NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	115		Excitement	4.1 [1015]		MVP	Bam Adebayo (MIA): +16.1%
Phoenix Suns	98		Comeback	1.3 [1070]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -12.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bam Adebayo	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.19	0.01	0.04	9	76%	0.16	0	0.00	11	91%	0.03
Justise Winslow	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.01	-0.01	8	105%	0.19	4	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.00	9	78%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	10	40%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	11	54%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.00	0.04	3	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	0.00	0.07	9	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.02	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	46%	0.02	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	-0.01	-0.02	6	14%	-0.08	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.13	-0.00	0.04	13	69%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.01	0.03	11	73%	0.06	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Richaun Holmes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	69%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Trevor Ariza	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	11	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elie Okobo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	5	40%	-0.01	3	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	9	63%	0.06	4	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	0.00	8	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	4	53%	0.02	6	-0.14	9	78%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	2.4	27.1	14.5	22.7	2.5	27.5	124.7
league avg	25.3	2.2	27.8	14.6	27.6	2.2	31.9	132.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +19.9%

MIA +4.2%

PHX -1.1%

MIA +27.0%

PHX -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHX	NBA	MIA	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	14.3	14.3	113.9	98.0	109.3
season	14.8	14.4		106.3	104.8
opponent	14.0	14.3		114.0	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	13.2	13.2	15.9	15.3	14.4
PHX	14.5	16.3	14.1	12.4	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	79	78	0.59	-0.09	0.67	-0.18	26	-9	35	14.7	13.3	1.34	14.8	12.5	2.29
Bam Adebayo	63	64	0.57	-0.07	0.63	-0.02	20	-3	23	14.5	14.1	0.38	15.5	12.1	3.45
Rodney McGruder	58	58	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.10	14	3	11	14.4	14.3	0.11	15.0	13.3	1.65
Goran Dragic	45	44	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	2	13	14.1	14.6	-0.42	15.0	13.8	1.19
Justise Winslow	68	68	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	9	-1	13.7	15.8	-2.16	13.9	15.1	-1.18
James Johnson	33	32	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	8	1	15.8	13.7	2.16	15.1	13.9	1.18
Dwyane Wade	45	45	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.04	4	13	-9	14.2	14.5	-0.22	13.8	14.7	-0.85
Tyler Johnson	48	48	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	18	-19	14.2	14.5	-0.22	13.0	15.4	-2.40
Derrick Jones Jr.	16	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.08	-5	22	-27	12.7	14.7	-1.99	12.7	14.6	-1.91
Kelly Olynyk	50	48	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.08	-5	22	-27	14.6	14.1	0.54	12.6	15.9	-3.32

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Elie Okobo	47	48	0.10	-0.60	0.69	-0.05	5	-22	27	13.0	15.5	-2.47	14.7	14.0	0.73
Troy Daniels	67	67	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.02	-3	-14	11	13.9	15.2	-1.33	14.6	14.0	0.60
Richaun Holmes	42	42	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.04	-6	-11	5	14.0	14.5	-0.46	13.0	15.4	-2.42
Josh Jackson	52	54	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-11	5	14.0	14.6	-0.64	13.7	15.1	-1.46
Deandre Ayton	58	59	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	0.04	-11	-6	-5	14.5	14.0	0.46	15.4	13.0	2.42
Jamal Crawford	48	46	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	0.01	-10	-7	-3	14.3	14.3	0.04	13.7	14.9	-1.27
Mikal Bridges	68	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.01	-16	-1	-15	14.7	13.3	1.39	14.5	13.9	0.61
De'Anthony Melton	51	50	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	0	-17	15.1	13.4	1.69	14.6	14.1	0.50
Trevor Ariza	67	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.11	-21	4	-25	14.8	13.3	1.52	14.5	14.0	0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 109, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
NJN 87, MEM 76	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
CLE 118, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%