NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	5.5 [736]		MVP	Shawn Marion (DAL): +14.2%
Cleveland Cavaliers	97		Comeback	1.1 [797]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (CLE): -26.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.00	0.02	8	100%	0.16	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Monta Ellis	0.14	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.01	0.12	-0.01	16	52%	0.18	3	-0.04	10	60%	-0.04
DeJuan Blair	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.00	0.00	7	76%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Brandan Wright	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Jose Calderon	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0.02	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	61%	0.07	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jae Crowder	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Larkin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	3	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	20	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Samuel Dalembert	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Devin Harris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	7	14%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	9	24%	-0.06	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.13	0.03	0.05	8	80%	0.18	2	-0.07	9	89%	-0.01
Anderson Varejao	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.00	0.07	12	60%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Tyler Zeller	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	4	60%	0.03	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.03
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	11	59%	0.01	2	-0.03	10	70%	-0.04
Matthew Dellavedova	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Earl Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dion Waiters	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.13,-0.24,-0.24,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.14	0.04	27	45%	-0.17	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.4	27.5	15.4	25.3	1.6	47.0	142.3
league avg	24.7	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.4	136.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +46.5%

DAL +5.6%

CLE -17.6%

DAL +17.9%

CLE -2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	CLE	NBA	DAL	CLE	NBA
this game	15.1	15.5	15.1	108.5	103.2	105.2
season	15.3	15.2		109.0	102.8
opponent	15.3	15.0		106.5	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	15.2	14.5	16.6	14.3	15.1
CLE	16.1	15.5	16.9	14.0	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dirk Nowitzki	68	69	0.54	-0.04	0.59	-0.04	20	-15	35	14.9	15.7	-0.81	15.8	14.9	0.83
Shane Larkin	36	33	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.01	14	-9	23	14.4	15.5	-1.12	17.8	14.3	3.57
Devin Harris	29	30	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	-1	7	13.8	15.7	-1.85	15.3	15.6	-0.34
Monta Ellis	72	73	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	8	-11	15.2	14.9	0.26	14.6	18.9	-4.28
Brandan Wright	26	26	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.02	8	-3	11	14.7	15.3	-0.57	16.5	15.2	1.34
Vince Carter	40	39	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.09	4	1	3	15.5	14.8	0.69	15.9	15.2	0.71
Jae Crowder	12	12	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	3	-1	11.8	15.6	-3.75	15.5	15.5	-0.04
DeJuan Blair	41	41	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.37	-8	13	-21	15.4	14.9	0.55	14.3	16.5	-2.20
Samuel Dalembert	26	26	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	4	-3	15.4	15.0	0.38	17.1	14.9	2.14
Shawn Marion	67	67	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.51	-14	19	-33	15.9	13.2	2.64	15.2	16.3	-1.12
Jose Calderon	54	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	0.19	-7	12	-19	15.6	14.5	1.06	14.9	16.4	-1.46

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matthew Dellavedova	8	10	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	5	-15	16.1	15.5	0.65	11.7	15.5	-3.81
Tristan Thompson	76	75	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.49	10	-15	25	15.3	16.6	-1.27	15.7	12.9	2.71
Tyler Zeller	18	17	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.11	-11	6	-17	16.8	15.2	1.54	15.9	14.9	0.95
CJ Miles	51	53	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.13	-3	-2	-1	16.3	14.6	1.67	14.8	15.5	-0.63
Kyrie Irving	80	78	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.51	10	-15	25	15.2	17.3	-2.06	15.3	14.1	1.18
Anderson Varejao	76	74	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.58	12	-17	29	15.2	16.8	-1.54	15.3	14.4	0.83
Dion Waiters	31	29	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.04	-10	5	-15	17.0	14.8	2.14	15.6	14.9	0.69
Earl Clark	17	18	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.19	-17	12	-29	17.2	15.2	2.01	14.1	15.3	-1.23
Luol Deng	70	72	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.36	1	-6	7	14.7	17.9	-3.20	15.2	14.7	0.55
Jarrett Jack	43	44	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.17	-7	2	-9	15.2	15.8	-0.68	14.2	15.9	-1.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.17,0.11,0.17,0.2,0.37,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, SEA 76	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.14,0.02,0	93.9%
PHX 112, LAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.44,0.35,0.28,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.6%
SAS 94, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.31,0.46,0.14,0.15,0	93.5%