NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	73		Excitement	3.9 [1021]		MVP	Tayshaun Prince (DET): +4.4%
Detroit Pistons	87		Comeback	1.1 [1119]		LVP	Lamar Odom (MIA): -22.5%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dwyane Wade	0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	9	71%	0.08	4	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Loren Woods	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Samaki Walker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Wallace	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	-0.00	-0.05	9	22%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rafer Alston	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	0.03	15	47%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	-0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.18	-0.01	-0.06	17	24%	-0.11	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Lamar Odom	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.21,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23	-0.24	-0.04	-0.05	31	35%	-0.09	6	-0.13	1	0%	-0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	-0.00	-0.04	10	52%	0.04	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Corliss Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.07	0.01	-0.06	12	33%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Darvin Ham	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	12	52%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.02
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	11	57%	0.01	2	-0.03	8	87%	0.01
Tremaine Fowlkes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Ben Wallace	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.13	0.02	-0.07	12	36%	-0.02	3	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	16	46%	-0.02	3	-0.05	7	86%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.6	1.7	26.0	15.8	24.4	2.6	36.0	135.2
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +17.7%

DET +15.8%

DET +1.5%

DET +12.7%

DET +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	DET	NBA	MIA	DET	NBA
this game	17.3	16.2	15.7	84.9	101.2	100.5
season	16.2	16.2		99.3	99.2
opponent	16.0	15.9		92.6	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	17.3	17.7	15.8	18.1	17.3
DET	13.4	15.0	21.3	16.1	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Wallace	5	5	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	0.05	-4	-10	6	18.2	17.2	1.00	12.4	16.5	-4.07
Samaki Walker	21	21	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.06	-3	-11	8	17.0	17.3	-0.34	14.2	16.9	-2.64
Rafer Alston	60	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.14	-1	-13	12	16.6	18.8	-2.17	16.8	15.0	1.83
Udonis Haslem	41	39	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	-8	2	19.0	15.7	3.24	17.4	15.3	2.11
Loren Woods	38	38	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	-12	10	17.7	16.9	0.81	16.1	16.3	-0.23
Lamar Odom	74	75	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	-9	4	17.8	14.2	3.59	17.1	10.4	6.73
Brian Grant	56	57	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-1	-12	16.4	18.9	-2.47	16.8	15.2	1.55
Dwyane Wade	73	73	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.08	-11	-3	-8	17.5	15.8	1.75	15.9	18.1	-2.17
Eddie Jones	62	64	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	0.12	-25	11	-36	16.4	19.5	-3.17	14.9	20.0	-5.12

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tayshaun Prince	69	68	0.55	-0.05	0.60	-0.01	19	-5	24	15.5	19.1	-3.52	16.3	21.0	-4.74
Ben Wallace	78	75	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.20	8	6	2	16.7	11.9	4.80	17.4	16.2	1.23
Mehmet Okur	53	53	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.10	17	-3	20	15.4	17.5	-2.13	16.7	18.2	-1.45
Chauncey Billups	69	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.12	8	6	2	17.0	13.3	3.66	16.6	19.9	-3.29
Richard Hamilton	65	66	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.02	11	3	8	16.7	14.8	1.88	16.7	19.0	-2.27
Bob Sura	29	29	0.18	0.32	-0.13	-0.08	9	5	4	14.6	17.1	-2.54	18.6	16.6	2.06
Corliss Williamson	41	43	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.08	3	11	-8	16.4	16.0	0.39	18.0	16.5	1.53
Hubert Davis	6	7	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	10	-6	12.5	16.5	-4.01	15.3	17.4	-2.14
Darvin Ham	1	1	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.00	0	14	-14	2.0	16.4	-14.40	14.0	17.3	-3.29
Tremaine Fowlkes	21	21	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	20	-26	18.0	15.6	2.40	21.4	15.9	5.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.76,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.77,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.92,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.81,0.92,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DEN 80, PHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.63,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.83,0.82,0.83,0.84,0.86,0.86,0.9,0.93,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.9,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.92,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1	95.6%
ATL 95, SAS 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.84,0.86,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.91,0.94,0.9,0.91,0.89,0.85,0.92,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
PHI 88, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.83,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.85,0.87,0.85,0.8,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1	95.4%