NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	127		Excitement	5.9 [665]		MVP	Kevin Durant (GSW): +33.7%
Toronto Raptors	125		Comeback	1.2 [966]		LVP	CJ Miles (TOR): -6.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.34	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.21,0.34	0.13	0.18	-0.02	18	66%	0.34	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0.20	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.08	0.07	16	76%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Stephen Curry	0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.24,0.24,0.2,0.08	0.13	0.02	0.06	12	67%	0.09	1	-0.01	12	83%	-0.18
Draymond Green	0.04	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.08	-0.04	0.00	10	64%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andre Iguodala	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
David West	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.02	-0.05	8	55%	0.07	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01
Patrick McCaw	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	0.00	0.03	4	60%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Kevon Looney	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	3	62%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
OG Anunoby	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.15	0.00	0.08	7	85%	0.07	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Fred VanVleet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.05	0.05	9	72%	0.14	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.04	0.00	4	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzo Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Delon Wright	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Serge Ibaka	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.05	12	54%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.02	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.02
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,-0.05,0.08,0.12,-0.05	-0.05	0.16	-0.13	0.08	31	58%	0.05	2	-0.10	10	80%	0.01
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	50%	-0.05	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.03
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	9	36%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.09

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	2.3	27.6	15.4	30.4	2.5	39.6	142.3
league avg	25.1	2.3	28.6	15.0	27.2	2.3	32.6	134.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +66.4%

TOR -8.8%

TOR -24.2%

GSW +16.1%

GSW +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	TOR	NBA	GSW	TOR	NBA
this game	14.0	14.7	14.7	127.0	123.8	107.5
season	13.7	14.6		112.6	112.7
opponent	14.8	15.1		105.9	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	11.9	13.7	13.2	17.3	14.0
TOR	16.2	14.6	15.6	12.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Draymond Green	80	81	0.89	-0.39	1.27	0.21	23	-21	44	13.0	17.7	-4.65	15.7	10.7	4.95
Kevon Looney	44	46	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.55	-3	5	-8	13.1	14.6	-1.51	13.3	15.8	-2.47
Andre Iguodala	18	18	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.19	18	-16	34	12.2	14.4	-2.14	15.1	14.6	0.53
Klay Thompson	79	78	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.63	-11	13	-24	14.9	10.5	4.44	14.5	15.2	-0.70
Kevin Durant	78	79	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.31	0	2	-2	12.8	18.3	-5.56	14.9	14.0	0.86
Shaun Livingston	23	23	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.17	1	1	0	17.5	12.9	4.60	13.5	15.0	-1.55
Stephen Curry	73	74	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.34	-5	7	-12	13.1	16.3	-3.22	14.8	14.2	0.62
Nick Young	8	9	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.11	7	-5	12	9.7	14.3	-4.60	17.1	14.4	2.68
Zaza Pachulia	25	25	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.14	-2	4	-6	13.3	14.2	-0.88	16.5	14.1	2.40
Patrick McCaw	42	43	-0.15	0.65	-0.81	0.20	-12	14	-26	15.4	13.0	2.42	13.5	15.6	-2.10
David West	30	29	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.04	-6	8	-14	18.6	12.0	6.60	13.7	15.1	-1.33

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lorenzo Brown	9	9	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-1	0	13.2	14.8	-1.59	17.3	13.6	3.68
Jonas Valanciunas	55	54	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.20	3	-5	8	15.6	13.6	1.95	13.4	14.7	-1.37
OG Anunoby	53	54	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.20	3	-5	8	15.6	13.6	1.96	13.4	14.7	-1.29
Norman Powell	21	22	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.19	2	-4	6	13.0	15.1	-2.11	17.1	13.1	4.05
Serge Ibaka	60	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.15	0	-2	2	15.3	13.7	1.58	13.6	14.5	-0.87
Delon Wright	48	50	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.10	-2	0	-2	16.0	13.4	2.61	13.0	14.9	-1.88
Jakob Poeltl	40	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.38	5	-7	12	13.0	15.8	-2.81	14.9	13.4	1.52
Fred VanVleet	47	45	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.23	-3	1	-4	13.7	15.5	-1.86	14.0	13.9	0.08
Pascal Siakam	44	43	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	6	-14	14.2	15.1	-0.87	15.1	13.1	1.99
CJ Miles	46	44	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.21	-6	4	-10	14.1	15.2	-1.08	15.0	13.2	1.78
DeMar DeRozan	82	80	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.37	-3	1	-4	14.8	14.2	0.57	12.8	18.8	-6.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.24,0.15,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.29,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.23,0.26,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, SEA 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.14,0.02,0	93.5%
DAL 102, CLE 97	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.37,0.06,0.05,0	92.8%
SAS 94, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.31,0.46,0.14,0.15,0	92.5%