NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	102		Excitement	10.6 [35]		MVP	Landry Fields (NYK): +30.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Comeback	13.0 [84]		LVP	Daniel Gibson (CLE): -36.4%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Landry Fields	0.31	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.03	0.26	-0.01	8	69%	0.34	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.11	0.03	-0.01	6	86%	0.15	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.01	4	60%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Raymond Felton	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.04,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.06	-0.09	0.04	19	57%	0.05	2	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Wilson Chandler	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13	-0.04	-0.10	-0.01	14	43%	-0.04	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Toney Douglas	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	11	32%	-0.12	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	-0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.34,-0.34,-0.37,-0.3,-0.3,-0.3	-0.10	-0.17	0.02	19	52%	0.06	8	-0.36	6	100%	0.09
Danilo Gallinari	-0.33	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.27,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.33	-0.13	-0.20	0.00	14	25%	-0.26	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mo Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.06,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22	0.22	0.01	0.24	0.03	21	52%	0.30	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.03	0.09	0.01	16	55%	0.16	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.06	0.01	13	54%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.00	7	57%	0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jawad Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	10	48%	-0.03	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Jamario Moon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	5	30%	-0.04	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Parker	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.03	-0.07	0.02	9	68%	0.15	4	-0.20	7	71%	-0.01
Daniel Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.27,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36,-0.36	-0.36	-0.13	-0.24	-0.00	20	27%	-0.33	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	29.3	14.8	24.2	1.7	29.0	1.7	15.2	141.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	1.9	16.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +30.6%

NYK -14.1%

CLE +11.8%

CLE +20.8%

CLE +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CLE	NBA	NYK	CLE	NBA
this game	13.2	15.2	15.5	91.1	97.3	105.7
season	14.3	15.1		108.6	100.8
opponent	15.4	15.5		110.2	108.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NYK	12.6	12.5	12.7	15.4	12.9	13.2
CLE	14.0	14.7	16.1	15.9	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Landry Fields	75	75	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-11	15	13.5	12.6	0.90	14.7	16.1	-1.36
Shawne Williams	43	44	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-9	11	13.3	13.2	0.10	15.4	15.1	0.35
Ronny Turiaf	31	32	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-4	1	13.4	13.1	0.26	14.9	15.3	-0.45
Toney Douglas	49	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.04	-6	-1	-5	13.3	13.1	0.16	14.9	15.5	-0.60
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	86	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	0	-7	13.3	13.0	0.30	15.3	14.8	0.51
Wilson Chandler	89	89	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-2	-3	13.1	13.5	-0.41	15.1	15.7	-0.63
Raymond Felton	93	92	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.31	-5	-2	-3	13.1	13.7	-0.65	15.5	13.8	1.64
Danilo Gallinari	83	82	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.26	-8	1	-9	13.0	13.9	-0.94	15.5	14.5	1.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Parker	80	80	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.28	11	-4	15	14.9	15.9	-0.99	12.7	14.5	-1.78
Mo Williams	90	94	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.15	15	-8	23	15.6	13.7	1.83	12.9	14.7	-1.82
Antawn Jamison	81	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	-1	9	15.3	14.8	0.54	12.9	14.0	-1.10
Anderson Varejao	86	86	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.24	0	7	-7	15.4	14.4	1.06	13.2	13.2	-0.04
Jawad Williams	29	27	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.16	1	6	-5	13.7	15.7	-1.99	14.5	12.8	1.74
JJ Hickson	30	29	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	5	-3	14.5	15.4	-0.91	12.8	13.3	-0.50
Jamario Moon	33	32	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.10	-4	11	-15	15.4	15.1	0.32	14.5	12.7	1.78
Ramon Sessions	43	43	-0.08	0.58	-0.67	0.12	-7	14	-21	15.9	14.8	1.15	13.4	13.1	0.36
Daniel Gibson	77	77	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	-0.21	2	5	-3	14.9	15.8	-0.92	13.5	12.6	0.87

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.41,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.48,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.41,0.37,0.43,0.4,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.36,0.4,0.53,0.62,0.54,0.55,0.15,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.89,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, LAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.37,0.32,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.4,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.58,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.57,0.42,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.91,0.84,1	91.2%
MIA 109, TOR 117	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.44,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.4,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.35,0.45,0.38,0.44,0.6,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.54,0.69,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.54,0.75,0.72,0.86,0.95,1	90.3%
SAS 74, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.44,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.37,0.36,0.41,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.41,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.54,0.6,0.62,0.46,0.45,0.37,0.46,0.69,0.79,0.84,0.99,1	89.6%