inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 98 Excitement4.9 [839] MVPRobert Horry (SAS): +13.1%
Seattle SuperSonics 78 Comeback1.1 [1010] LVPEarl Watson (SEA): -13.5%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Robert Horry0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.010.10-0.02667%0.162-0.0200%0.00
Fabricio Oberto0.130,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.120.020.01889%0.151-0.022100%0.01
Tony Parker0.080,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.030.060.001856%0.112-0.0300%0.00
Brent Barry0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.05-0.03-0.00963%0.051-0.031100%0.01
Bruce Bowen0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.010.01-0.01542%0.0100.00250%-0.01
Eric Williams0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Matt Bonner0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.030.000.03462%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jacque Vaughn0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Michael Finley-0.000,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.02950%-0.0000.00250%-0.01
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.010.020.021169%0.116-0.134100%0.02
Beno Udrih-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.07-0.02-0.01425%-0.022-0.0600%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.09-0.01-0.02425%-0.013-0.0800%0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Wilcox0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.020.02-0.03647%0.0700.003100%0.01
Nick Collison0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.021250%0.0200.00650%-0.02
Mike Wilks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mickael Gelabale00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mouhamed Sene00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Andreas Glyniadakis0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Ray Allen0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.01-0.02-0.032049%0.072-0.073100%0.02
Damien Wilkins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.01-0.010.02560%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Rashard Lewis0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.05-0.01-0.02750%0.043-0.062100%0.01
Luke Ridnour0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.02-0.021439%-0.011-0.0300%0.00
Johan Petro0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.130.01-0.011125%-0.082-0.0320%-0.03
Earl Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.11-0.020.00812%-0.091-0.0400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.11.826.214.623.11.723.4116.9
league avg28.72.429.915.926.52.434.0141.5
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +56.8%
SEA -1.7%
SAS +4.5%
SEA -10.0%
SAS +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASSEANBASASSEANBA
this game16.815.915.4112.687.6104.5
season16.215.4107.5105.5
opponent15.415.4108.398.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS14.917.518.916.116.8
SEA15.715.215.417.415.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Tony Parker60600.480.020.460.011641217.116.30.8116.215.30.86
Fabricio Oberto42430.390.110.290.04128416.716.9-0.1518.113.94.25
Brent Barry44460.390.110.280.07119216.317.3-0.9615.916.0-0.06
Robert Horry46480.340.160.17-0.08146816.017.7-1.6916.914.82.07
Bruce Bowen74770.330.170.160.07911-217.314.03.3115.916.3-0.48
Michael Finley48480.310.190.13-0.161641216.417.3-0.8916.715.01.66
Tim Duncan60610.200.30-0.10-0.03812-417.216.01.2415.217.5-2.25
Beno Udrih22240.170.33-0.16-0.10911-214.817.5-2.6715.816.0-0.18
Francisco Elson22210.040.46-0.430.01119-1817.516.60.9213.016.8-3.89
Eric Williams440.000.50-0.50-0.09317-1417.216.80.4510.516.2-5.68
Matt Bonner440.000.50-0.50-0.09317-1417.216.80.4510.516.2-5.68
Jacque Vaughn99-0.150.65-0.79-0.09-222-2420.216.43.8012.016.4-4.36

Seattle SuperSonics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Mike Wilks440.00-0.500.500.09-3-171410.516.2-5.6817.216.80.45
Mickael Gelabale440.00-0.500.500.09-3-171410.516.2-5.6817.216.80.45
Mouhamed Sene440.00-0.500.500.09-3-171410.516.2-5.6817.216.80.45
Andreas Glyniadakis1311-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-161218.115.62.5215.317.0-1.77
Chris Wilcox5857-0.18-0.320.150.06-8-12414.917.8-2.8416.816.9-0.13
Luke Ridnour6159-0.24-0.260.010.05-10-10015.816.3-0.5316.916.60.26
Rashard Lewis6260-0.25-0.25-0.010.04-10-10015.816.3-0.5417.016.40.54
Damien Wilkins2827-0.28-0.22-0.060.07-12-8-415.816.0-0.1516.417.0-0.54
Nick Collison5050-0.29-0.21-0.09-0.00-10-10016.115.70.3217.016.50.53
Ray Allen7271-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.02-11-9-216.214.71.5017.514.03.45
Johan Petro5252-0.40-0.10-0.30-0.02-13-7-617.014.42.6416.916.60.31
Earl Watson3736-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.03-13-7-616.815.31.5215.317.9-2.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.37,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
HOU 99, NJN 910.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.18,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,094.9%
CLE 105, GSW 870.5,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.34,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.15,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.15,0.08,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.2%
GSW 114, ATL 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.54,0.46,0.34,0.24,0.25,0.31,0.39,0.39,0.34,0.26,0.28,0.23,0.25,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.17,0.13,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.21,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,094.1%