NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	98		Excitement	4.6 [913]		MVP	Troy Murphy (IND): +15.0%
Indiana Pacers	105		Comeback	1.0 [1246]		LVP	Gerald Green (BOS): -19.8%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Leon Powe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	0.01	0.03	9	65%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Allan Ray	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	18	56%	0.05	2	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Sebastian Telfair	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	12	70%	0.09	3	-0.08	6	67%	-0.02
Kendrick Perkins	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kevinn Pinkney	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	12	48%	-0.03	2	-0.04	5	40%	-0.04
Ryan Gomes	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	12	48%	-0.02	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Gerald Green	-0.20	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.16	-0.05	-0.01	18	31%	-0.11	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.14	0.02	0.01	6	114%	0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.01	16	58%	0.09	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.02
Danny Granger	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.00	-0.03	8	68%	0.10	4	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Ike Diogu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	3	87%	0.05	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Keith McLeod	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.09	-0.01	0.06	8	77%	0.10	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.02
Orien Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darrell Armstrong	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	9	50%	0.04	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.13	0.01	-0.04	5	20%	-0.01	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	12	48%	0.02	6	-0.13	5	80%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	30.5	15.4	24.4	2.7	38.3	140.0
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +45.5%

IND +14.3%

IND +3.7%

BOS -13.0%

BOS -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	IND	NBA	BOS	IND	NBA
this game	14.4	13.7	15.4	94.2	104.0	104.5
season	15.5	15.3		101.7	101.3
opponent	15.3	15.3		103.9	105.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	16.6	14.6	16.8	10.2	14.4
IND	12.0	14.8	13.7	14.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevinn Pinkney	38	37	0.05	-0.55	0.59	-0.31	12	-19	31	13.8	14.7	-0.84	12.7	14.3	-1.59
Leon Powe	63	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.39	8	-15	23	13.3	16.0	-2.72	13.7	13.8	-0.10
Sebastian Telfair	67	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-7	7	13.9	15.2	-1.22	14.6	12.0	2.58
Kendrick Perkins	38	38	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.01	-11	4	-15	15.9	13.5	2.44	13.6	13.8	-0.26
Allan Ray	88	85	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.36	-1	-6	5	14.0	16.2	-2.14	14.3	10.5	3.82
Gerald Green	65	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	0.11	-19	12	-31	13.8	15.3	-1.45	13.7	13.7	0.02
Rajon Rondo	89	85	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.26	-8	1	-9	14.5	13.7	0.75	13.3	16.1	-2.79
Ryan Gomes	72	69	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.05	-16	9	-25	15.9	10.8	5.10	13.3	14.6	-1.24

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mike Dunleavy	90	94	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-3	13	13.6	14.5	-0.83	14.4	13.9	0.53
Keith McLeod	67	69	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.14	10	-3	13	13.7	13.7	-0.03	14.9	13.4	1.51
Danny Granger	79	81	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	1	5	13.8	13.3	0.50	14.5	13.9	0.59
Troy Murphy	55	57	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.04	11	-4	15	13.8	13.6	0.23	16.1	12.3	3.75
Jermaine O'Neal	69	73	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.10	8	-1	9	13.4	14.3	-0.88	15.3	12.1	3.25
Darrell Armstrong	60	61	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.33	-5	12	-17	14.1	13.2	0.87	12.2	17.5	-5.31
Ike Diogu	39	39	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.20	-1	8	-9	13.6	13.8	-0.20	13.1	15.2	-2.08
Orien Greene	18	18	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.10	0	7	-7	13.2	13.8	-0.60	13.3	14.6	-1.33
Shawne Williams	28	28	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.12	-4	11	-15	13.9	13.6	0.30	13.9	14.6	-0.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 71, UTA 88	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	96.3%
DET 98, NJN 111	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
CHH 79, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	95.3%