NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	98		Excitement	3.8 [1049]		MVP	Ryan Anderson (NJN): +13.3%
New Jersey Nets	111		Comeback	1.1 [787]		LVP	Allen Iverson (DET): -7.3%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Richard Hamilton	0.12	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.15	0.01	0.04	18	71%	0.14	2	-0.02	5	100%	0.03
Walter Herrmann	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.00	0.01	11	70%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tayshaun Prince	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.00	0.03	12	53%	0.02	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Arron Afflalo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Will Bynum	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	4	70%	0.02	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.10	-0.01	-0.04	6	17%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.03	0.03	13	53%	0.02	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	8	22%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.03	0.02	6	87%	0.13	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.01	0.05	9	79%	0.12	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Keyon Dooling	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.01	0.06	14	77%	0.14	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Boone	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.03	9	50%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Chris Douglas-Roberts	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.02	-0.04	8	33%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Devin Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.01	10	66%	0.13	5	-0.12	9	78%	0.00
Jarvis Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	-0.02	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	29.4	15.4	25.5	2.6	26.0	126.8
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +29.8%

NJN +6.1%

NJN +0.4%

NJN +11.7%

NJN +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	NJN	NBA	DET	NJN	NBA
this game	15.7	16.4	15.5	110.1	123.3	106.4
season	16.9	16.0		104.9	106.5
opponent	15.5	15.7		108.9	106.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	18.2	14.7	16.8	13.5	15.7
NJN	15.3	14.1	17.5	19.2	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Maxiell	31	30	0.05	-0.55	0.61	-0.15	7	-20	27	15.3	16.0	-0.68	16.7	16.3	0.33
Arron Afflalo	8	7	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.12	4	-17	21	7.9	16.5	-8.63	19.7	16.2	3.55
Will Bynum	34	32	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	-11	9	15.0	16.2	-1.18	17.0	16.1	0.86
Amir Johnson	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.34	6	-19	25	14.2	17.5	-3.21	16.7	16.1	0.65
Allen Iverson	32	33	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-5	-3	16.2	15.5	0.71	16.6	16.3	0.30
Walter Herrmann	42	43	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.09	-4	-9	5	14.0	17.3	-3.37	17.7	15.3	2.44
Kwame Brown	29	30	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	-4	-5	18.2	14.5	3.67	15.9	16.7	-0.87
Tayshaun Prince	56	56	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	0.10	-15	2	-17	17.0	13.6	3.42	15.5	17.9	-2.41
Richard Hamilton	60	62	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	-1	-11	16.1	14.9	1.19	15.8	17.8	-1.95
Antonio McDyess	47	50	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.17	-21	8	-29	17.4	13.8	3.64	15.9	17.2	-1.31
Rodney Stuckey	58	59	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.12	-11	-2	-9	15.5	16.2	-0.71	16.6	16.1	0.58

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keyon Dooling	70	68	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.02	17	-4	21	16.5	16.3	0.19	16.7	12.7	3.95
Vince Carter	77	75	0.41	0.09	0.31	0.23	6	7	-1	16.3	17.3	-1.01	15.6	16.6	-1.08
Devin Harris	72	73	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.04	12	1	11	16.2	17.2	-0.97	15.8	15.2	0.66
Brook Lopez	57	59	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.10	9	4	5	16.1	17.0	-0.93	15.8	15.7	0.10
Ryan Anderson	46	47	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	6	1	15.2	17.7	-2.47	17.1	14.2	2.96
Bobby Simmons	44	42	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.07	6	7	-1	17.7	15.2	2.47	14.2	17.1	-2.96
Chris Douglas-Roberts	38	37	0.21	0.29	-0.07	0.04	6	7	-1	17.7	15.5	2.15	14.7	16.4	-1.71
Josh Boone	33	30	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.02	4	9	-5	17.0	16.1	0.93	15.7	15.8	-0.10
Jarvis Hayes	13	14	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.02	-2	15	-17	14.5	16.8	-2.23	14.1	16.0	-1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.68,0.75,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.8,0.74,0.77,0.8,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 104, DAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.68,0.74,0.76,0.76,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.86,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.9,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.98,1	96.2%
MIA 91, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.85,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.9,0.89,0.89,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.99,0.96,0.95,0.94,1,1	96.0%
PHX 91, MEM 110	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.8,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.69,0.76,0.88,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.93,0.86,0.82,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.94,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%