NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	84		Excitement	4.4 [959]		MVP	Rick Brunson (LAC): +13.5%
Cleveland Cavaliers	94		Comeback	1.1 [1159]		LVP	Elton Brand (LAC): -21.4%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rick Brunson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.06	0.04	6	92%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mikki Moore	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quinton Ross	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Marko Jaric	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Chris Wilcox	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Maggette	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.01	15	54%	-0.04	1	-0.02	18	83%	0.01
Zeljko Rebraca	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.05	0.03	12	67%	0.03	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.01
Elton Brand	-0.21	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.14	-0.04	0.03	20	36%	-0.15	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	11	62%	0.04	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.02
Ira Newble	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	7	69%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Jeff McInnis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	58%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	20	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	7	36%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Snow	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Traylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.02
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	14	53%	0.02	4	-0.06	8	87%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	27.2	15.7	24.2	2.3	31.0	126.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +26.9%

LAC -2.8%

CLE +6.1%

CLE +17.3%

CLE +2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CLE	NBA	LAC	CLE	NBA
this game	16.3	16.4	15.5	95.5	106.8	104.0
season	16.0	16.2		103.0	104.6
opponent	15.3	15.5		103.9	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	18.9	16.6	15.3	14.6	16.3
CLE	14.1	16.1	17.5	18.1	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikki Moore	11	11	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-14	18	16.1	16.4	-0.27	20.7	15.8	4.95
Chris Wilcox	11	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.01	-4	-6	2	19.2	15.9	3.26	13.2	16.9	-3.64
Zeljko Rebraca	22	23	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	-6	2	18.5	15.6	2.89	14.9	16.9	-2.01
Quinton Ross	16	17	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	0.03	-6	-4	-2	18.7	15.8	2.88	12.6	17.3	-4.72
Marko Jaric	50	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.10	-6	-4	-2	16.3	16.3	-0.02	17.0	15.7	1.27
Rick Brunson	52	52	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.23	-2	-8	6	15.7	17.2	-1.56	16.9	15.7	1.14
Elton Brand	73	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.20	-4	-6	2	16.0	17.9	-1.93	16.8	14.7	2.09
Shaun Livingston	48	48	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	0	-10	16.0	16.8	-0.82	15.7	17.2	-1.52
Chris Kaman	69	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.22	-8	-2	-6	15.8	18.4	-2.60	17.0	14.2	2.78
Corey Maggette	88	88	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.21	-10	0	-10	16.3	0.0	16.33	16.4	0.0	16.40

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	76	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.16	11	-1	12	16.2	17.3	-1.08	16.2	17.3	-1.15
Zydrunas Ilgauskas	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.22	7	3	4	16.9	13.3	3.55	15.7	20.0	-4.31
Drew Gooden	56	57	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.11	9	1	8	15.8	17.4	-1.63	15.9	17.1	-1.18
Ira Newble	51	53	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.01	11	-1	12	14.6	18.8	-4.21	16.6	15.9	0.74
Eric Snow	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.01	9	1	8	15.9	16.8	-0.93	16.9	15.8	1.12
Jeff McInnis	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.19	1	9	-8	16.8	15.9	0.93	15.8	16.9	-1.12
Sasha Pavlovic	33	33	0.13	0.37	-0.23	0.19	-2	12	-14	18.3	15.2	3.10	16.3	16.3	0.01
Anderson Varejao	32	31	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.09	1	9	-8	17.4	15.8	1.63	17.1	15.9	1.18
Robert Traylor	12	13	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	7	-4	13.3	16.9	-3.55	20.0	15.7	4.31
Lucious Harris	16	15	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.06	0	10	-10	18.7	15.9	2.87	16.1	16.4	-0.24

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.82,0.85,0.78,0.8,0.83,0.84,0.8,0.86,0.84,0.87,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.86,0.89,0.89,0.92,0.93,0.88,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.88,0.91,0.86,0.92,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, SAS 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.66,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.72,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.81,0.76,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.84,0.85,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.9,0.91,0.8,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.89,0.92,0.83,0.94,0.9,0.99,1,1,1,1	95.4%
SAS 87, MEM 95	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.79,0.8,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.81,0.91,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.82,0.86,0.85,0.83,0.76,0.83,0.89,0.98,0.99,1,1	95.4%
DEN 92, NOH 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.81,0.79,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.82,0.87,0.81,0.85,0.88,0.91,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.89,0.88,0.94,0.89,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,1	95.4%