NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	114		Excitement	5.7 [703]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +23.1%
Atlanta Hawks	109		Comeback	1.4 [1267]		LVP	Taurean Prince (ATL): -13.5%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.23	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.02	15	74%	0.23	0	0.00	8	100%	0.03
Nick Young	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18	0.14	0.02	-0.02	9	80%	0.18	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	9	75%	0.11	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Durant	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.08	0.06	0.02	0.00	19	64%	0.15	4	-0.07	6	67%	-0.04
David West	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	7	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinn Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	2	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
JaVale McGee	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	8	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Bell	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	2	86%	0.09	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.07	0.07	0.16	-0.07	0.02	16	78%	0.21	4	-0.14	5	80%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	21	57%	0.18	4	-0.12	5	100%	0.04
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.01	0.05	7	94%	0.12	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Miles Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Dorsey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	10	27%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Taurean Prince	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.03	0.01	17	44%	-0.04	5	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.3	28.3	14.5	28.7	1.7	34.3	136.1
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +35.3%

ATL -7.7%

ATL -4.6%

GSW +25.9%

GSW +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ATL	NBA	GSW	ATL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.4	14.7	109.6	104.8	107.5
season	13.7	14.6		112.6	104.2
opponent	14.4	15.1		109.8	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	14.4	14.1	12.0	12.9	13.3
ATL	14.4	14.7	14.3	14.3	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	81	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.24	10	-5	15	12.9	14.7	-1.75	15.0	12.1	2.92
Nick Young	50	51	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.17	7	-2	9	13.2	13.4	-0.17	13.9	14.9	-0.98
David West	31	30	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.11	9	-4	13	13.9	13.0	0.92	15.7	13.9	1.87
Andre Iguodala	59	59	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.32	1	4	-3	13.3	13.3	-0.04	13.3	15.9	-2.58
Klay Thompson	74	77	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.40	-2	7	-9	13.5	12.8	0.69	14.8	13.2	1.65
Kevin Durant	77	77	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.33	-5	10	-15	13.1	14.0	-0.91	13.8	16.1	-2.31
Jordan Bell	18	17	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.03	5	0	5	12.4	13.5	-1.02	13.6	14.6	-0.90
Stephen Curry	49	49	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.06	2	3	-1	13.9	12.8	1.08	15.0	13.9	1.13
Quinn Cook	29	28	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.00	4	1	3	12.7	13.5	-0.83	13.5	14.7	-1.24
JaVale McGee	22	22	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	2	1	13.3	13.3	0.04	15.6	14.1	1.51
Omri Casspi	11	10	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	8	-11	15.1	13.1	2.02	14.6	14.4	0.22
Zaza Pachulia	19	19	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.05	-6	11	-17	13.5	13.2	0.29	14.1	14.5	-0.43

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	69	70	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.39	12	-17	29	14.4	14.3	0.13	13.4	13.1	0.21
Taurean Prince	68	67	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.39	9	-14	23	14.2	14.7	-0.53	13.1	13.6	-0.56
Tyler Dorsey	17	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-3	1	12.9	14.7	-1.75	16.2	12.8	3.43
Malcolm Delaney	33	30	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.12	-9	4	-13	14.0	14.6	-0.55	12.6	13.6	-0.92
Miles Plumlee	18	20	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.07	-9	4	-13	13.5	14.6	-1.09	13.3	13.3	0.08
Dennis Schroder	81	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.35	5	-10	15	14.2	15.3	-1.10	13.3	13.3	-0.02
Kent Bazemore	68	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.34	4	-9	13	14.7	13.8	0.87	13.0	13.9	-0.86
Dewayne Dedmon	69	69	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.47	8	-13	21	14.9	13.5	1.38	13.8	12.4	1.38
Jaylen Morris	27	27	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.09	-14	9	-23	14.7	14.3	0.41	12.6	13.5	-0.99
Isaiah Taylor	24	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.02	-12	7	-19	16.0	13.9	2.07	13.5	13.2	0.25
Mike Muscala	46	46	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.03	-17	12	-29	14.0	14.7	-0.65	12.9	13.6	-0.63

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.46,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, SEA 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.37,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.1%
WAS 109, CHA 99	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.0%
WAS 134, CHI 125	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.3,0.23,0.24,0.28,0.24,0.22,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.21,0.12,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%