NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	109		Excitement	8.9 [133]		MVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): +37.4%
Boston Celtics	115		Comeback	4.5 [613]		LVP	Joey Graham (TOR): -16.6%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andrea Bargnani	0.37	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.04	0.30	-0.03	20	53%	0.47	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Will Solomon	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	83%	0.18	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	5	64%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Roko Leni Ukic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0,0.01	0.08	-0.03	0.04	12	67%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0.00	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kapono	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Bosh	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.09	0.04	11	62%	0.03	2	-0.11	7	86%	-0.01
Anthony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	0.00	-0.07	0.03	10	50%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joey Graham	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.02	-0.13	0.01	5	44%	-0.14	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.01

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.18,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.11	0.14	0.04	26	62%	0.37	5	-0.16	11	91%	0.01
Ray Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.08	0.00	10	57%	0.20	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.01
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	61%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	0.02	0.04	15	56%	0.06	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.01
Glen Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	56%	0.05	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Gabe Pruitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	9	45%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Patrick O'Bryant	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leon Powe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.08	0.02	7	53%	-0.04	1	-0.05	5	40%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.1	1.7	31.5	15.7	23.6	2.7	34.2	2.4	19.3	155.1
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	2.0	41.4	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +33.3%

TOR -11.5%

BOS +33.6%

TOR -2.2%

TOR -3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BOS	NBA	TOR	BOS	NBA
this game	16.0	15.9	15.5	111.2	113.9	106.4
season	15.1	15.8		105.0	108.3
opponent	15.6	15.6		101.7	108.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
TOR	15.7	15.0	19.1	16.7	12.2	16.0
BOS	15.6	19.3	16.1	15.3	11.8	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Kapono	44	45	0.35	-0.85	1.20	0.17	6	-12	18	14.6	17.2	-2.67	15.0	16.7	-1.74
Jamario Moon	42	41	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.10	0	-6	6	16.6	15.6	1.05	16.7	15.4	1.37
Kris Humphries	37	37	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.00	3	-9	12	15.4	16.4	-0.98	17.0	15.3	1.70
Roko Leni Ukic	47	46	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.11	0	-6	6	14.9	17.1	-2.25	15.4	16.4	-1.01
Joey Graham	53	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.25	-7	1	-8	16.1	16.0	0.16	17.0	14.6	2.37
Andrea Bargnani	70	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.32	-6	0	-6	16.4	15.2	1.16	15.4	17.3	-1.87
Anthony Parker	63	67	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.32	-7	1	-8	16.3	15.6	0.69	15.1	17.6	-2.56
Chris Bosh	84	85	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.37	-10	4	-14	16.2	14.9	1.38	15.8	16.6	-0.76
Will Solomon	50	54	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.54	-9	3	-12	17.2	14.8	2.37	16.7	15.1	1.60

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Leon Powe	52	49	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.45	6	0	6	15.9	16.0	-0.11	15.3	16.8	-1.55
Paul Pierce	94	91	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.32	10	-4	14	15.9	16.7	-0.85	16.2	14.0	2.20
Ray Allen	63	60	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.32	8	-2	10	15.3	16.9	-1.60	16.3	15.6	0.75
Kevin Garnett	77	77	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.32	6	0	6	15.7	16.7	-1.03	16.1	15.9	0.23
Rajon Rondo	77	74	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	15.4	17.6	-2.18	16.1	16.0	0.05
Eddie House	24	24	0.02	0.48	-0.45	-0.04	2	4	-2	17.6	15.4	2.18	16.0	16.1	-0.05
Glen Davis	24	21	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.01	0	6	-6	16.7	15.7	1.03	15.9	16.1	-0.23
Gabe Pruitt	19	19	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	6	-6	18.3	15.4	2.95	14.9	16.3	-1.36
Brian Scalabrine	52	52	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	-0.05	-2	8	-10	16.1	15.8	0.32	16.7	15.3	1.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.65,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.93,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 90, SAS 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.97,0.98,1	90.7%
TOR 91, PHX 95	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.38,0.34,0.53,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.54,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.77,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.69,0.67,0.98,1	89.8%
HOU 120, POR 123	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.48,0.47,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.38,0.28,0.27,0.29,0.28,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.29,0.23,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.22,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.35,0.39,0.61,0.79,0.77,0.58,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.95,0.85,1	88.9%