inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 109 Excitement11.0 [28] MVPWayne Ellington (MIA): +120.0%
Miami Heat 116 Comeback7.5 [283] LVPJustise Winslow (MIA): -31.2%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl0.400,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.40.090.310.001076%0.442-0.0410%-0.04
Kyle Lowry0.350,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.32,0.33,0.41,0.62,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.36,0.350.140.21-0.002064%0.431-0.07475%-0.02
OG Anunoby0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.040.000.01383%0.0300.0000%0.00
Norman Powell0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.000.00450%0.021-0.0300%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas-0.010,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.010.01960%0.042-0.052100%0.01
Delon Wright-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.00-0.08-0.04850%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Serge Ibaka-0.050,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.00425%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Fred VanVleet-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.02-0.040.00647%0.012-0.07367%-0.00
CJ Miles-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.05-0.03-0.001132%-0.0700.0000%0.00
DeMar DeRozan-0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15-0.07-0.09-0.011744%-0.073-0.08978%-0.05

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Wayne Ellington0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.23,0.53,0.75,0.75,1.16,1.16,1.16,1.16,1.2,1.21.200.340.86-0.0016100%1.2000.0000%0.00
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.320.320.120.200.004100%0.3200.002100%0.02
Rodney McGruder0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.000.00275%0.0200.0000%0.00
Dwyane Wade0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.03-0.010.001242%-0.011-0.04250%-0.01
Kelly Olynyk0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.1,0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.03-0.021050%0.093-0.142100%0.01
Josh Richardson0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.08-0.00-0.011125%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Tyler Johnson0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.030.021242%-0.061-0.012100%0.01
Hassan Whiteside0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.07-0.020.011631%-0.1000.0000%0.00
James Johnson0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.19-0.05-0.140.001142%-0.132-0.06475%0.01
Justise Winslow0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.39,-0.3,-0.31,-0.31-0.31-0.09-0.24-0.021237%-0.262-0.05617%-0.09
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.32.524.815.028.22.434.52.413.5145.7
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.63.217.5134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +16.8%
MIA +4.1%
MIA +17.1%
MIA +13.9%
TOR -1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game14.116.414.7103.8111.5107.5
season14.615.1112.7105.4
opponent14.614.8105.8105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR14.013.613.415.015.314.1
MIA18.114.716.617.014.716.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
OG Anunoby38380.22-0.720.950.085-121713.014.7-1.7417.215.91.35
Serge Ibaka50500.12-0.620.74-0.035-121713.614.6-1.0017.315.51.82
Jonas Valanciunas47470.09-0.590.680.090-7714.114.1-0.0416.915.90.90
Norman Powell33-0.06-0.440.38-0.03-1-6517.014.03.0021.016.24.78
Fred VanVleet3735-0.17-0.330.150.03-70-714.913.61.2416.316.4-0.11
DeMar DeRozan7675-0.21-0.290.08-0.241-8913.914.6-0.7416.515.90.59
Pascal Siakam4745-0.26-0.24-0.020.04-103-1314.613.70.9215.716.8-1.10
Kyle Lowry7575-0.27-0.23-0.05-0.25-1-6513.615.2-1.5616.416.20.16
CJ Miles4850-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.20-6-1-514.413.80.5715.417.2-1.76
Jakob Poeltl5857-0.590.09-0.68-0.38-70-714.114.10.0415.916.9-0.90
Delon Wright4645-0.990.49-1.48-0.58-147-2115.013.41.5515.616.9-1.29

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bam Adebayo36360.93-0.431.350.4616-92515.516.8-1.3515.113.51.60
Wayne Ellington69710.79-0.291.070.2618-112915.617.9-2.3514.313.60.78
Justise Winslow73730.78-0.281.050.3913-61915.618.2-2.6214.812.52.28
Kelly Olynyk56580.280.220.06-0.0110-31315.916.9-0.9614.214.00.19
Josh Richardson71700.160.34-0.190.25-310-1316.117.0-0.9013.714.8-1.11
James Johnson49490.090.41-0.320.21-411-1517.215.61.5714.114.1-0.01
Tyler Johnson5557-0.020.52-0.54-0.0207-717.614.92.7213.514.8-1.34
Rodney McGruder3434-0.140.64-0.780.01-512-1718.715.23.4913.514.4-0.87
Dwyane Wade3534-0.170.67-0.84-0.02-512-1714.917.1-2.2613.314.5-1.17
Hassan Whiteside4243-0.190.69-0.89-0.05-512-1717.515.52.0014.014.1-0.15


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.78,0.78,0.42,0.46,0.81,0.64,0.91,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
SAS 110, SAC 1140.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.3,0.36,0.24,0.23,0.17,0.21,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.18,0.25,0.33,0.19,0.26,0.41,0.4,0.62,0.72,0.67,0.27,0.46,0.45,0.55,0.91,0.92,190.8%
MIL 120, PHI 1240.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.86,0.85,190.7%
MIA 88, CHI 950.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.25,0.35,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.17,0.28,0.42,0.6,0.4,0.55,0.37,0.67,0.58,0.46,0.68,0.77,0.94,0.99,190.0%