NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	87		Excitement	4.4 [930]		MVP	Will Solomon (MEM): +13.2%
Memphis Grizzlies	76		Comeback	1.4 [874]		LVP	Jason Williams (MEM): -22.8%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kerry Kittles	0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.02	0.01	14	63%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	7	65%	0.06	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Jason Kidd	0.05	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.00	0.01	-0.04	8	67%	0.12	4	-0.07	2	50%	0.01
Brian Scalabrine	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.05	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Donny Marshall	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Armstrong	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Van Horn	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.03	12	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	6	36%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lucious Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	10	36%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.12	-0.01	-0.04	3	12%	-0.04	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.02	0.00	5	93%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	0.00	0.03	3	67%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	6	57%	-0.01	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	8	28%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	27%	-0.06	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	18	45%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	8	50%	-0.02	5	-0.11	2	50%	0.00
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jason Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.21	-0.03	-0.01	15	23%	-0.13	4	-0.09	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.4	26.9	15.5	25.4	2.7	25.3	121.5
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +52.0%

MEM -8.9%

MEM -13.0%

NJN +18.7%

NJN +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	MEM	NBA	NJN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.5	15.5	15.6	96.7	84.4	102.3
season	14.7	15.7		101.4	96.0
opponent	15.2	16.0		103.8	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	15.8	15.9	15.4	19.1	16.5
MEM	16.2	15.4	16.6	13.6	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kidd	58	59	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.08	14	-3	17	16.6	16.4	0.25	15.3	15.9	-0.62
Kerry Kittles	57	57	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.05	14	-3	17	15.1	18.9	-3.80	16.1	14.3	1.79
Keith Van Horn	63	64	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	1	9	16.4	16.8	-0.40	15.4	15.7	-0.37
Richard Jefferson	60	61	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.04	12	-1	13	16.2	17.1	-0.85	15.1	16.2	-1.14
Aaron Williams	45	47	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	13	-2	15	14.8	18.2	-3.42	15.2	15.7	-0.53
Donny Marshall	26	25	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.11	1	10	-9	17.7	16.1	1.58	15.9	15.3	0.63
Jason Collins	45	43	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.18	-2	13	-15	18.2	14.8	3.42	15.7	15.2	0.53
Anthony Johnson	24	23	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.03	1	10	-9	17.5	16.2	1.26	14.9	15.7	-0.74
Brian Scalabrine	31	30	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.08	-1	12	-13	16.4	16.6	-0.22	16.1	15.2	0.90
Brandon Armstrong	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	15	-19	17.0	16.5	0.49	8.0	15.8	-7.81
Lucious Harris	37	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.07	-3	14	-17	17.9	15.6	2.31	15.9	15.1	0.81

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	34	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.18	6	-17	23	15.3	15.6	-0.28	17.2	16.1	1.14
Eddie Gill	12	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.11	2	-13	15	12.4	15.9	-3.52	21.2	15.7	5.54
Shane Battier	61	62	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-15	19	14.8	16.9	-2.11	17.2	15.0	2.28
Will Solomon	34	37	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.08	0	-11	11	15.8	15.3	0.53	15.4	17.3	-1.92
Lorenzen Wright	35	37	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	-3	-5	17.9	13.9	4.05	16.6	16.5	0.20
Grant Long	39	36	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	0.01	-11	0	-11	16.0	15.1	0.90	14.2	18.1	-3.85
Tony Massenburg	42	41	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.07	-10	-1	-9	14.9	16.0	-1.10	15.4	17.5	-2.10
Jason Williams	78	76	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	2	-15	15.9	12.4	3.52	15.7	21.2	-5.54
Pau Gasol	68	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	-1	-9	14.9	17.3	-2.45	16.8	15.7	1.07
Rodney Buford	47	45	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	4	-19	15.4	15.6	-0.22	18.3	14.7	3.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 89, MIN 77	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.16,0.15,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.7%
MIA 115, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.29,0.21,0.12,0.19,0.1,0.14,0.2,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
MIA 95, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0	95.0%