NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	95		Excitement	5.0 [845]		MVP	Hassan Whiteside (MIA): +18.3%
Dallas Mavericks	88		Comeback	1.5 [759]		LVP	Dennis Smith Jr. (DAL): -12.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hassan Whiteside	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.14	0.07	0.02	15	69%	0.23	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.06	0.01	0.03	-0.01	14	46%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Richardson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	8	70%	0.09	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.01
Justise Winslow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.04	0.02	-0.04	4	60%	0.06	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	9	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	46%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tyler Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	6	53%	0.02	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.02
James Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bam Adebayo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05	0.05	0.12	-0.03	0.04	12	73%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Maxi Kleber	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	6	75%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	11	42%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Salah Mejri	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Collinsworth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	7	14%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07	-0.07	0.04	-0.04	0.07	18	50%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.03
Yogi Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	9	30%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	-0.17	0.01	-0.03	17	35%	-0.03	5	-0.10	6	83%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.4	25.8	14.8	25.8	1.7	37.5	131.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +46.1%

MIA +5.6%

DAL -2.9%

MIA +0.4%

MIA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	DAL	NBA	MIA	DAL	NBA
this game	16.4	15.8	14.7	105.6	98.9	107.5
season	15.1	15.4		105.4	105.3
opponent	14.3	14.6		108.1	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.7	13.0	16.9	18.3	16.4
DAL	15.0	17.7	17.4	13.0	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Richardson	72	71	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.27	8	-1	9	16.7	15.3	1.35	15.4	17.1	-1.69
Hassan Whiteside	50	48	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.15	11	-4	15	16.3	16.5	-0.16	15.5	16.0	-0.53
Tyler Johnson	53	51	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-6	19	16.3	16.6	-0.36	16.0	15.4	0.64
James Johnson	55	54	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.17	7	0	7	16.2	16.7	-0.45	15.4	16.3	-0.95
Goran Dragic	53	53	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.21	5	2	3	16.8	15.9	0.93	15.4	16.3	-0.91
Justise Winslow	43	42	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	0	7	15.0	17.7	-2.75	16.9	14.8	2.11
Bam Adebayo	35	35	0.13	0.37	-0.24	0.13	0	7	-7	16.7	16.2	0.45	16.3	15.4	0.95
Kelly Olynyk	39	40	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.14	-4	11	-15	16.9	16.1	0.81	16.1	15.5	0.56
Wayne Ellington	50	51	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.30	-12	19	-31	16.7	16.0	0.70	15.4	16.2	-0.83

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Yogi Ferrell	62	61	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.40	12	-19	31	15.1	17.4	-2.31	17.0	15.2	1.83
Dwight Powell	38	40	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-13	19	14.4	16.8	-2.34	17.1	15.8	1.28
Kyle Collinsworth	17	18	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.05	-3	-4	1	18.1	15.2	2.84	15.4	16.7	-1.28
Devin Harris	29	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.03	-6	-1	-5	16.9	15.2	1.73	15.5	16.8	-1.32
Salah Mejri	26	26	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.01	-9	2	-11	17.1	15.2	1.85	14.9	17.0	-2.15
Dirk Nowitzki	50	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.10	-14	7	-21	16.8	14.4	2.46	16.2	16.7	-0.45
Dennis Smith Jr.	68	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	-4	1	15.0	18.4	-3.43	16.9	14.9	2.01
Harrison Barnes	63	64	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.36	1	-8	9	15.4	16.6	-1.15	16.5	16.2	0.31
Wesley Matthews	64	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-5	3	15.5	16.5	-1.00	16.6	16.0	0.57
Maxi Kleber	28	28	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.06	-17	10	-27	16.7	15.3	1.44	15.7	16.7	-1.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 105, BKN 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.09,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.5%
GSW 109, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.34,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.2%
NJN 87, MEM 76	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.46,0.42,0.27,0.25,0.18,0.22,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.18,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%