NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	115		Excitement	2.8 [1220]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (DET): +13.4%
Toronto Raptors	93		Comeback	1.5 [386]		LVP	Jose Calderon (TOR): -15.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.01	-0.04	12	71%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Richard Hamilton	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.25	-0.00	0.17	20	78%	0.08	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Rodney Stuckey	0.08	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.11	0.00	0.03	15	64%	0.08	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Greg Monroe	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	3	78%	0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	15	56%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	9	33%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Daye	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	4	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	1	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Wallace	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.00
Jason Maxiell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.00	-0.04	7	25%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.00	0.05	5	77%	0.04	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	0.00	0.04	11	73%	0.07	3	-0.03	4	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.10	-0.00	0.07	12	72%	0.05	3	-0.02	5	80%	-0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	7	62%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Solomon Alabi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joey Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	100%	0.01	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Julian Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	0.05	4	75%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.01	17	39%	-0.04	3	-0.06	7	57%	-0.03
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.19	-0.01	-0.05	6	36%	-0.01	8	-0.14	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	30.1	16.7	27.3	2.4	23.6	126.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +19.1%

DET +1.0%

DET +1.6%

DET +25.5%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	TOR	NBA	DET	TOR	NBA
this game	16.3	13.2	15.5	117.3	95.9	105.7
season	16.7	15.1		106.4	104.7
opponent	15.5	15.2		111.2	110.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	16.8	13.3	17.7	17.8	16.3
TOR	13.2	13.3	14.2	12.2	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	51	51	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.44	32	-10	42	14.4	18.4	-3.99	13.6	12.7	0.91
Richard Hamilton	59	58	0.50	-0.00	0.50	-0.14	22	0	22	15.3	17.9	-2.65	13.1	13.4	-0.32
Rodney Stuckey	57	56	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.08	16	6	10	17.0	15.4	1.61	13.6	12.7	0.93
Jason Maxiell	21	20	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.03	11	11	0	14.2	16.9	-2.66	13.4	13.1	0.26
Greg Monroe	51	50	0.30	0.20	0.09	-0.09	13	9	4	16.1	16.6	-0.52	13.6	12.7	0.88
Charlie Villanueva	51	52	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.06	11	11	0	16.4	16.3	0.06	13.6	12.8	0.82
Ben Wallace	49	48	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	17	-12	16.7	15.9	0.78	12.8	13.6	-0.84
Will Bynum	41	41	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.07	6	16	-10	15.4	17.0	-1.61	12.7	13.6	-0.93
Tayshaun Prince	55	56	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.39	14	8	6	17.5	14.9	2.61	13.4	12.9	0.51
Chris Wilcox	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	32	-42	20.7	15.9	4.82	9.0	13.5	-4.52
Austin Daye	8	7	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	32	-42	20.7	15.9	4.82	9.0	13.5	-4.52
Ben Gordon	39	39	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	22	-22	17.9	15.3	2.65	13.4	13.1	0.32

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Solomon Alabi	7	8	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.29	10	-32	42	9.0	13.5	-4.52	20.7	15.9	4.82
Ed Davis	43	44	-0.06	-0.45	0.39	-0.06	0	-22	22	13.1	13.2	-0.10	17.3	15.5	1.80
Joey Dorsey	24	26	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	-0.26	7	-29	36	12.6	13.4	-0.76	18.7	15.5	3.27
Leandro Barbosa	51	52	-0.14	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-15	8	12.9	13.5	-0.58	16.4	16.3	0.08
Julian Wright	37	36	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.16	0	-22	22	13.4	13.1	0.30	14.5	17.4	-2.84
Amir Johnson	33	32	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	-12	2	12.8	13.4	-0.57	16.5	16.2	0.26
DeMar DeRozan	68	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	0.57	-34	12	-46	13.2	13.2	-0.06	16.6	15.6	1.00
Jose Calderon	78	77	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	0.24	-23	1	-24	13.1	13.4	-0.28	15.6	18.9	-3.22
Linas Kleiza	74	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.49	-33	11	-44	13.9	11.1	2.76	16.6	15.5	1.11
Andrea Bargnani	70	72	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	0.10	-20	-2	-18	13.5	12.4	1.14	15.3	19.1	-3.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 107, ATL 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.3%
MIA 117, CLE 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.35,0.39,0.27,0.24,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
NYK 132, MEM 103	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%