NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	90		Excitement	8.9 [83]		MVP	Damon Stoudamire (POR): +32.5%
San Antonio Spurs	98		Comeback	4.6 [230]		LVP	Rasheed Wallace (POR): -36.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Damon Stoudamire	0.33	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33	-0.08	0.36	-0.04	17	35%	0.42	1	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Walt Williams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11	0.08	0.01	-0.03	9	72%	0.17	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.04	-0.09	0.01	9	61%	-0.06	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.02
Greg Anthony	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	7	50%	0.02	2	-0.10	6	50%	-0.06
Kelvin Cato	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	10	42%	-0.12	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Rider	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.12	-0.04	0.01	9	29%	-0.11	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Rasheed Wallace	-0.37	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.18,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.34,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37	-0.08	-0.29	-0.00	17	36%	-0.29	1	-0.08	2	50%	-0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	4	67%	0.06	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.05	0.00	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.05	0.06	-0.02	14	47%	0.03	0	0.00	12	75%	0.00
David Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	0.00	-0.02	0.03	0.01	17	57%	0.05	2	-0.05	12	67%	-0.05
Sean Elliott	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Will Perdue	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	11	33%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Avery Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	0.00	-0.07	0.04	14	71%	0.19	6	-0.30	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	27.8	2.7	31.8	15.8	27.2	2.5	34.4	1.6	24.2	167.9
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	1.7	18.8	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +20.1%

SAS +21.5%

SAS +1.4%

SAS +13.0%

POR -6.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	SAS	NBA	POR	SAS	NBA
this game	17.3	15.5	15.8	93.8	100.0	99.6
season	16.0	15.9		102.0	101.1
opponent	15.9	15.9		92.7	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
POR	18.5	15.5	20.8	15.6	16.5	17.3
SAS	15.8	15.2	16.2	17.1	10.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelvin Cato	23	24	0.21	-0.71	0.92	-0.02	8	-16	24	15.5	17.9	-2.44	15.4	15.5	-0.07
Jermaine O'Neal	15	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.02	0	-8	8	15.1	17.7	-2.61	14.7	15.6	-0.93
Arvydas Sabonis	46	48	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.06	-4	-4	0	17.8	16.9	0.95	17.2	13.8	3.45
Rasheed Wallace	67	69	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.25	3	-11	14	16.2	20.0	-3.87	15.3	15.8	-0.41
Damon Stoudamire	58	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-4	0	18.0	16.3	1.68	14.6	16.8	-2.16
Jim Jackson	55	57	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.30	4	-12	16	14.9	20.6	-5.68	15.0	16.1	-1.16
Stacey Augmon	24	24	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.16	-12	4	-16	22.2	15.7	6.44	14.8	15.7	-0.90
Isaiah Rider	40	39	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	5	-18	20.2	15.3	4.91	16.3	14.9	1.44
Greg Anthony	43	45	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.16	-6	-2	-4	15.8	18.5	-2.71	15.2	15.7	-0.58
Brian Grant	52	52	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.14	-13	5	-18	19.8	14.4	5.44	16.2	14.6	1.66
Walt Williams	57	57	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.65	-3	-5	2	16.1	19.1	-3.02	15.0	16.1	-1.16

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mario Elie	66	65	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.67	0	8	-8	15.7	15.1	0.56	17.6	16.8	0.73
Tim Duncan	89	88	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.22	14	-6	20	15.3	17.6	-2.30	17.2	18.4	-1.14
David Robinson	74	76	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.26	9	-1	10	16.3	13.0	3.27	18.2	14.0	4.21
Avery Johnson	78	77	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.13	10	-2	12	15.1	16.9	-1.80	17.5	16.6	0.87
Jaren Jackson	57	55	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	-7	22	15.2	15.9	-0.66	15.7	19.5	-3.76
Jerome Kersey	25	24	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	1	6	16.5	15.1	1.36	15.5	17.9	-2.39
Antonio Daniels	20	19	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.14	-2	10	-12	16.9	15.1	1.80	16.6	17.5	-0.87
Will Perdue	18	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	12	-16	15.1	15.6	-0.51	15.0	17.8	-2.77
Malik Rose	11	10	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.06	-6	14	-20	17.8	15.2	2.65	18.3	17.2	1.08
Sean Elliott	52	51	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.08	-3	11	-14	13.9	17.2	-3.29	19.0	15.5	3.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.57,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.61,0.79,0.68,0.92,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 109, BOS 115	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.21,0.34,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.48,0.65,0.47,0.37,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.61,0.78,0.93,0.73,0.54,0.55,0.71,0.94,0.98,1	90.7%
WAS 110, IND 119	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.5,0.47,0.57,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.47,0.42,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.56,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.42,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.61,0.75,0.64,0.78,0.95,0.54,0.53,0.63,0.94,0.98,1	88.1%
MIA 89, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1	87.7%