NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	132		Excitement	3.2 [1143]		MVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): +17.0%
Memphis Grizzlies	103		Comeback	1.9 [291]		LVP	Mike Conley (MEM): -8.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.22	0.01	0.06	8	131%	0.19	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.28	-0.00	0.17	12	108%	0.13	1	-0.03	1	100%	-0.00
Jamal Crawford	0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.00	20	58%	0.10	2	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Chris Duhon	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	9	67%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	8	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	13	58%	0.07	3	-0.05	5	100%	0.01
Mardy Collins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Roberson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.12	0.00	0.12	3	150%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David Lee	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.02	0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	0.02	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marc Gasol	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	11	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rudy Gay	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	12	69%	0.11	4	-0.06	5	80%	0.00
Darko Milicic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.04	0.00	0.04	2	83%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Marko Jaric	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	0.00	0.06	2	100%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakim Warrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	13	57%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Quinton Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	67%	-0.01	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Darrell Arthur	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.09	0.00	-0.07	10	30%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.02	9	47%	-0.00	4	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	7	37%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	26.6	15.6	24.2	2.4	24.3	117.0
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +43.5%

MEM -2.2%

MEM -0.1%

NYK +7.6%

NYK +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MEM	NBA	NYK	MEM	NBA
this game	13.6	15.4	15.5	134.7	102.0	106.4
season	13.8	16.1		106.2	101.7
opponent	15.3	15.5		107.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.8	11.2	15.2	15.5	13.6
MEM	14.9	15.4	15.5	15.8	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wilson Chandler	69	71	0.49	0.01	0.49	-0.27	26	3	23	13.7	13.3	0.39	14.8	16.6	-1.75
Zach Randolph	73	76	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.26	23	6	17	13.7	13.2	0.47	15.3	15.4	-0.10
Quentin Richardson	60	60	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.37	26	3	23	13.0	14.4	-1.46	15.6	15.0	0.58
Jamal Crawford	74	76	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.22	21	8	13	13.6	13.4	0.23	15.5	14.9	0.65
Chris Duhon	68	72	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	19	-9	13.2	14.3	-1.08	15.5	15.1	0.32
Nate Robinson	60	62	0.25	0.25	0.00	-0.28	18	11	7	13.7	13.4	0.30	15.3	15.5	-0.16
Malik Rose	31	32	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.16	10	19	-9	13.4	13.6	-0.19	14.9	15.6	-0.67
David Lee	33	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.12	7	22	-15	13.2	13.7	-0.51	16.7	14.7	1.97
Mardy Collins	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	15.5	13.3	2.25	14.5	15.5	-1.02
Anthony Roberson	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.06	2	27	-25	15.5	13.3	2.25	14.5	15.5	-1.02

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Javaris Crittenton	11	11	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-27	25	14.5	15.5	-1.02	15.5	13.3	2.25
Marko Jaric	20	20	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-25	21	14.3	15.6	-1.27	15.7	13.0	2.70
Darrell Arthur	56	54	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.07	-4	-25	21	15.0	15.8	-0.74	14.5	12.3	2.20
Darko Milicic	34	33	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.16	-8	-21	13	14.9	15.6	-0.69	13.7	13.5	0.27
Mike Conley	45	45	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.13	-12	-17	5	15.7	15.1	0.62	13.6	13.5	0.05
Quinton Ross	45	43	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	0.28	-18	-11	-7	15.5	15.2	0.26	13.2	13.9	-0.69
Kyle Lowry	56	53	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.22	-17	-12	-5	15.1	15.7	-0.62	13.5	13.6	-0.05
Rudy Gay	70	68	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	-18	7	15.6	14.8	0.81	13.3	14.2	-0.94
Hakim Warrick	36	36	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.19	-20	-9	-11	15.1	15.5	-0.35	12.2	14.3	-2.14
Marc Gasol	60	57	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	0.31	-25	-4	-21	16.2	14.2	1.97	13.2	14.0	-0.77
O.J. Mayo	72	70	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	0.21	-24	-5	-19	15.4	15.3	0.03	13.3	14.3	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.55,0.63,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.2,0.18,0.2,0.21,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 90, POR 83	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.3,0.27,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0	96.2%
DET 115, TOR 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.37,0.31,0.24,0.28,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	96.1%
MIA 107, ATL 73	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.18,0.16,0.11,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%