NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	127		Excitement	6.3 [603]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +50.4%
Golden State Warriors	134		Comeback	1.0 [1262]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (GSW): -8.2%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.14	0.03	0.02	8	88%	0.16	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.03	0.06	11	79%	0.15	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Lou Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.00	0.05	0.01	17	54%	0.13	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.03
DeAndre Jordan	0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.02	0.03	7	80%	0.11	4	-0.08	6	100%	0.03
Sam Dekker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.01	10	54%	0.01	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Milos Teodosic	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	11	58%	0.11	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.03
Boban Marjanovic	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrone Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.01	0.00	15	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.38,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.5,0.5	0.50	0.36	0.15	-0.00	19	96%	0.57	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.04
Kevin Durant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.13	0.02	15	60%	0.22	2	-0.03	10	80%	0.03
David West	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.00	4	100%	0.16	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.08	-0.01	3	75%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.05	0.01	8	64%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.02
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.06	-0.04	0.02	14	63%	0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Nick Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	13.3	3.6	34.2	14.8	29.2	0.8	37.5	133.5
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +55.7%

GSW +6.3%

LAC -10.5%

GSW +3.9%

LAC -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	GSW	NBA	LAC	GSW	NBA
this game	13.7	13.5	14.7	121.0	126.4	107.5
season	14.2	13.7		109.2	112.6
opponent	15.1	14.6		105.8	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	15.2	14.5	11.6	13.5	13.7
GSW	12.9	11.7	14.5	14.7	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Boban Marjanovic	3	2	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-8	9	9.7	13.8	-4.15	15.0	13.4	1.58
Montrezl Harrell	39	38	0.00	-0.50	0.51	-0.11	4	-11	15	12.4	14.5	-2.09	12.9	13.8	-0.91
Wesley Johnson	3	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.06	-3	-4	1	11.0	13.8	-2.77	9.0	13.6	-4.63
Tyrone Wallace	44	43	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	1	-9	13.2	14.1	-0.92	13.2	13.6	-0.41
Sam Dekker	8	8	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.10	-9	2	-11	15.9	13.5	2.36	10.5	13.7	-3.19
Milos Teodosic	60	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.24	2	-9	11	13.3	14.2	-0.84	13.9	12.8	1.11
Lou Williams	74	75	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.46	7	-14	21	13.7	13.7	-0.02	13.3	13.9	-0.59
Danilo Gallinari	71	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-2	-3	14.0	13.0	1.07	13.5	13.4	0.10
Austin Rivers	82	83	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.36	-4	-3	-1	13.4	14.6	-1.17	13.7	12.7	0.97
DeAndre Jordan	65	67	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.18	-11	4	-15	14.4	12.5	1.97	13.9	12.7	1.24
Tobias Harris	76	80	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.26	-9	2	-11	14.3	12.1	2.25	13.5	13.3	0.24

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Klay Thompson	80	79	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.14	14	-7	21	13.5	13.3	0.14	13.8	13.3	0.46
Kevin Durant	83	81	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.32	7	0	7	13.7	12.5	1.19	13.7	13.5	0.20
Stephen Curry	81	79	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.26	8	-1	9	13.7	12.7	0.96	13.8	13.4	0.36
Draymond Green	81	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.14	9	-2	11	13.7	12.7	1.01	13.7	13.7	-0.06
JaVale McGee	29	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	-0.06	9	-2	11	14.6	13.0	1.51	13.8	13.6	0.18
Andre Iguodala	58	56	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	8	-9	13.6	13.3	0.22	13.6	13.8	-0.27
David West	33	34	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.04	3	4	-1	12.9	13.7	-0.75	13.9	13.6	0.23
Shaun Livingston	35	37	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.16	-4	11	-15	11.9	14.2	-2.30	13.4	13.9	-0.53
Nick Young	33	33	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	13	-19	12.5	13.9	-1.41	13.2	13.9	-0.70
Zaza Pachulia	17	15	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.10	-4	11	-15	13.6	13.4	0.23	14.2	13.6	0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.98,0.99,1	94.0%
LAC 84, CLE 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.92,1,1,1	93.7%
SAS 83, PHX 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.74,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.83,0.8,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.76,0.77,0.8,0.85,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.86,0.87,0.91,0.92,0.92,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.86,0.78,0.84,0.98,1	93.5%