NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	88		Excitement	4.5 [926]		MVP	Hedo Turkoglu (ORL): +10.3%
Orlando Magic	98		Comeback	1.1 [1017]		LVP	Andre Miller (PHI): -17.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kareem Rush	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Samuel Dalembert	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	8	62%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thaddeus Young	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.01	0.01	18	47%	0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Theo Ratliff	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royal Ivey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.01	3	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lou Williams	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	36%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Elton Brand	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.08	0.02	-0.01	8	33%	-0.03	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Willie Green	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	12	52%	0.02	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.02
Andre Miller	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.17,-0.17	-0.11	-0.02	0.04	24	31%	-0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	-0.08	20	48%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Mickael Pietrus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.03	7	75%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keith Bogans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	67%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jameer Nelson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	12	59%	0.09	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Tony Battie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	11	47%	0.03	2	-0.03	8	25%	-0.09
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	20	44%	0.01	1	-0.01	5	60%	-0.01
Anthony Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.5	3.0	32.2	20.4	27.6	3.4	31.5	145.6
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +43.9%

ORL +1.7%

PHI -8.4%

ORL +11.7%

ORL +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	ORL	NBA	PHI	ORL	NBA
this game	15.7	14.9	15.5	94.6	103.2	106.4
season	15.5	15.3		105.3	107.3
opponent	15.8	15.9		101.4	105.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	18.1	15.6	13.7	15.4	15.7
ORL	11.4	14.4	17.6	16.6	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lou Williams	25	28	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.17	8	-18	26	13.8	16.5	-2.66	16.4	14.3	2.16
Theo Ratliff	4	4	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-9	8	12.5	15.9	-3.39	14.0	14.9	-0.95
Kareem Rush	35	35	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.12	2	-12	14	14.8	16.3	-1.51	14.5	15.1	-0.57
Reggie Evans	8	9	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	0.01	-3	-7	4	12.7	16.0	-3.27	13.4	15.1	-1.61
Marreese Speights	9	11	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-8	6	14.3	15.9	-1.56	12.5	15.2	-2.67
Royal Ivey	18	18	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.03	-2	-8	6	17.2	15.4	1.77	12.9	15.4	-2.42
Willie Green	33	34	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-13	16	15.0	16.2	-1.20	16.1	14.2	1.89
Samuel Dalembert	56	57	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.18	-2	-8	6	16.1	15.2	0.92	16.1	13.1	2.96
Andre Iguodala	76	77	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.24	-2	-8	6	15.5	16.9	-1.40	15.7	11.4	4.27
Thaddeus Young	65	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.02	-14	4	-18	16.0	15.1	0.96	14.3	16.4	-2.15
Elton Brand	68	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.00	-19	9	-28	16.7	13.2	3.42	14.3	16.3	-1.96
Andre Miller	68	67	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.04	-18	8	-26	16.5	13.8	2.66	14.3	16.4	-2.16

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jameer Nelson	70	69	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.01	20	-10	30	14.1	17.1	-2.95	16.0	15.1	0.89
Hedo Turkoglu	71	72	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.04	20	-10	30	14.6	15.7	-1.13	16.2	14.0	2.19
Rashard Lewis	82	80	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.16	11	-1	12	14.5	17.3	-2.78	16.0	14.2	1.85
Tony Battie	47	44	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.02	11	-1	12	13.0	16.7	-3.73	15.9	15.6	0.23
Mickael Pietrus	62	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	4	2	14.5	15.6	-1.12	16.5	14.4	2.09
Dwight Howard	55	55	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.26	-2	12	-14	16.9	12.2	4.72	15.2	16.5	-1.28
Keith Bogans	63	61	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.36	-6	16	-22	15.8	13.2	2.59	14.5	18.2	-3.68
Anthony Johnson	25	24	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.20	-10	20	-30	17.1	14.1	2.95	15.1	16.0	-0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 73, DET 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
GSW 101, CLE 115	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.82,0.75,0.71,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.93,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.93,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.0%
BOS 98, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	94.8%