NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	99		Excitement	5.1 [803]		MVP	Kevin Durant (OKC): +16.7%
Oklahoma City Thunder	107		Comeback	1.3 [550]		LVP	Nate Robinson (NYK): -10.8%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tim Thomas	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	2	114%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
David Lee	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	9	64%	0.06	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Quentin Richardson	-0.00	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	12	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	1	100%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.11	-0.05	0.09	15	66%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Jared Jeffries	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	40%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wilson Chandler	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.02	0.00	12	42%	0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Chris Duhon	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.01	-0.07	0.03	15	55%	-0.02	4	-0.08	3	100%	0.01
Nate Robinson	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.11	-0.12	-0.04	-0.05	18	30%	-0.08	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.05	0.00	16	73%	0.25	4	-0.08	5	80%	-0.00
Jeff Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.09	0.03	0.05	16	63%	0.13	3	-0.06	11	73%	-0.07
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Russell Westbrook	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.04	-0.04	13	59%	0.12	4	-0.09	11	82%	0.02
Robert Swift	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Wilcox	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	5	67%	0.02	3	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damien Wilkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.8	2.6	27.2	14.8	29.2	2.6	34.5	136.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +62.7%

NYK -4.6%

NYK -3.8%

NYK -6.3%

OKC +1.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	OKC	NBA	NYK	OKC	NBA
this game	13.3	15.5	15.5	98.0	108.1	106.4
season	13.8	14.9		106.2	100.5
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.6	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.6	14.0	12.6	14.3	13.3
OKC	13.6	14.8	16.2	17.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tim Thomas	32	32	0.25	-0.75	0.99	-0.37	21	-29	50	13.5	13.2	0.27	17.3	14.6	2.67
Al Harrington	67	64	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.41	9	-17	26	13.4	13.1	0.34	16.3	14.1	2.20
Nate Robinson	71	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.38	6	-14	20	13.4	13.2	0.21	15.8	14.8	1.01
Wilson Chandler	64	63	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.19	-1	-7	6	13.7	12.7	1.01	15.3	15.8	-0.47
Jared Jeffries	46	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.14	-19	11	-30	13.0	13.5	-0.50	14.4	16.4	-2.01
Quentin Richardson	67	66	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	8	-24	12.7	14.4	-1.69	15.0	16.6	-1.65
Chris Duhon	83	82	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.13	-15	7	-22	13.4	12.8	0.59	15.4	15.8	-0.38
David Lee	75	74	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.00	-25	17	-42	13.3	13.3	0.01	15.1	16.6	-1.41

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Green	77	78	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.08	18	-10	28	15.2	16.5	-1.28	13.0	14.4	-1.45
Russell Westbrook	87	89	0.54	-0.04	0.58	0.22	11	-3	14	15.4	16.2	-0.85	13.4	12.5	0.93
Desmond Mason	73	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.07	16	-8	24	15.3	16.2	-0.93	13.0	14.2	-1.17
Kevin Durant	94	95	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.27	9	-1	10	15.7	12.6	3.06	13.3	13.3	-0.02
Robert Swift	26	26	0.24	0.26	-0.01	-0.11	12	-4	16	14.6	15.8	-1.26	12.9	13.5	-0.58
Joe Smith	36	39	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.28	-4	12	-16	16.6	14.9	1.74	14.7	12.4	2.32
Chris Wilcox	37	36	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.10	0	8	-8	15.1	15.8	-0.68	12.1	14.0	-1.92
Damien Wilkins	19	19	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	12	-16	15.2	15.6	-0.36	13.2	13.3	-0.13
Earl Watson	46	47	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.38	-18	26	-44	16.4	14.8	1.61	14.2	12.6	1.60

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.54,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.69,0.78,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.84,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.95,0.95,0.98,0.98,0.95,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.8,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.86,0.79,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 107, WAS 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.84,0.94,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.93,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.79,0.76,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.96,0.91,1	94.0%
CHA 89, ORL 98	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.73,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.83,0.86,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.9,0.91,0.83,0.88,0.92,0.87,0.87,0.82,0.89,0.91,0.92,0.89,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.97,1,1	93.7%
PHI 88, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	93.5%