inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 102 Excitement6.0 [672] MVPTyler Johnson (MIA): +10.8%
New Orleans Pelicans 96 Comeback1.2 [402] LVPRodney McGruder (MIA): -13.6%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Johnson0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.110.030.06-0.011354%0.131-0.022100%0.01
Derrick Jones Jr.0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.070.01-0.02765%0.0900.0030%-0.02
Dwyane Wade0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.020.04-0.031268%0.175-0.084100%0.03
Bam Adebayo0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.03-0.03283%0.084-0.052100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside0.010,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.04-0.020.021455%0.031-0.02333%-0.04
Josh Richardson-0.000,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0-0.020.01-0.002052%0.064-0.072100%0.00
James Johnson-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.00427%-0.0300.00333%-0.02
Kelly Olynyk-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01936%-0.021-0.034100%0.02
Justise Winslow-0.050,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.010.00425%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Rodney McGruder-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.11-0.03-0.0160%-0.121-0.0200%0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Anthony Davis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.14-0.010.031961%0.141-0.04683%0.01
Solomon Hill0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.01671%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Julius Randle0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.050.010.011355%0.061-0.02580%0.00
Jrue Holiday0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.030.030.020.020.011955%0.103-0.062100%0.01
E'Twaun Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.000.011055%0.0300.0000%0.00
Andrew Harrison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.020.01-0.02737%0.0100.00250%-0.00
Frank Jackson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Tim Frazier0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.0020%-0.041-0.0300%0.00
Cheick Diallo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.06-0.01-0.0000%0.003-0.0700%0.00
Darius Miller0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.11-0.03-0.01917%-0.101-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.51.527.614.026.22.536.3134.7
league avg25.32.227.814.627.62.231.9132.8
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +8.2%
MIA +4.7%
MIA +42.4%
NOP -8.7%
MIA +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANOPNBAMIANOPNBA
this game16.414.414.3108.5103.2109.3
season14.813.4106.3110.2
opponent14.214.3111.5106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA14.019.916.116.116.4
NOP12.712.317.415.914.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Josh Richardson69710.54-0.040.570.2410-41415.419.0-3.5914.713.51.28
Bam Adebayo50510.340.160.180.3115-416.016.7-0.7313.815.2-1.43
Kelly Olynyk61610.330.170.170.3015-417.314.72.6114.414.40.04
Dwyane Wade49490.280.220.060.077-1815.117.8-2.6713.715.2-1.51
Tyler Johnson48470.260.240.010.2315-417.615.12.5415.013.81.20
Derrick Jones Jr.40400.220.28-0.070.39-612-1817.715.42.3314.614.30.34
Rodney McGruder45410.170.33-0.160.0251416.915.91.0115.313.71.59
James Johnson33320.170.33-0.170.0251414.717.3-2.6114.414.4-0.04
Hassan Whiteside44420.160.34-0.180.0151416.716.00.7315.213.81.43
Justise Winslow31310.040.46-0.420.0115-416.116.5-0.4012.515.4-2.82

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Frank Jackson1010-0.05-0.450.41-0.050-6612.314.7-2.3918.816.12.73
Tim Frazier2426-0.15-0.350.200.03-60-615.614.01.5514.317.2-2.89
Cheick Diallo1614-0.16-0.340.190.08-82-1012.914.7-1.8015.816.5-0.68
Andrew Harrison2930-0.21-0.290.09-0.210-6613.514.8-1.3314.917.0-2.10
E'Twaun Moore6768-0.22-0.280.07-0.396-121814.015.6-1.5916.915.11.78
Darius Miller6059-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.332-81014.514.30.2416.715.90.80
Julius Randle5656-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.04-93-1215.313.12.2917.015.41.62
Jrue Holiday7677-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.30-1-5414.812.72.1116.913.83.17
Solomon Hill5252-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.05-126-1814.114.9-0.8016.416.30.18
Anthony Davis7578-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.36-2-4214.514.10.4615.719.8-4.16


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0
GameSimilarity Score
PHI 96, SEA 900.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,094.9%
DAL 112, DEN 950.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.35,0.33,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.46,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.28,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.9%
CHI 125, BKN 1060.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.37,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.3,0.19,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.26,0.29,0.25,0.2,0.14,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,094.9%