NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	76		Excitement	5.1 [776]		MVP	Tim Hardaway (MIA): +17.3%
Miami Heat	81		Comeback	1.1 [963]		LVP	Allan Houston (NYK): -16.9%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Larry Johnson	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.00	7	61%	0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.03
Rick Brunson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mark Jackson	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	9	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	67%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Charlie Ward	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	10	55%	0.01	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Marcus Camby	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09	-0.01	-0.04	0.04	17	55%	-0.04	2	-0.05	8	87%	0.04
Glen Rice	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.11	-0.00	-0.02	10	33%	-0.04	3	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	11	27%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Allan Houston	-0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.10	-0.06	0.02	8	41%	-0.07	4	-0.10	1	100%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Hardaway	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17	0.17	0.06	0.08	-0.03	16	69%	0.24	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.08
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alonzo Mourning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.04	0.04	-0.07	0.06	-0.05	7	46%	0.05	1	-0.01	10	50%	-0.02
A.C. Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie House	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Anthony Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	12	53%	-0.00	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.02
Dan Majerle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	9	35%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bruce Bowen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.16	-0.16	-0.18	-0.00	-0.02	13	24%	-0.14	1	-0.02	7	57%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.7	2.7	32.5	17.6	27.5	2.7	41.3	152.0
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +24.9%

MIA +22.3%

NYK -13.5%

MIA +21.0%

NYK -4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIA	NBA	NYK	MIA	NBA
this game	16.8	15.9	15.5	87.4	91.0	100.9
season	16.4	16.3		99.2	98.4
opponent	16.1	16.1		96.9	96.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	19.1	15.6	17.2	15.4	16.8
MIA	12.2	15.7	19.6	16.6	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Othella Harrington	13	14	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.13	9	-14	23	17.1	16.8	0.31	17.5	15.6	1.87
Rick Brunson	3	4	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.02	0	-5	5	15.0	16.9	-1.88	13.0	16.1	-3.06
Kurt Thomas	50	52	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.36	8	-13	21	15.5	18.6	-3.09	16.1	15.6	0.51
Charlie Ward	55	58	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.43	9	-14	23	15.0	20.0	-4.99	15.4	17.0	-1.61
Larry Johnson	75	76	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-1	-3	16.7	17.5	-0.79	16.4	13.3	3.06
Allan Houston	44	46	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.08	-9	4	-13	18.7	14.8	3.91	16.5	15.3	1.24
Mark Jackson	41	40	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.02	-13	8	-21	18.1	15.7	2.42	15.6	16.1	-0.49
Glen Rice	75	75	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	6	-17	17.3	14.0	3.27	15.7	17.2	-1.53
Marcus Camby	79	80	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.23	-14	9	-23	16.9	16.1	0.76	15.6	18.3	-2.68

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Mason	85	84	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.36	11	-6	17	15.8	18.5	-2.70	17.0	11.3	5.68
Tim Hardaway	61	62	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.15	12	-7	19	15.3	17.3	-2.04	17.0	16.4	0.64
Brian Grant	56	55	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.14	12	-7	19	16.6	14.8	1.85	17.3	16.0	1.24
Bruce Bowen	71	71	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-7	19	15.7	16.7	-0.93	17.0	15.8	1.23
Dan Majerle	77	75	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.27	0	5	-5	16.0	15.2	0.87	17.1	15.2	1.91
Alonzo Mourning	48	46	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.44	-13	18	-31	15.7	16.2	-0.51	15.9	17.9	-2.01
Eddie House	2	1	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	5	-5	18.5	15.9	2.64	9.0	16.9	-7.91
A.C. Green	15	14	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.08	-2	7	-9	15.9	15.9	-0.07	14.8	17.2	-2.42
Anthony Carter	30	27	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.20	-7	12	-19	16.7	15.5	1.12	16.5	17.0	-0.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.98,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 127, GSW 134	0.5,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.68,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.72,0.77,0.82,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.71,0.69,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.92,0.9,0.87,0.87,0.92,0.82,0.62,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.79,0.85,0.98,1	94.0%
WAS 95, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1	93.9%
SAS 98, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.99,1	93.6%