NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	82		Excitement	3.8 [1021]		MVP	Walter McCarty (BOS): +8.3%
Seattle SuperSonics	76		Comeback	1.1 [455]		LVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): -20.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walter McCarty	0.08	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	8	70%	0.10	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.04
Antoine Walker	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0.05,0.05	-0.12	0.09	-0.08	20	40%	0.11	4	-0.06	2	100%	0.00
Paul Pierce	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.00	-0.01	9	58%	0.05	0	0.00	6	100%	0.02
Grant Long	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	80%	0.02	2	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	47%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	100%	0.00
J.R. Bremer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.12	0.00	-0.10	8	22%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Eric Williams	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	0.03	-0.05	0.02	6	60%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	100%	-0.01
Tony Delk	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	8	31%	-0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Mason	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.02	-0.11	0.06	-0.08	19	38%	0.03	1	-0.01	7	71%	0.01
Vitaly Potapenko	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ansu Sesay	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Drobnjak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jerome James	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Calvin Booth	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Evans	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	1	62%	-0.01	2	-0.02	6	50%	-0.02
Gary Payton	0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	21	46%	-0.07	4	-0.03	8	62%	-0.01
Brent Barry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	4	0%	-0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Rashard Lewis	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.18	-0.08	-0.06	21	34%	-0.10	4	-0.11	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	44.7	1.8	32.2	15.7	26.6	1.0	31.2	153.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +37.2%

BOS +7.3%

SEA -4.0%

BOS +8.6%

BOS +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	SEA	NBA	BOS	SEA	NBA
this game	15.9	16.2	15.5	91.1	85.4	101.6
season	15.6	16.5		99.3	101.7
opponent	15.6	15.5		102.0	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	18.1	13.2	16.2	16.6	15.9
SEA	17.0	17.5	15.8	14.7	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Antoine Walker	75	76	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.14	11	-5	16	16.4	13.8	2.56	17.1	11.5	5.51
Tony Delk	63	58	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	2	2	15.8	16.3	-0.57	16.1	16.6	-0.51
Paul Pierce	28	31	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.16	16	-10	26	17.1	15.4	1.65	16.7	16.0	0.66
Vin Baker	30	30	0.25	0.25	0.01	-0.01	9	-3	12	15.0	16.4	-1.45	17.3	15.7	1.59
J.R. Bremer	49	51	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	9	-12	16.8	14.9	1.89	16.1	16.4	-0.35
Walter McCarty	56	55	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.44	-7	13	-20	16.8	14.6	2.21	16.3	16.1	0.21
Eric Williams	58	59	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.34	-4	10	-14	15.7	16.4	-0.78	15.5	17.6	-2.09
Shammond Williams	50	47	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.12	3	3	0	13.6	18.8	-5.16	15.9	16.7	-0.79
Grant Long	41	38	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.16	1	5	-4	16.4	15.6	0.79	15.4	16.9	-1.53

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ansu Sesay	13	13	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.09	3	-9	12	13.7	16.7	-2.99	11.5	16.7	-5.23
Vitaly Potapenko	16	16	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.34	11	-17	28	14.3	16.7	-2.36	19.9	15.1	4.79
Predrag Drobnjak	24	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-8	10	15.0	16.7	-1.76	13.7	16.7	-3.01
Jerome James	12	11	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.08	-6	0	-6	19.7	15.7	3.95	14.5	16.1	-1.58
Calvin Booth	12	12	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.12	-11	5	-16	16.7	16.2	0.48	17.0	15.8	1.23
Kenny Anderson	23	24	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.10	-13	7	-20	17.5	15.8	1.66	13.2	16.9	-3.66
Desmond Mason	81	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.44	5	-11	16	15.6	23.0	-7.42	16.1	13.9	2.26
Reggie Evans	55	56	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.04	-13	7	-20	17.1	14.8	2.30	15.9	16.0	-0.11
Rashard Lewis	69	70	-0.38	-0.12	-0.27	-0.38	0	-6	6	16.7	14.7	1.93	16.2	14.8	1.39
Brent Barry	56	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.24	-6	0	-6	16.7	15.4	1.36	16.8	14.4	2.32
Gary Payton	84	85	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-4	2	15.9	22.6	-6.73	16.3	10.0	6.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.14,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.15,0.1,0.19,0.36,0.14,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 118, BKN 111	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.15,0.14,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.02,0.02,0	95.2%
PHI 119, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.04,0.05,0	94.7%
SAS 94, LAC 88	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.3,0.22,0.27,0.21,0.17,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.31,0.46,0.14,0.15,0	94.6%