NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	105		Excitement	4.8 [876]		MVP	LaMarcus Aldridge (POR): +16.2%
Utah Jazz	94		Comeback	1.4 [1032]		LVP	Diante Garrett (UTA): -7.3%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.11	0.06	0.01	18	60%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Matthews	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.03	-0.03	11	62%	0.15	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0.13	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.07	0.00	9	71%	0.17	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Thomas Robinson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.01	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mo Williams	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.09	0.03	-0.03	12	37%	0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.04	-0.03	0.06	14	51%	-0.05	0	0.00	7	100%	0.02
Dorell Wright	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.13	0.00	0.01	11	77%	0.17	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	18	51%	0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Andris Biedrins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	10	50%	0.03	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Trey Burke	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	0.03	12	54%	0.03	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	14	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Michael Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Evans	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.02	0.01	9	33%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Diante Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.5	27.6	15.6	23.2	2.5	34.5	127.2
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +33.9%

POR +0.4%

POR +5.3%

POR +7.7%

POR +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.4	15.6	15.1	112.9	101.1	105.2
season	15.1	16.2		109.6	102.1
opponent	14.8	14.8		109.6	106.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.7	14.8	14.4	16.8	15.4
UTA	17.8	15.2	15.6	13.8	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nicolas Batum	63	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	-0.03	20	-9	29	15.1	15.9	-0.79	16.6	13.4	3.20
LaMarcus Aldridge	64	65	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.08	16	-5	21	15.2	15.7	-0.47	16.4	13.7	2.65
Robin Lopez	65	64	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.08	15	-4	19	15.6	14.8	0.82	16.4	13.7	2.73
Wesley Matthews	64	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	1	9	15.7	14.8	0.83	16.4	13.7	2.68
Mo Williams	52	53	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	3	5	15.2	15.6	-0.42	14.8	16.5	-1.68
Damian Lillard	67	66	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	13	-15	15.4	15.5	-0.14	15.2	16.6	-1.39
Dorell Wright	33	33	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.13	-3	14	-17	15.8	15.2	0.56	13.9	16.5	-2.53
Joel Freeland	28	29	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.10	-4	15	-19	14.8	15.6	-0.82	13.7	16.4	-2.73
Thomas Robinson	29	28	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.09	-5	16	-21	15.7	15.2	0.47	13.7	16.4	-2.65

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andris Biedrins	29	27	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.08	4	-15	19	13.8	16.4	-2.63	14.4	15.8	-1.34
Michael Harris	20	21	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.10	4	-15	19	14.2	15.9	-1.68	16.4	15.1	1.27
Diante Garrett	28	29	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.05	-1	-10	9	13.9	16.3	-2.40	14.3	15.9	-1.58
Richard Jefferson	63	64	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.19	1	-12	13	15.6	15.6	0.00	15.7	14.7	1.08
Alec Burks	50	49	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-2	-7	14.7	16.6	-1.92	14.6	16.2	-1.62
Trey Burke	65	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.13	-10	-1	-9	16.3	13.9	2.40	15.9	14.3	1.58
Gordon Hayward	73	74	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	3	-17	16.2	13.3	2.83	15.5	14.8	0.70
Jeremy Evans	73	72	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.08	-15	4	-19	15.9	14.2	1.68	15.1	16.4	-1.27
Enes Kanter	64	65	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.10	-15	4	-19	16.4	13.8	2.63	15.9	14.3	1.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.13,0.16,0.26,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 101, NOH 78	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
CLE 118, CHA 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.5,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.12,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
MEM 80, DAL 64	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.36,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.15,0.14,0.11,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%