NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	118		Excitement	4.8 [829]		MVP	Quentin Richardson (LAC): +13.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	95		Comeback	1.1 [161]		LVP	Darius Miles (LAC): -10.0%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Quentin Richardson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.00	8	84%	0.13	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	0.08	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.16	-0.00	0.08	18	78%	0.13	3	-0.05	1	0%	-0.01
Cherokee Parks	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.00	-0.02	8	68%	0.07	1	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Eric Piatkowski	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	7	62%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Corey Maggette	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.02	0.01	8	61%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jeff McInnis	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	69%	0.06	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.00
Sean Rooks	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Skinner	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Olowokandi	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	8	36%	-0.07	1	-0.02	6	33%	-0.04
Darius Miles	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.03	3	-0.07	7	43%	-0.04

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.09	0.01	0.05	12	62%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Madsen	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Slava Medvedenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Horry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	7	56%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Greg Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ron Harper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaquille O'Neal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	18	59%	0.03	4	-0.07	20	45%	-0.11
Isaiah Rider	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Penberthy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.03	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Rick Fox	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	7	37%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.02	-0.05	24	48%	0.01	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.02
Horace Grant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.6	27.2	15.8	32.3	1.8	31.4	138.3
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +50.9%

LAL -7.4%

LAC +6.9%

LAL -2.3%

LAC +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	LAL	NBA	LAC	LAL	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	15.5	119.2	99.0	100.9
season	16.1	15.6		99.5	106.8
opponent	15.2	15.5		101.8	102.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	13.5	17.1	16.5	15.1	15.4
LAL	12.7	13.4	17.0	13.7	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Richardson	49	47	0.42	0.08	0.33	-0.14	19	4	15	15.1	15.8	-0.70	13.9	14.3	-0.46
Michael Olowokandi	54	51	0.40	0.10	0.31	-0.12	18	5	13	14.8	16.2	-1.36	14.3	13.8	0.53
Lamar Odom	74	72	0.34	0.16	0.19	-0.21	19	4	15	15.9	14.0	1.87	14.5	12.7	1.78
Darius Miles	57	58	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	20	-17	15.8	14.9	0.92	14.2	13.8	0.40
Jeff McInnis	53	54	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.32	19	4	15	15.8	15.0	0.89	14.1	14.0	0.11
Eric Piatkowski	62	58	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.16	12	11	1	14.9	16.3	-1.42	13.7	14.7	-0.95
Cherokee Parks	47	45	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.20	13	10	3	15.1	15.7	-0.58	14.1	14.1	0.05
Corey Maggette	44	43	0.17	0.33	-0.17	-0.13	10	13	-3	15.3	15.6	-0.29	13.5	14.6	-1.12
Sean Rooks	6	7	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	23	-23	17.5	15.3	2.20	13.9	14.1	-0.24
Brian Skinner	3	3	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	25	-27	27.3	15.1	12.27	16.0	14.0	1.98

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mark Madsen	7	7	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.00	3	-26	29	11.1	14.3	-3.17	14.7	15.5	-0.77
Isaiah Rider	34	34	0.04	-0.54	0.57	-0.17	7	-30	37	13.6	14.3	-0.72	17.9	14.1	3.82
Greg Foster	7	6	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-22	21	14.6	14.0	0.53	17.0	15.3	1.67
Slava Medvedenko	7	7	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.18	-8	-15	7	10.4	14.4	-3.94	5.1	16.2	-11.07
Rick Fox	41	42	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.33	-18	-5	-13	13.2	14.7	-1.51	14.5	16.1	-1.62
Mike Penberthy	21	24	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.24	-15	-8	-7	13.8	14.2	-0.41	12.2	16.5	-4.31
Horace Grant	57	56	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	-8	-15	7	14.5	13.4	1.09	15.5	15.3	0.23
Robert Horry	58	60	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.02	-11	-12	1	14.7	13.2	1.49	15.7	15.0	0.67
Ron Harper	20	23	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	-10	-3	15.5	13.7	1.79	16.0	15.3	0.74
Shaquille O'Neal	75	79	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.11	-17	-6	-11	14.0	14.3	-0.32	16.2	12.2	3.99
Brian Shaw	63	65	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.02	-14	-9	-5	14.2	13.8	0.36	14.9	16.4	-1.44
Kobe Bryant	90	92	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.13	-20	-3	-17	14.2	12.3	1.87	15.8	10.6	5.23

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 111, GSW 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0,0	96.3%
CHI 102, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.1%
DAL 106, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%