NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	74		Excitement	10.7 [28]		MVP	Chris Childs (TOR): +25.0%
Toronto Raptors	80		Comeback	6.0 [192]		LVP	Alvin Williams (TOR): -45.4%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cherokee Parks	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amal McCaskill	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terry Porter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Tony Parker	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malik Rose	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Antonio Daniels	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19	-0.07	-0.12	-0.00	9	28%	-0.11	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Charles Smith	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.04	-0.21	0.02	11	46%	-0.16	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Steven Smith	-0.36	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.21,-0.31,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.36,-0.36	-0.09	-0.27	-0.00	13	36%	-0.28	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.43	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.17,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.24,-0.23,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28,-0.31,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.27,-0.34,-0.34,-0.25,-0.37,-0.37,-0.43,-0.45,-0.43	-0.30	-0.16	-0.03	29	31%	-0.34	3	-0.09	13	77%	0.04
David Robinson	-0.44	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.44	-0.18	-0.26	-0.01	10	41%	-0.25	4	-0.19	14	57%	-0.15

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Childs	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	-0.09	0.33	-0.00	6	42%	0.35	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Michael Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.00	2	67%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	37%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Bradley	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Montross	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	10	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.02	0.01	13	50%	0.04	2	-0.07	8	87%	0.02
Jermaine Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	45%	-0.02	2	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	0.00	18	44%	-0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.23,-0.26,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.36,-0.36,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.46,-0.45	-0.45	-0.24	-0.22	-0.01	18	26%	-0.35	2	-0.10	10	70%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.2	2.7	30.3	19.6	26.0	2.6	33.0	1.7	22.2	164.3
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	1.7	16.7	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +118.3%

SAS -18.5%

SAS -73.5%

TOR +24.0%

SAS -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	TOR	NBA	SAS	TOR	NBA
this game	16.4	16.2	15.6	75.5	82.5	102.3
season	15.8	16.2		104.3	100.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		100.9	98.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
SAS	17.0	15.1	16.0	18.4	15.5	16.4
TOR	15.7	16.2	17.5	18.5	10.4	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Parker	48	47	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.02	2	-8	10	15.0	17.8	-2.76	15.7	16.6	-0.94
Steven Smith	81	80	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.31	6	-12	18	16.3	16.9	-0.60	16.2	16.0	0.20
Amal McCaskill	5	5	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.05	-5	-1	-4	21.2	16.2	5.01	21.0	15.9	5.10
Tim Duncan	85	84	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.26	2	-8	10	16.1	18.6	-2.50	16.4	14.9	1.43
Malik Rose	40	38	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.06	-5	-1	-4	16.0	16.8	-0.80	16.6	15.9	0.68
Cherokee Parks	8	9	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.11	-6	0	-6	18.1	16.3	1.82	17.9	16.0	1.90
David Robinson	69	68	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.27	-1	-5	4	16.8	15.6	1.23	15.8	17.1	-1.34
Antonio Daniels	43	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	2	-10	17.3	15.8	1.52	16.3	16.1	0.20
Terry Porter	38	38	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.33	-3	-3	0	15.6	17.0	-1.42	16.0	16.3	-0.31
Charles Smith	73	73	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.13	-12	6	-18	17.2	14.2	3.07	15.9	17.1	-1.22

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	65	65	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.23	20	-14	34	16.2	16.1	0.15	17.0	15.4	1.54
Alvin Williams	91	93	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.33	9	-3	12	15.9	19.7	-3.73	16.6	13.0	3.63
Antonio Davis	82	84	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.46	-5	11	-16	16.6	14.0	2.56	16.6	15.8	0.77
Dell Curry	11	9	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	1	4	17.5	16.0	1.45	17.8	16.3	1.46
Chris Childs	58	60	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.28	-6	12	-18	16.6	15.6	0.96	16.1	16.9	-0.77
Eric Montross	64	63	0.08	0.42	-0.33	-0.09	6	0	6	16.6	15.4	1.21	16.8	15.9	0.88
Jermaine Jackson	39	40	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.14	-3	9	-12	16.1	16.2	-0.10	15.3	17.3	-1.98
Vince Carter	37	36	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	5	-4	15.9	16.3	-0.44	16.8	16.3	0.52
Michael Stewart	24	25	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.00	-1	7	-8	16.6	16.0	0.61	15.6	16.7	-1.14
Michael Bradley	3	3	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	8	-10	12.0	16.3	-4.30	14.3	16.5	-2.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 103, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.55,0.63,0.77,0.92,1	91.5%
MIA 89, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1	90.7%
ATL 86, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.27,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.27,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.7,0.73,0.59,0.4,0.53,0.75,0.55,0.45,0.73,0.54,0.61,0.77,0.67,0.85,1	90.3%