NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	11.2 [32]		MVP	Chandler Parsons (HOU): +28.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	99		Comeback	6.7 [186]		LVP	James Harden (HOU): -44.1%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chandler Parsons	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.29,0.29	0.05	0.25	0.01	18	61%	0.43	3	-0.14	2	50%	-0.03
Patrick Beverley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.01	0.06	-0.00	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Greg Smith	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.05	0.01	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.00	7	53%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.03
Terrence Jones	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Garcia	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.00	3	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Carlos Delfino	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeremy Lin	-0.42	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21,-0.36,-0.36,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42,-0.42	-0.07	-0.34	0.01	14	37%	-0.32	2	-0.10	4	50%	-0.03
James Harden	-0.44	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.19,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.42,-0.33,-0.44	-0.07	-0.35	0.02	25	48%	-0.18	6	-0.26	12	83%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.05	0.09	-0.00	12	57%	0.16	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	125%	0.10	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jodie Meeks	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.08	0.01	10	36%	0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.05
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Andrew Goudelock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Blake	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.13	-0.13	0.04	-0.15	0.02	20	50%	-0.09	1	-0.04	8	100%	0.07
Pau Gasol	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.16,-0.22,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.01	17	45%	0.00	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.03
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.23,-0.33,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.12	-0.10	-0.01	15	40%	0.01	4	-0.23	10	40%	-0.14

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.5	2.7	31.2	18.3	26.3	2.6	38.8	1.7	19.2	165.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU -16.3%

LAL +18.9%

LAL +44.0%

HOU -1.1%

LAL +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	LAL	NBA	HOU	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	16.9	15.4	96.0	98.0	104.1
season	14.2	14.9		107.9	106.0
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.7	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
HOU	13.7	14.2	15.4	15.6	16.3	14.9
LAL	20.6	15.8	18.9	15.0	12.5	16.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Delfino	31	31	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.03	1	-5	6	13.5	15.6	-2.12	15.1	17.7	-2.56
Greg Smith	79	81	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.32	12	-16	28	14.6	16.1	-1.56	16.8	17.0	-0.22
Francisco Garcia	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-4	4	15.4	14.8	0.56	17.2	16.8	0.45
Patrick Beverley	35	35	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-3	2	14.8	15.0	-0.12	16.2	17.2	-1.07
Terrence Jones	25	22	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.05	-4	0	-4	15.4	14.7	0.71	18.1	16.5	1.62
Jeremy Lin	64	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	-0.29	-5	1	-6	15.0	14.8	0.12	17.0	16.6	0.38
James Harden	84	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.38	-4	0	-4	14.9	15.0	-0.11	16.8	17.3	-0.54
Chandler Parsons	83	86	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.30	-13	9	-22	15.2	13.6	1.53	16.7	17.8	-1.09
Omer Asik	78	81	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.51	-6	2	-8	15.3	13.5	1.82	17.6	13.8	3.83

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antawn Jamison	64	63	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.41	11	-7	18	16.2	17.9	-1.70	15.0	14.7	0.38
Steve Blake	91	88	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.31	13	-9	22	17.0	15.8	1.19	15.2	12.9	2.25
Jodie Meeks	71	69	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.43	4	0	4	16.2	18.4	-2.13	15.0	14.7	0.30
Dwight Howard	87	84	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	-2	8	16.8	17.3	-0.48	15.2	13.5	1.62
Pau Gasol	84	82	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.44	1	3	-2	16.7	17.9	-1.22	15.1	13.8	1.31
Darius Morris	29	30	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	2	0	16.7	16.9	-0.25	14.6	15.0	-0.40
Metta World Peace	43	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	2	0	18.5	15.7	2.78	15.0	14.9	0.08
Earl Clark	23	23	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	11	-18	17.9	16.6	1.35	13.5	15.3	-1.81
Andrew Goudelock	13	13	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.11	-12	16	-28	17.6	16.8	0.85	12.0	15.3	-3.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.34,0.53,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.98,1	90.7%
MIL 120, PHI 124	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.22,0.34,0.2,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.12,0.17,0.32,0.47,0.41,0.61,0.62,0.54,0.78,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.54,0.86,0.85,1	90.4%
SAS 100, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.22,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.24,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.27,0.18,0.15,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.23,0.41,0.59,0.66,0.68,0.54,0.69,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.46,0.45,0.74,1	90.3%