inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 89 Excitement11.4 [18] MVPMario Chalmers (MIA): +18.6%
Los Angeles Clippers 95 Comeback3.0 [194] LVPLeBron James (MIA): -48.3%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Mario Chalmers0.190,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.23,0.190.090.110.021364%0.211-0.022100%0.01
Udonis Haslem0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.010.04-0.00560%0.082-0.0600%0.00
Joel Anthony0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.02-0.000.002100%0.041-0.0300%0.00
Shane Battier-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.01-0.020.00450%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Dwyane Wade-0.160,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16-0.08-0.10-0.021740%-0.112-0.04862%-0.07
Norris Cole-0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.12-0.07-0.0058%-0.122-0.08250%-0.01
Chris Bosh-0.240,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.24-0.08-0.20-0.041643%-0.103-0.14560%-0.08
LeBron James-0.480,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.37,-0.48,-0.48,-0.48-0.15-0.33-0.011942%-0.146-0.341753%-0.40

Los Angeles Clippers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Caron Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.100.040.001174%0.242-0.115100%0.03
Chauncey Billups0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.110.11-0.080.19-0.001141%0.294-0.18786%0.13
DeAndre Jordan0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.090.09-0.000.09-0.00580%0.183-0.0900%0.00
Randy Foye0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.03-0.00250%0.0400.0000%0.00
Brian Cook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Paul0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.18,0.18,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.10-0.14-0.012157%0.051-0.075100%0.03
Ryan Gomes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.04-0.02-0.00837%-0.001-0.0500%0.00
Reggie Evans0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12-0.12-0.08-0.040.0010%-0.042-0.0820%-0.03
Blake Griffin0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.2,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3,-0.18,-0.2-0.20-0.08-0.100.012340%-0.142-0.06425%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.93.536.218.627.42.750.02.013.8180.1
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
LAC +30.8%
LAC +40.7%
MIA -21.2%
LAC +6.5%
MIA -6.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIALACNBAMIALACNBA
this game13.717.215.688.190.5102.8
season15.516.2105.6106.0
opponent15.715.8104.598.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA12.412.216.912.814.913.7
LAC17.618.315.817.016.617.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shane Battier49520.04-0.540.570.24-71-812.914.3-1.4315.818.5-2.63
Norris Cole25260.03-0.530.55-0.032-81011.914.2-2.3618.916.62.30
Joel Anthony5455-0.17-0.330.160.04-71-814.712.52.2217.017.3-0.32
Dwyane Wade8084-0.30-0.20-0.09-0.362-81013.215.3-2.1217.914.03.88
Chris Bosh8286-0.37-0.13-0.23-0.31-2-4213.115.9-2.8317.913.74.17
Udonis Haslem6060-0.46-0.04-0.42-0.43-1-5414.113.01.0216.917.5-0.55
Mario Chalmers7679-0.620.12-0.74-0.39-82-1014.211.92.3616.618.9-2.30
LeBron James7983-0.650.15-0.80-0.39-93-1214.112.12.0016.718.9-2.22

Los Angeles Clippers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Caron Butler83790.74-0.240.980.4410-41416.918.0-1.0114.311.33.04
Chris Paul89850.70-0.200.910.3213-72016.819.2-2.4714.111.13.00
Blake Griffin79760.57-0.070.640.319-31217.416.50.8214.411.42.99
DeAndre Jordan79730.57-0.070.640.309-31217.615.81.7914.012.71.35
Chauncey Billups77740.470.030.430.267-1817.516.21.2813.912.91.09
Mo Williams43420.130.37-0.250.1306-616.517.6-1.0512.514.5-1.93
Brian Cook910-0.040.54-0.590.01-28-1016.617.2-0.659.914.1-4.17
Ryan Gomes1111-0.060.56-0.620.03-39-1218.717.01.7611.014.0-2.98
Reggie Evans4242-0.260.76-1.03-0.15-410-1416.417.6-1.2112.814.3-1.49
Randy Foye1313-0.300.80-1.11-0.04-915-2418.616.91.6710.014.2-4.19


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1
GameSimilarity Score
NYK 102, CLE 1090.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.89,0.98,191.2%
MIA 109, TOR 1170.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.95,191.2%
SAS 74, TOR 800.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.99,190.7%