NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	99		Excitement	5.2 [784]		MVP	Tracy McGrady (HOU): +30.6%
New Jersey Nets	91		Comeback	1.3 [451]		LVP	Vince Carter (NJN): -14.9%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy McGrady	0.31	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.15	0.17	0.02	26	60%	0.32	2	-0.02	6	83%	-0.00
Yao Ming	0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	7	78%	0.15	2	-0.04	9	89%	0.02
David Wesley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	0.00	9	68%	0.15	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Derek Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	100%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jon Barry	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luther Head	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.03	10	45%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Dikembe Mutombo	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.07	0.04	7	89%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.01	0.04	16	59%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	7	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Richard Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	0.00	0.03	9	57%	0.04	2	-0.04	12	83%	0.01
Zoran Planinic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	0.00	0.04	4	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nenad Krstic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	10	23%	-0.10	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Vince Carter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.13	-0.04	-0.02	19	38%	-0.09	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.4	33.2	15.0	27.2	2.8	29.2	134.1
league avg	33.9	2.4	29.5	14.7	26.7	2.4	34.0	144.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +62.8%

NJN -1.5%

NJN -4.2%

NJN -9.6%

HOU +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	NJN	NBA	HOU	NJN	NBA
this game	16.3	17.4	15.6	115.1	107.1	104.4
season	16.1	15.7		99.9	102.1
opponent	15.7	16.1		100.9	101.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	15.1	17.1	18.9	16.3
NJN	17.7	16.9	18.0	17.1	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	67	66	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.14	14	-6	20	16.4	15.8	0.60	17.6	16.9	0.63
Luther Head	53	52	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.27	4	4	0	17.0	15.0	1.99	16.6	18.7	-2.11
David Wesley	58	58	0.37	0.13	0.25	0.23	5	3	2	16.7	15.4	1.33	17.6	17.1	0.42
Yao Ming	39	40	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.04	9	-1	10	15.2	17.1	-1.97	17.7	17.2	0.55
Derek Anderson	40	39	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.03	8	0	8	15.3	17.1	-1.74	17.3	17.5	-0.19
Stromile Swift	38	37	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	3	2	16.5	16.1	0.44	17.8	17.1	0.71
Jon Barry	22	21	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.20	1	7	-6	17.9	15.7	2.22	16.6	17.7	-1.15
Dikembe Mutombo	25	24	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	7	-6	17.6	15.7	1.84	17.1	17.6	-0.49
Juwan Howard	49	49	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.13	-1	9	-10	15.2	17.6	-2.44	17.2	17.8	-0.59
Rafer Alston	39	39	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.11	-6	14	-20	15.7	16.7	-1.03	18.5	16.5	1.99

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scott Padgett	12	13	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.13	4	-12	16	15.7	17.7	-2.06	12.7	16.9	-4.20
Jacque Vaughn	4	5	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-10	12	20.5	17.3	3.22	16.2	16.3	-0.06
Marc Jackson	37	37	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-9	10	17.5	17.4	0.19	17.5	15.3	2.11
Zoran Planinic	23	25	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.09	-3	-5	2	16.6	17.7	-1.13	14.6	16.9	-2.33
Jason Collins	31	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	0	-8	18.1	17.0	1.09	13.6	17.7	-4.08
Clifford Robinson	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.24	-16	8	-24	17.6	17.4	0.18	16.9	16.0	0.84
Nenad Krstic	51	52	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.47	7	-15	22	17.6	17.1	0.53	16.6	15.8	0.81
Vince Carter	51	52	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.16	-5	-3	-2	17.8	16.9	0.87	16.7	15.6	1.10
Jason Kidd	73	73	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-5	2	17.1	19.4	-2.31	16.2	16.6	-0.42
Jeff McInnis	39	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	1	-10	16.8	17.9	-1.09	17.7	15.0	2.72
Richard Jefferson	81	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	2	-12	17.7	13.0	4.65	16.5	13.3	3.14

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.27,0.29,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.2,0.21,0.26,0.34,0.18,0.33,0.23,0.21,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 98, SEA 78	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.33,0.41,0.28,0.27,0.31,0.23,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.2,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.26,0.21,0.37,0.27,0.14,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	94.9%
BOS 107, TOR 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.28,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.17,0	94.5%
DET 115, CLE 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.31,0.33,0.28,0.26,0.25,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.29,0.34,0.32,0.17,0.05,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0	94.4%