NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	95		Excitement	5.7 [657]		MVP	Al Horford (ATL): +16.6%
Atlanta Hawks	104		Comeback	1.3 [1178]		LVP	Jeff Teague (ATL): -13.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.07	0.05	-0.02	12	60%	0.15	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.05
Kevin Seraphin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	-0.00	16	56%	0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Cartier Martin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.02	0.03	6	67%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Earl Barron	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nene	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	55%	0.02	2	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Martell Webster	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
A.J. Price	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Singleton	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	44%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jordan Crawford	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	0.00	0.03	13	47%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Shaun Livingston	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Emeka Okafor	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	5	60%	0.02	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Horford	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.01	0.12	-0.03	11	58%	0.21	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.02	11	68%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	-0.00	3	83%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaza Pachulia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,0,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.04	0.02	20	49%	0.07	2	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
John Jenkins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Louis Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	5	90%	0.07	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.06	0.01	11	58%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.06	-0.03	22	40%	-0.05	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.3	27.8	16.0	21.2	2.3	32.6	125.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +32.5%

WAS -7.0%

ATL +26.0%

WAS -3.6%

ATL +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	14.8	16.3	15.4	103.3	111.8	104.1
season	15.1	15.1		98.8	102.6
opponent	15.5	15.7		102.8	101.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	15.0	16.3	14.1	14.0	14.8
ATL	13.2	17.2	17.8	17.3	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cartier Martin	42	43	0.16	-0.66	0.81	-0.37	18	-27	45	14.0	15.6	-1.61	19.0	14.0	5.06
Earl Barron	1	2	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-11	13	5.0	14.9	-9.93	30.0	16.0	14.00
Emeka Okafor	41	41	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-6	3	16.6	13.4	3.13	18.2	14.8	3.34
Shaun Livingston	4	6	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.03	-4	-5	1	21.2	14.5	6.72	20.5	16.0	4.49
Kevin Seraphin	59	59	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.31	4	-13	17	14.1	16.1	-1.93	17.7	13.9	3.77
Jordan Crawford	51	52	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-9	9	14.2	15.6	-1.46	17.2	15.1	2.07
Bradley Beal	56	56	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.08	-7	-2	-5	14.7	14.9	-0.19	15.4	17.7	-2.33
A.J. Price	59	57	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.01	-12	3	-15	15.2	14.2	0.96	15.5	17.5	-2.00
Chris Singleton	37	37	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	5	-19	15.8	14.1	1.69	14.0	17.8	-3.82
Nene	50	50	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.21	-8	-1	-7	13.6	16.3	-2.69	14.2	18.7	-4.50
Martell Webster	60	62	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	0.05	-21	12	-33	15.3	13.8	1.51	14.9	19.2	-4.34

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Teague	77	77	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.14	21	-12	33	15.5	20.2	-4.69	14.5	16.5	-1.96
Josh Smith	75	76	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.08	23	-14	37	15.1	21.3	-6.17	14.6	15.7	-1.12
DeShawn Stevenson	59	58	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.05	22	-13	35	15.0	18.5	-3.51	14.9	14.7	0.24
Al Horford	79	77	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	1	7	16.6	14.6	1.95	15.3	12.3	3.06
Zaza Pachulia	55	53	0.25	0.25	-0.01	0.31	-2	11	-13	17.3	14.9	2.38	13.6	16.5	-2.88
John Jenkins	2	1	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	11	-13	30.0	16.0	14.00	5.0	14.9	-9.93
Devin Harris	66	66	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.15	-6	15	-21	17.1	14.3	2.88	15.9	12.2	3.67
Louis Williams	31	31	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.11	-9	18	-27	17.2	15.8	1.39	14.5	15.0	-0.42
Anthony Morrow	21	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.91	0.09	-10	19	-29	18.2	15.7	2.44	15.3	14.7	0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.51,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.74,0.79,0.75,0.76,0.72,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.85,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.87,0.69,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 76, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.59,0.7,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.8,0.77,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.79,0.79,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.86,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.78,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.87,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.78,0.98,0.99,1	93.9%
SAS 98, MIN 102	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.69,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.71,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.82,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.83,0.81,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.85,0.74,0.79,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.93,0.99,1	93.5%
NYK 99, OKC 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.97,0.92,1	93.0%