,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.070.010.08965%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Rasheed Wallace-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.01-0.0170%-0.1100.0000%0.00

New Jersey Nets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mikki Moore0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.11-0.000.031271%0.101-0.024100%0.02
Jason Kidd0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.08-0.01-0.021358%0.0800.0000%0.00
Marcus Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.020.01-0.031258%0.062-0.0000%0.00
Eddie House0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.08-0.000.051067%0.051-0.031100%0.00
Bostjan Nachbar0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.00650%0.0200.002100%0.00
Jason Collins00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Bernard Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.010.00-0.01333%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hassan Adams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.020.00-0.0210%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Josh Boone0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.000.02250%-0.0100.00250%-0.01
Clifford Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.03425%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Antoine Wright0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.09-0.02-0.00312%-0.062-0.05250%-0.01
Vince Carter0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.15-0.01-0.021530%-0.093-0.05743%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.01.729.815.727.71.628.1134.6
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +16.6%
DET +14.6%
DET +8.3%
DET +7.6%
DET +2.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDETNJNNBADETNJNNBA
this game17.515.415.4129.9101.1104.5
season16.815.4106.1103.1
opponent15.715.7103.8101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DET17.415.819.917.417.5
NJN16.113.518.014.715.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Richard Hamilton56570.460.040.42-0.101951418.715.43.2716.813.03.75
Chauncey Billups54530.350.150.20-0.151771018.416.12.2616.114.41.67
Tayshaun Prince58580.330.170.15-0.14168818.415.72.7115.914.41.51
Chris Webber40400.300.200.11-0.111410418.516.61.9516.614.42.23
Rasheed Wallace39380.260.240.02-0.151410418.117.01.0615.515.40.07
Antonio McDyess39400.240.26-0.02-0.111212017.717.30.3616.114.91.27
Carlos Delfino45460.230.27-0.05-0.121212014.920.3-5.4413.717.4-3.68
Jason Maxiell47480.200.30-0.11-0.101014-416.618.5-1.9514.416.6-2.23
Lindsey Hunter35360.140.36-0.23-0.04618-1217.417.6-0.2114.616.0-1.44
Ronald Murray13140.000.50-0.50-0.06222-2014.318.1-3.7513.415.8-2.47
Nazr Mohammed9100.000.50-0.500.06-226-2814.117.9-3.7712.515.8-3.31

New Jersey Nets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bernard Robinson1413-0.00-0.500.500.06-2-222013.415.8-2.4714.318.1-3.75
Hassan Adams99-0.01-0.490.49-0.062-262816.815.31.5021.817.04.78
Antoine Wright3130-0.12-0.380.270.03-5-191415.015.7-0.7218.117.20.98
Josh Boone1413-0.13-0.370.230.01-5-191414.415.6-1.2814.318.1-3.75
Mikki Moore4040-0.15-0.350.21-0.03-4-201614.516.2-1.7117.117.8-0.73
Eddie House4746-0.19-0.310.110.01-7-171014.516.5-2.0216.618.5-1.97
Jason Collins3030-0.20-0.300.100.15-12-12016.814.72.0320.016.23.88
Clifford Robinson3332-0.28-0.22-0.050.10-13-11-216.215.01.2016.218.3-2.07
Jason Kidd4948-0.28-0.22-0.060.19-16-8-816.314.32.0618.915.73.17
Bostjan Nachbar5049-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-10-414.916.1-1.2316.518.8-2.35
Marcus Williams4647-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-13-11-215.315.5-0.1816.718.4-1.72
Vince Carter5859-0.35-0.15-0.200.18-18-6-1215.415.4-0.0017.916.71.20


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.28,0.24,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHI 98, MIA 740.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
ATL 104, BOS 920.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.21,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.9%
CHI 95, UTA 790.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.7%