NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	118		Excitement	4.1 [1024]		MVP	LeBron James (CLE): +15.8%
Charlotte Hornets	105		Comeback	1.8 [578]		LVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): -6.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.17	0.02	0.03	26	65%	0.25	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.01
JR Smith	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	0.01	0.05	9	95%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.04	0.03	-0.05	15	51%	0.12	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Jose Calderon	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Hood	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.01	0.03	12	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tristan Thompson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	6	42%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
John Holland	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
London Perrantes	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ante Zizic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.04	2	75%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	13	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwight Howard	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	12	66%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.01
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.04	9	80%	0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jeremy Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.00	0.02	6	79%	0.05	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Treveon Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malik Monk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dwayne Bacon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	7	43%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	4	43%	-0.00	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.03
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	0.03	0.00	0.09	18	51%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.3	28.6	14.6	23.5	2.5	26.2	127.0
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +24.9%

CLE +0.9%

CLE +7.3%

CLE +13.0%

CLE +3.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	CHA	NBA	CLE	CHA	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	14.7	124.2	111.7	107.5
season	14.8	14.6		111.2	108.7
opponent	14.5	14.7		108.5	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.9	12.4	17.6	20.9	15.8
CHA	12.3	15.3	16.7	15.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
George Hill	67	67	0.67	-0.17	0.85	-0.18	29	-16	45	15.4	16.6	-1.20	15.3	13.1	2.20
Jeff Green	62	61	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.12	13	0	13	15.5	16.3	-0.79	15.2	13.8	1.43
LeBron James	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.45	-0.14	21	-8	29	15.0	18.5	-3.49	14.7	14.9	-0.29
Rodney Hood	54	55	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.11	19	-6	25	14.5	17.4	-2.87	14.7	14.8	-0.14
JR Smith	58	58	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.01	10	3	7	16.5	14.6	1.91	15.3	13.7	1.65
Tristan Thompson	32	30	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.08	9	4	5	15.6	15.8	-0.25	14.9	14.6	0.27
Larry Nance Jr.	39	40	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	14	-15	16.2	15.4	0.76	14.5	14.9	-0.37
John Holland	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	22.3	15.5	6.79	7.5	14.9	-7.37
London Perrantes	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	22.3	15.5	6.79	7.5	14.9	-7.37
Ante Zizic	3	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	17	-21	22.3	15.5	6.79	7.5	14.9	-7.37
Cedi Osman	13	12	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.11	-4	17	-21	15.9	15.7	0.19	14.0	14.8	-0.82
Jose Calderon	30	28	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	23	-33	16.2	15.6	0.65	13.4	15.3	-1.93
Jordan Clarkson	37	38	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.17	-9	22	-31	16.7	15.2	1.55	14.5	14.9	-0.40

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwayne Bacon	46	45	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.21	7	-20	27	14.7	14.8	-0.12	16.2	15.4	0.76
Treveon Graham	17	18	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.14	4	-17	21	15.8	14.5	1.36	17.8	15.3	2.56
Willy Hernangomez	4	4	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-10	7	13.2	14.8	-1.53	9.5	16.0	-6.53
Malik Monk	28	28	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.13	1	-14	15	15.4	14.4	0.97	18.2	14.7	3.43
Jeremy Lamb	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-14	15	14.9	14.6	0.29	16.2	15.3	0.91
Dwight Howard	56	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.01	-6	-7	1	14.1	15.6	-1.45	15.9	15.6	0.31
Frank Kaminsky	34	33	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.14	-4	-9	5	15.9	14.1	1.79	16.3	15.5	0.84
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	42	44	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.08	-14	1	-15	14.6	14.8	-0.17	15.9	15.6	0.24
Kemba Walker	66	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	0.01	-14	1	-15	14.4	15.4	-0.97	14.7	18.2	-3.43
Marvin Williams	77	77	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	4	-21	14.5	15.8	-1.36	15.3	17.8	-2.56
Nicolas Batum	52	53	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	0.08	-20	7	-27	14.7	14.7	-0.00	14.9	16.8	-1.93

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
IND 90, BOS 75	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.52,0.44,0.37,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
POR 105, UTA 94	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	95.4%
MIA 115, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%