inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Chicago Bulls 102 Excitement4.8 [865] MVPNikola Mirotic (CHI): +16.6%
Philadelphia 76ers 90 Comeback1.2 [1029] LVPT.J. McConnell (PHI): -12.1%


Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Mirotic0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.190.040.0711100%0.202-0.0400%0.00
Bobby Portis0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.070.02-0.00875%0.101-0.0200%0.00
Joffrey Lauvergne0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.050.00-0.021064%0.092-0.012100%0.01
Jerian Grant0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.060.000.011062%0.071-0.034100%0.02
Paul Zipser0.020,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.02-0.00844%0.0200.0000%0.00
Cameron Payne0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Cristiano Felicio0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Canaan0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Michael Carter-Williams-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.02-0.03714%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Denzel Valentine-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.060.00-0.0340%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Jimmy Butler-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.040.010.001258%0.086-0.119100%0.04
Anthony Morrow-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02714%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Robin Lopez-0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.12-0.00-0.041332%-0.023-0.07250%-0.01

Philadelphia 76ers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Justin Anderson0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.100.080.01-0.011165%0.121-0.01475%0.01
Tiago Splitter0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.010.01-0.02333%0.0100.0000%0.00
Richaun Holmes0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.01-0.031143%0.042-0.031100%0.00
Nik Stauskas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.05-0.010.041054%0.021-0.02475%-0.00
Alex Poythress0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.04-0.00-0.01629%-0.0300.002100%0.01
Gerald Henderson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01631%-0.021-0.0210%-0.01
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.000.00845%-0.002-0.04450%-0.01
Shawn Long0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.00-0.01922%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.04-0.020.101551%-0.051-0.035100%0.01
T.J. McConnell0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.13-0.03-0.041236%-0.045-0.091100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game20.52.527.415.524.32.430.2122.7
league avg24.82.329.615.726.82.333.5136.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +41.7%
CHI +2.4%
CHI +9.5%
PHI -4.3%
CHI +0.6%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsCHIPHINBACHIPHINBA
this game14.413.514.899.086.5107.7
season15.114.5105.9101.9
opponent14.414.8107.6105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
CHI14.012.914.716.114.4
PHI14.313.314.112.213.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Robin Lopez68680.460.040.43-0.1220-82814.015.2-1.2214.012.51.47
Jimmy Butler80800.450.050.40-0.0818-62414.314.5-0.2013.513.20.38
Paul Zipser53510.300.200.10-0.021111014.114.7-0.5713.713.20.52
Bobby Portis44450.280.220.070.0875215.513.61.9012.614.1-1.52
Anthony Morrow44470.270.230.050.0775214.414.30.1113.713.20.48
Denzel Valentine40420.230.27-0.040.1439-615.313.81.5612.214.3-2.09
Nikola Mirotic56560.220.28-0.07-0.08102813.215.8-2.6114.412.41.94
Michael Carter-Williams24240.130.37-0.240.07210-812.614.9-2.3313.613.40.16
Jerian Grant65650.120.38-0.260.12012-1214.414.30.0413.912.71.15
Joffrey Lauvergne32330.040.46-0.430.13-315-1814.714.20.4212.813.8-1.03
Cameron Payne330.000.50-0.500.15-517-2220.714.26.499.713.6-3.91
Cristiano Felicio330.000.50-0.500.15-517-2220.714.26.499.713.6-3.91
Isaiah Canaan330.000.50-0.500.15-517-2220.714.26.499.713.6-3.91

Philadelphia 76ers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tiago Splitter10100.00-0.500.50-0.155-172211.913.6-1.7314.814.30.48
Dario Saric5050-0.17-0.330.17-0.02-5-7213.913.00.9213.415.2-1.81
Richaun Holmes6867-0.21-0.280.07-0.01-7-5-214.012.51.4714.015.1-1.06
Gerald Henderson3939-0.23-0.270.03-0.06-6-6013.113.7-0.6614.714.20.48
T.J. McConnell7473-0.24-0.260.010.05-10-2-813.912.41.5413.815.8-2.02
Shawn Long2626-0.29-0.21-0.070.01-10-2-812.713.7-0.9715.214.11.05
Nik Stauskas5453-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.04-9-3-613.613.30.2314.314.5-0.22
Alex Poythress5453-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.13-7-5-213.013.9-0.9215.213.41.81
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot7475-0.35-0.15-0.19-0.20-5-7213.214.1-0.9014.613.70.85
Justin Anderson7169-0.37-0.13-0.24-0.19-6-6013.413.6-0.1714.713.80.86


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 111, GSW 1040.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0,096.2%
LAC 118, LAL 950.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,096.1%
PHI 112, ATL 910.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.25,0.35,0.28,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.44,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.23,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%