inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 91 Excitement9.5 [89] MVPShawn Marion (PHX): +19.5%
Phoenix Suns 95 Comeback7.7 [402] LVPAlvin Williams (TOR): -27.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Vince Carter0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.01-0.001162%0.073-0.062100%0.00
Morris Peterson0.010,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.010.01-0.000.001253%0.0100.008100%0.07
Rafer Alston0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.000.01-0.002125%0.083-0.0700%0.00
Michael Bradley-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.010.00250%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jelani McCoy-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.01-0.00517%-0.0800.0020%-0.04
Voshon Lenard-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.14,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09-0.110.01-0.001832%-0.071-0.0210%-0.02
Jerome Williams-0.200,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.20.01-0.200.01865%-0.152-0.06475%-0.03
Antonio Davis-0.240,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.25,-0.24-0.01-0.220.011157%-0.152-0.086100%0.06
Alvin Williams-0.270,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27-0.08-0.20-0.00845%-0.123-0.15450%-0.04

Phoenix Suns
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shawn Marion0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.13,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.24,0.20.200.100.090.002262%0.262-0.064100%0.03
Stephon Marbury0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,-0.02,0,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.040.04-0.020.04-0.012250%0.082-0.04667%-0.01
Bo Outlaw0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.000.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Jake Voskuhl0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.0110%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Jake Tsakalidis0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0120%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Joe Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.09-0.09-0.03842%-0.063-0.08333%-0.04
Amar'e Stoudemire0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.07-0.001137%-0.161-0.031040%-0.11
Anfernee Hardaway0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22-0.22-0.05-0.180.001453%-0.033-0.19667%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game22.62.324.015.027.12.437.21.619.2151.6
league avg46.12.328.014.724.52.329.91.917.2149.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
PHX +59.9%
TOR -12.9%
TOR -2.5%
PHX +1.8%
PHX +3.7%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORPHXNBATORPHXNBA
this game16.416.515.595.896.9101.6
season16.215.098.8101.1
opponent15.915.3100.1105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
TOR13.615.518.018.518.116.4
PHX17.017.314.818.413.716.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alvin Williams59610.08-0.580.66-0.075-91417.015.51.5416.316.8-0.47
Jelani McCoy1921-0.03-0.470.440.06-3-1-212.517.4-4.9517.016.40.61
Rafer Alston2727-0.08-0.420.340.07-51-614.617.2-2.5718.016.01.99
Vince Carter6870-0.15-0.350.20-0.181-5616.715.90.8116.815.71.13
Michael Bradley2322-0.22-0.280.050.04-95-1418.515.82.7617.316.30.97
Morris Peterson7373-0.24-0.260.02-0.21-1-3216.516.10.4416.017.9-1.88
Antonio Davis7274-0.30-0.20-0.11-0.424-81217.214.22.9816.616.10.52
Jerome Williams7679-0.45-0.05-0.39-0.450-4416.117.7-1.6316.118.4-2.36
Voshon Lenard4953-0.610.11-0.72-0.37-84-1216.016.9-0.9816.816.20.51

Phoenix Suns
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Joe Johnson66640.73-0.230.970.3513-92216.317.0-0.7616.316.7-0.36
Anfernee Hardaway89880.62-0.120.740.427-31016.813.43.3916.811.75.09
Stephon Marbury87840.52-0.020.540.375-1616.219.4-3.2017.111.35.83
Shawn Marion95910.490.010.480.4322016.712.34.3216.221.7-5.55
Amar'e Stoudemire62620.420.080.330.3913-216.915.90.9117.514.33.22
Jake Voskuhl2322-0.010.51-0.53-0.0104-417.316.30.9712.517.6-5.06
Bo Outlaw4743-0.020.52-0.55-0.1131215.917.1-1.2916.016.8-0.87
Jake Tsakalidis2121-0.250.75-0.990.08-1115-2616.616.50.0615.316.8-1.47


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.34,0.53,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.98,1
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 95, LAL 990.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.26,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.21,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.29,0.32,0.41,0.54,0.73,0.53,0.71,0.85,0.73,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.68,0.73,190.7%
TOR 109, BOS 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.65,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.93,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.98,189.8%
MIA 94, IND 960.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.19,0.25,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.59,0.6,0.69,0.79,0.94,0.85,0.54,0.62,0.72,0.85,0.85,189.6%