NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	96		Excitement	5.3 [767]		MVP	Kyle Korver (PHI): +10.4%
Seattle SuperSonics	90		Comeback	1.1 [529]		LVP	Nick Collison (SEA): -15.9%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.03	0.01	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Steven Hunter	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.02	4	64%	0.11	1	-0.01	6	50%	-0.01
Shavlik Randolph	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	3	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.02	7	75%	0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Ollie	0.05	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	4	73%	0.06	1	-0.01	3	67%	0.00
Rodney Carney	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Allen Iverson	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	22	47%	0.07	2	-0.05	16	87%	0.04
Bobby Jones	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	0.00	-0.02	8	37%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Willie Green	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.01	-0.03	9	22%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	11	50%	0.01	5	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	16	60%	0.10	4	-0.08	10	90%	0.03
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	7	56%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.04	0.00	16	61%	0.09	4	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	5	20%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ray Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	0.04	23	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.02	0.03	8	45%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Nick Collison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	6	7%	-0.11	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	1.8	25.2	15.8	26.0	2.0	40.3	137.6
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +36.4%

PHI +18.8%

SEA -9.4%

PHI +4.4%

SEA -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	SEA	NBA	PHI	SEA	NBA
this game	15.2	15.1	15.4	101.1	94.7	104.5
season	15.5	15.4		101.7	105.5
opponent	15.4	15.7		108.3	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	14.7	14.0	16.7	15.5	15.2
SEA	17.4	15.3	14.0	13.8	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Ollie	55	53	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.20	9	-3	12	15.9	14.4	1.48	14.1	16.3	-2.24
Andre Iguodala	82	81	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.37	2	4	-2	15.6	12.8	2.85	15.2	14.5	0.69
Allen Iverson	83	83	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.34	0	6	-6	15.2	15.6	-0.40	14.8	16.7	-1.91
Kyle Korver	54	55	0.29	0.21	0.09	0.26	1	5	-4	14.6	16.1	-1.48	14.8	15.5	-0.67
Chris Webber	46	46	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.02	9	-3	12	15.5	15.0	0.52	15.3	14.9	0.43
Steven Hunter	27	27	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.23	-1	7	-8	17.3	14.4	2.94	16.6	14.5	2.11
Shavlik Randolph	24	24	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.01	6	0	6	12.9	16.0	-3.15	15.3	15.0	0.28
Samuel Dalembert	50	50	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	3	0	15.2	15.2	0.02	15.4	14.8	0.58
Bobby Jones	4	5	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.07	6	0	6	10.5	15.4	-4.94	17.6	14.9	2.66
Willie Green	42	43	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.15	-2	8	-10	14.5	15.8	-1.35	15.0	15.2	-0.15
Rodney Carney	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.06	-3	9	-12	16.5	15.1	1.39	15.2	15.1	0.18

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	12	11	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.05	-5	-1	-4	20.0	14.4	5.63	14.2	15.4	-1.19
Earl Watson	27	23	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.06	-9	3	-12	16.5	14.5	2.00	14.8	15.4	-0.59
Johan Petro	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.03	-6	0	-6	15.1	15.1	0.02	16.5	14.6	1.90
Damien Wilkins	57	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.33	3	-9	12	14.0	16.8	-2.80	15.0	15.5	-0.49
Nick Collison	42	41	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	1	-8	15.9	14.5	1.39	13.9	16.2	-2.30
Luke Ridnour	76	80	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.42	4	-10	14	15.2	14.5	0.70	15.4	14.5	0.83
Chris Wilcox	61	63	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-3	0	14.4	16.3	-1.93	15.3	15.1	0.21
Rashard Lewis	83	83	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.39	0	-6	6	15.3	13.9	1.34	15.6	12.5	3.13
Ray Allen	87	87	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.29	-7	1	-8	14.5	21.2	-6.73	15.2	15.2	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.32,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.3,0.34,0.2,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.13,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 102, NOP 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.23,0.18,0.11,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.26,0.25,0.2,0.22,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0	94.9%
DAL 84, IND 75	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.27,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.24,0.17,0.1,0.12,0.02,0,0	94.5%
LAC 118, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.4%