NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	71		Excitement	3.3 [693]		MVP	Bryon Russell (UTA): +9.9%
Utah Jazz	88		Comeback	1.0 [591]		LVP	Brian Grant (POR): -11.2%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rasheed Wallace	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Rider	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	11	59%	0.04	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Walt Williams	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stacey Augmon	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	42%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Jim Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.06	0.00	-0.03	5	46%	-0.00	2	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kelvin Cato	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.02	-0.03	14	40%	-0.00	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Brian Grant	-0.11	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.14	-0.00	-0.03	7	33%	-0.08	2	-0.03	10	60%	-0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.05	13	76%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	9	67%	0.07	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	69%	0.06	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	21	52%	0.06	4	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Todd Fuller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	60%	0.02	2	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	5	29%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.02
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	6	25%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	3.5	31.2	20.0	26.5	2.7	39.3	151.3
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +38.4%

POR -2.5%

UTA +10.6%

UTA +1.4%

UTA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	18.2	19.0	15.8	92.2	112.8	99.6
season	16.0	16.4		102.0	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.9		96.1	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	19.3	18.7	17.8	16.8	18.2
UTA	15.9	19.2	19.2	22.0	19.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jermaine O'Neal	5	6	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.05	-2	-15	13	19.2	18.1	1.10	14.3	19.4	-5.04
Stacey Augmon	12	15	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-19	21	18.2	18.2	0.10	21.8	18.3	3.48
Walt Williams	39	38	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.19	6	-23	29	16.8	19.6	-2.73	20.5	17.5	3.00
Kelvin Cato	6	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	-14	11	18.7	18.1	0.54	11.0	19.5	-8.53
Greg Anthony	27	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.05	-4	-13	9	19.1	17.7	1.39	21.0	18.0	3.02
Jim Jackson	30	30	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.06	-9	-8	-1	18.6	17.9	0.65	19.6	18.6	1.05
Damon Stoudamire	50	53	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	-4	-9	17.7	19.1	-1.39	18.0	21.0	-3.02
Isaiah Rider	51	53	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-3	-11	18.2	18.1	0.14	19.1	18.8	0.33
Brian Grant	62	63	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	0.01	-14	-3	-11	18.4	17.4	0.95	18.9	19.3	-0.35
Arvydas Sabonis	37	35	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.02	-15	-2	-13	18.2	18.1	0.09	18.1	19.7	-1.53
Rasheed Wallace	66	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	0.01	-19	2	-21	18.4	16.7	1.68	18.6	21.2	-2.55

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl Malone	62	60	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.03	16	1	15	18.7	20.2	-1.59	18.9	15.7	3.16
Bryon Russell	62	62	0.48	0.02	0.46	-0.08	19	-2	21	19.0	19.1	-0.09	18.0	18.8	-0.78
Greg Ostertag	62	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.15	20	-3	23	18.8	19.7	-0.88	17.7	20.2	-2.50
John Stockton	50	49	0.37	0.13	0.23	-0.07	15	2	13	18.4	20.0	-1.58	18.7	17.2	1.50
Jeff Hornacek	39	39	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.04	11	6	5	18.8	19.2	-0.44	18.2	18.2	-0.03
Shandon Anderson	37	37	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	9	-1	19.5	18.5	1.00	18.5	17.8	0.72
Howard Eisley	28	28	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.07	2	15	-13	20.0	18.4	1.58	17.2	18.7	-1.50
Thurl Bailey	31	31	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	17	-17	19.9	18.4	1.52	17.7	18.5	-0.71
Todd Fuller	1	0	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.06	-2	19	-21	22.0	18.9	3.05	0.0	18.2	-18.17
Adam Keefe	18	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	21	-25	18.4	19.1	-0.71	17.9	18.2	-0.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.7,0.68,0.79,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.94,0.92,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 98, IND 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.76,0.73,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.76,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.66,0.82,0.91,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.91,0.92,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.94,0.89,0.91,0.97,0.94,0.94,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	96.3%
CHH 79, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.57,0.66,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.68,0.75,0.78,0.74,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.79,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.89,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.94,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1	96.0%
PHX 99, NOP 119	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.71,0.76,0.76,0.79,0.78,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.95,0.91,0.85,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.99,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1	95.7%