NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	120		Excitement	12.1 [14]		MVP	Tim Thomas (MIL): +34.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	124		Comeback	7.5 [132]		LVP	Sam Cassell (MIL): -18.5%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.16,-0.16,0.2,0.2,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.34	0.03	0.31	0.00	12	69%	0.55	4	-0.21	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.13,0.03	-0.04	0.06	-0.01	27	45%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Vinny Del Negro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	80%	0.08	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Danny Manning	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ervin Johnson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	0.01	-0.10	0.00	5	81%	0.02	3	-0.11	6	50%	-0.11
Glenn Robinson	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.15,0.07,-0.03,-0.1	-0.02	-0.08	-0.00	19	54%	0.12	3	-0.22	8	87%	0.04
Scott Williams	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.05	-0.08	-0.00	9	36%	-0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Sam Cassell	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.02	-0.17	-0.01	17	53%	0.02	2	-0.20	9	100%	0.09

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrone Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.07	0.13	0.01	14	69%	0.25	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.03
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	6	79%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	8	65%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
Aaron McKie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	7	55%	0.04	0	0.00	6	83%	0.05
Billy Owens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Todd MacCulloch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	1	75%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Matt Geiger	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.08	0.05	-0.01	4	58%	0.08	4	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
George Lynch	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	4	78%	0.07	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	25.2	2.7	30.1	14.7	26.2	2.4	46.4	1.5	19.1	168.3
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	1.7	18.2	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +6.6%

PHI +4.1%

MIL -16.2%

PHI +54.8%

PHI +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	PHI	NBA	MIL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	15.2	110.1	112.7	101.7
season	14.9	15.0		105.5	99.5
opponent	15.5	15.4		98.1	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
MIL	15.9	16.5	14.0	13.4	13.9	14.8
PHI	14.7	15.6	12.2	14.8	14.6	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Williams	62	60	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.07	7	-11	18	15.5	13.8	1.65	13.3	15.4	-2.03
Vinny Del Negro	35	38	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.28	-5	1	-6	13.5	15.4	-1.81	13.0	15.0	-1.98
Danny Manning	33	33	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.09	-6	2	-8	14.8	14.8	0.02	14.6	14.1	0.48
Sam Cassell	88	88	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.42	3	-7	10	15.0	13.6	1.43	14.8	12.2	2.61
Ray Allen	96	96	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.37	-1	-3	2	14.9	14.1	0.79	14.0	15.9	-1.82
Glenn Robinson	86	87	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.46	2	-6	8	14.8	14.7	0.15	14.1	14.8	-0.70
Ervin Johnson	83	83	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.51	-5	1	-6	15.0	14.1	0.91	15.2	11.4	3.80
Tim Thomas	62	65	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.45	-15	11	-26	13.9	16.0	-2.09	14.4	14.2	0.20

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Geiger	53	52	1.02	-0.52	1.55	0.73	10	-6	16	14.6	13.9	0.68	14.6	14.9	-0.33
Aaron McKie	69	67	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.37	11	-7	18	13.9	14.9	-1.00	14.5	15.2	-0.72
Tyrone Hill	96	97	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	1	2	14.3	14.2	0.07	14.6	16.3	-1.76
Eric Snow	84	84	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.47	1	3	-2	14.4	13.8	0.61	15.0	13.9	1.10
Larry Hughes	32	30	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.08	8	-4	12	14.2	14.3	-0.16	14.7	14.8	-0.05
Billy Owens	24	25	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.11	6	-2	8	13.3	14.5	-1.25	16.1	14.4	1.70
Nazr Mohammed	20	19	0.05	0.45	-0.40	-0.01	2	2	0	17.3	13.6	3.76	17.0	14.3	2.70
Todd MacCulloch	29	28	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.09	-5	9	-14	14.2	14.3	-0.04	15.5	14.5	1.03
George Lynch	45	46	-0.26	0.76	-1.02	0.01	-9	13	-22	14.3	14.2	0.10	14.3	15.1	-0.77
Bruce Bowen	10	8	-0.45	0.95	-1.40	-0.18	-9	13	-22	9.4	14.8	-5.36	9.1	15.2	-6.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.86,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, MIA 116	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.4,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.26,0.15,0.2,0.27,0.41,0.41,0.53,0.38,0.78,0.78,0.42,0.46,0.81,0.64,0.91,0.98,1	90.7%
HOU 95, LAL 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.73,1	90.4%
NJN 118, LAC 126	0.5,0.49,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.4,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.78,0.68,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.85,0.98,1	89.9%