NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	111		Excitement	3.9 [1003]		MVP	Karl Malone (UTA): +15.3%
Golden State Warriors	104		Comeback	1.1 [1145]		LVP	Joe Smith (GSW): -11.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl Malone	0.15	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.01	25	67%	0.19	3	-0.04	11	82%	0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0.09	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	12	72%	0.13	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.02
Stephen Howard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	3	89%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Bryon Russell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.02	7	56%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Chris Morris	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.00	3	67%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.01	0.01	4	110%	0.11	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Greg Ostertag	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Greg Foster	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Carr	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mullin	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.16	0.00	0.08	12	87%	0.14	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.03
Scott Burrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	2	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.00	0.03	9	78%	0.09	3	-0.06	5	80%	-0.00
Todd Fuller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Felton Spencer	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.03	9	67%	0.04	2	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Andrew DeClercq	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Bimbo Coles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	3	12%	-0.06	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Latrell Sprewell	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	0.06	15	58%	-0.02	5	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.03	0.03	12	54%	-0.01	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.8	26.1	15.4	27.7	2.6	37.0	134.3
league avg	32.7	2.1	23.2	15.3	25.7	2.1	33.1	135.6

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +29.5%

UTA +1.0%

UTA +2.6%

UTA +13.2%

UTA +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	17.5	15.6	15.6	127.6	119.5	104.4
season	15.6	15.0		110.8	104.4
opponent	15.4	16.0		109.1	102.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	17.0	21.2	15.6	17.0	17.5
GSW	15.1	16.7	16.5	14.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	78	77	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.26	13	-6	19	17.2	20.6	-3.38	15.0	19.7	-4.66
Bryon Russell	64	65	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-7	21	16.2	21.1	-4.90	15.4	16.1	-0.69
Jeff Hornacek	60	61	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-5	17	17.0	18.7	-1.65	14.6	17.9	-3.29
John Stockton	65	66	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.28	1	6	-5	17.8	16.7	1.07	16.0	14.3	1.70
Howard Eisley	22	21	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.01	6	1	5	16.7	17.8	-1.07	14.3	16.0	-1.70
Greg Foster	21	21	0.17	0.33	-0.16	-0.04	7	0	7	19.1	17.0	2.06	18.0	14.8	3.13
Greg Ostertag	33	34	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.08	3	4	-1	16.8	18.0	-1.19	16.0	15.3	0.75
Stephen Howard	26	25	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	8	-9	16.1	18.1	-2.07	14.6	16.0	-1.42
Shandon Anderson	30	29	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.26	-6	13	-19	18.9	16.8	2.09	16.7	15.0	1.67
Antoine Carr	14	15	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.07	-5	12	-17	21.6	16.7	4.90	16.9	15.3	1.56
Chris Morris	22	21	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.18	-9	16	-25	20.8	16.4	4.34	16.6	15.3	1.31

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew DeClercq	15	14	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.13	7	-14	21	15.3	15.6	-0.29	19.1	17.2	1.92
Scott Burrell	11	12	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-8	9	20.0	14.9	5.07	20.1	17.1	2.96
Todd Fuller	2	2	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.09	-6	-1	-5	23.0	15.4	7.60	8.5	17.7	-9.24
Mark Price	59	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.35	7	-14	21	15.1	16.6	-1.52	18.6	15.4	3.22
Bimbo Coles	31	33	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	5	-17	15.9	15.4	0.46	15.4	18.8	-3.44
Chris Mullin	76	75	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	14.9	20.0	-5.07	17.1	20.1	-2.96
Felton Spencer	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	3	-13	15.7	15.1	0.55	17.6	17.3	0.23
Latrell Sprewell	87	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.6	0.0	15.57	17.5	0.0	17.53
Joe Smith	87	87	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.29	-7	0	-7	15.6	0.0	15.57	17.5	0.0	17.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.24,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 118, LAL 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.36,0.31,0.36,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.03,0,0,0,0	96.3%
CHI 102, PHI 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.21,0.24,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.09,0.15,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.15,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.2%
DAL 106, MEM 91	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.24,0.32,0.3,0.36,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.8%